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And Christ himself is the means by which our sins are forgiven, and not our sins only, but also the sins of everyone. If we obey God's commands, then we are sure that we know him. If we say that we know him, but do not obey his commands, we are liars and there is no truth in us. But if we obey his word, we are the ones whose love for God has really been made perfect. This is how we can be sure that we are in union with God: if we say that we remain in union with God, we should live just as Jesus Christ did. Pope Francis Twet For Today Confirmation is important for Christians; it strengthens us to defend the faith and to spread the Gospel courageously. Toward conflict or concord in Beirut? Clearly, regional governments wanted to calm the volatile Lebanese situation. The party seeks to reflect this by reinforcing its own dominance in Lebanon through the presidential election and parliamentary elections scheduled for November. Most important, it does not want such a project undermined by a breakout of sectarian violence in Lebanon, which is why Hezbollah has sought to contain the consequences of bombings, the latest yesterday, in Shiite areas. It was with full knowledge of this reality that the Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea refused to join a national-unity government. He did not want to appear to be covering for Hezbollah at a time when the party has violated the Baabda agreement by entering into the Syrian conflict, effectively pushing Sunni jihadist groups to take their war to Lebanon, threatening the country as a whole. The Lebanese Forces are understandably suspicious of Hezbollah, but the best way to respond is by staying united with its March 14 partners and preparing for the next phase, namely the formulation of a new election law. If the Lebanese Forces and the Future Movement remain on different wavelengths, Hezbollah and the parliament speaker, Nabih Berri, will have no trouble dividing them by putting forward election law proposals over which they disagree. Hezbollah today has serious political and security challenges to juggle. Hezbollah can control the response for a time, but it is doubtful it can do so indefinitely. These pressures give its adversaries more leeway to press their demands, most recently the naming of March 14 or Sleiman appointees to head the Interior, Defense and Justice ministries. In this context, internal March 14 disputes are pointless. But something else bothers Geagea, namely that government deadlock was ended through an agreement between Saad Hariri and Michel Aoun. While resentment of Aoun remains high in the Future Movement, some in the Hariri camp feel more should be done to exploit the differences between Hezbollah and Aoun. For Geagea, this represents a danger, since he has always sought to be the principal Christian interlocutor with the Future Movement. The relationship began fraying when the Lebanese Forces last year backed an election law, the so-called Orthodox proposal, that was opposed by Hariri. By refusing to enter the government, he has ceded ground to the two major Christian political parties — the Free Patriotic Movement and the Kataeb — with which the Lebanese Forces are in competition for Christian votes. Aoun, in turn, benefits from maneuvering between Hezbollah and Future, even as both sides will avoid alienating him as they prepare for the parliamentary elections. But in much the same way that Hezbollah sought a government to create the mood allowing Sleiman to be replaced, it may seek to use the new government to lay the groundwork for future harmony over an election law because, as things stand, no alignment can unilaterally impose a law. Hezbollah will be weighing its domestic behavior against regional developments. If the Syrian rebels, who are being trained by the Americans and receiving American and Gulf Arab money and more advanced weapons, mount an offensive in spring against Damascus, the party will find itself in the forefront of the battle. This could impel Hezbollah to freeze domestic cooperation pending a clearer outcome. At the same time, Hezbollah will have to measure how this affects sectarian relations, which the party does not want to see deteriorate. It will try to exploit any breakthrough to consolidate its position. Michel Sleiman may well believe that the Salam government was made in Lebanon. But wherever it was really made, it is the events in the region that will ultimately decide whether it breaks or not. He tweets BeirutCalling. The talks were followed by a closed-door meeting between Hariri and al-Rahi before discussions were resumed over dinner in the presence of the delegation members, the statement added. We will continue dialogue because there are several issues that we as Lebanese can agree on. They are rather at the heart of March 14 and we are also at the heart of March Future TV had reported that Gemayel would join the talks with al-Rahi. Hariri reiterated that he rejected a vacuum in the presidential post, saying the elections should be held on time. The sources, speaking on condition of anonymity, said that a Lebanese military delegation held tough negotiations with French military officials, who visited Lebanon recently. The source refused to divulge the content of the list. The sources said that Saudi Arabia did not specify the kind of weaponry and military equipment to be delivered to the Army, adding that the oil giant said the military would get the arms it deemed necessary and that France would respond to meet these needs. The Saudi grant comes as the military establishment faces mounting security challenges resulting from the civil war in neighboring Syria. Lebanese troops struggle to contain recurrent armed clashes in Tripoli between supporters and opponents of Syrian President Bashar Assad in the predominantly Alawite neighborhood of Jabal Mohsen and their rivals, in the mainly-Sunni district of Bab al-Tabbaneh. The persistence of terrorist attacks is proving to be another challenge for the Army. The military establishment is carrying on with its crackdown on terrorist groups and arrested key figures from the Al-Qaeda-linked Abdullah Azzam Brigades in recent weeks. Hundreds were killed and wounded in a recent spate of bombings which has targeted the Beirut southern suburbs and the Bekaa Valley, where Hezbollah enjoys wide support. The Lebanese Army is also working to prevent arms smuggling from and to Syria. Several TV networks said the panel will hold its final meeting on Monday. But al-Jadeed TV said the committee wrapped up its meeting without being able to reach a final agreement on the resistance clause. For his part, Finance Minister Ali Hasan Khalil said: 'We have almost finished discussing all the topics and only the resistance clause remains pending. The woman used to work in the town in the past and she raised suspicions after her return to the same job, the agency noted. Al-Jadeed television said the woman was arrested three days ago. The agency said the incident took place near al-Akramiyeh's intersection and that the wounded suspect was rushed to the Hrawi state-run hospital in al-Maalqa. But al-Jadeed said the man was killed when a hand grenade that was in his possession exploded during the chase. On February 12, the army intercepted a booby-trapped vehicle on the Arsal-al-Labweh road in the Bekaa region. The Army Command announced in a statement that the vehicle had arrived in Lebanon from Syria's Yabrud region. Containing three women, the car was going to be transported to Beirut where it was to be handed over to would-be suicide-bombers. Quoting military sources, LBCI television said the women confessed to plotting 'a triple bombing during which the car and two suicide bombers were supposed to blow up. The third suspect, Joumana Hmayyed, was kept in custody, according to the state-run news agency. Extremist organizations, including a group calling itself al-Nusra Front in Lebanon, have claimed responsibility for a series of suicide attacks in recent months against areas considered strongholds of Hizbullah. Dozens of civilians were killed and scores were wounded in the bombings. Geagea had been adamant to stay out of the cabinet, saying he would not share power with Hizbullah. He has also reportedly expressed dismay at the recent rapprochement between Hariri and his foe Free Patriotic Movement chief Michel Aoun. Concerning Salam's cabinet ministerial policy statement, Fatfat stressed that the Baabda declaration should be the basis of any ministerial statement, which should be in alignment with the Bkirki charter. Maronite Patriarch Beshara al-Rahi had unveiled early in February a treaty that calls for holding the presidential elections on time. It also demanded that political powers adhere to the country's national pact and place national interests above personal ones. Asked about army-people-resistance equation, the lawmaker ruled out the possibility of mentioning the formula in the ministerial statement, whether directly or in an indirect way. On ground, Tripoli witnessed a tensed evening as three stun grenades were hurled on the international highway. Meanwhile, radio Voice of Lebanon Later in the evening, two stun grenades were hurled on the Bab al-Ramel cemetery in the city, according to the NNA. Abdul Rahman Diab, known as Aboudi Nwasi, was gunned down in his car by an unidentified motorcyclist. The slain man, who is an Alawite residing in Jabal Mohsen, is the father of Youssef Diab who is in detention as he was charged along with several others in connection with the August bombings of the two mosques in Tripoli. Jackie Chamoun insisted her mind was solely on skiing Friday as she competed in the Olympic slalom, days after footage of a topless photo shoot caused an uproar in the country. The year-old finished the first of two runs in 58th place and said she had received plenty of support from people in Sochi and in Lebanon. Last week, video footage emerged online of a three-year-old photo shoot that showed the skier posing topless in ski boots and skis in Faraya mountains. The images sparked a flap in Lebanon, including a ministerial demand for an investigation. But Chamoun said the scandal back home was of no importance as she took part in her second Winter Olympics. I was here, happy to do the race and I was focused,' said the trim skier. I'm happy to be here, I cannot think about something else right now. The race is the best thing you can think about, you just have to focus. I just continue, it's not a big obstacle. It's a shame because I believe we did nothing wrong,' he told Agence France Presse. Despite the initial outcry, Chamoun said plenty of people had expressed their support for her. But she punched the air on arrival and beamed at the crowd as if her time of 1min It's just the best feeling to cross the finish line, I'm glad and I hope to do better in the second run. SourceAgence France Presse. Murad was arrested on Wednesday in the al-Metn neighborhood of Bourj Hammoud pending investigation for his suspected involvement in terrorist acts. Media reports had noted then that the football player was detained following the the confessions of detainee Naim Abbas. Abbas, a top militant and one of the leaders of the Qaida-linked Abdullah Azzam Brigades, was held last week and he informed the army during his interrogation about a car rigged with more than kilos of explosives which was dismantled in Beirut's Corniche al-Mazraa district. The Abdullah Azzam Brigades claimed responsibility for the deadly double blast that hit the Beirut neighborhood of Bir Hassan on Wednesday. However, the army intelligence assured that the arrest of Murad has nothing to do with Wednesday's bombings. Eleven people were killed and more than injured when two suicide bombers blew up two bomb-laden cars near the Iranian cultural center in Beirut's Bir Hassan district on Wednesday. The double bombing was claimed by the Qaida-linked Abdullah Azzam Brigades, which said the attack was in retaliation to the role of Hizbullah and Iran in the Syrian conflict. Extremist groups have claimed responsibility for a series of suicide attacks in recent months against areas considered strongholds of Hizbullah that have killed dozens of civilians. Spokesman for the force Andrea Tenenti said that some 50 residents halted the patrol as it approached the area, surrounded it, and began pelting it with rocks. No one was injured in the incident, but damage was incurred to the vehicles, he added. This jeopardizes its peacekeeping mission, he explained, while revealing that an investigation by UNIFIL and the army has been opened in the attack. NNA said that the assault began when the patrol sought to take photographs of the Aita al-Shaab aarea. The residents prevented the troops from taking the photographs, but the situation escalated into a verbal dispute that ended up with the locals pelting the patrol with rocks and destroying their cameras. An Army Intelligence unit in Bint Jbeil soon intervened to resolve the situation as the patrol withdrew from the scene. The latest of these blasts took place on Wednesday, as a double explosion hit the Bir Hassan neighborhood in southern Beirut. The bombs were claimed by the al-Qaida-linked Abdullah Azzam Brigades which explained that its operations are a retaliation against Hizbullah's interference in the Syrian war. At noon, NNA said said two artillery shells fell near a public school in the northern Bekaa town of al-Souwwaniyeh. The source of the fire was also the Eastern Mountain Range. No one was injured in the incident. Throughout the week, a number of rockets were fired from the Syrian side of the eastern mountain range against the Bekaa. On Wednesday, five rockets were fired from the Syrian side of the border against the region of Brital. A sixth rocket fell on the outskirts of the town of Maarboun. On Tuesday, five rockets fired from the Lebanese-Syrian border landed on the outskirts of the Bekaa town of al-Bazzaliyeh and nearby areas. A number of rockets had been fired from the Syrian side of the border against the Bekaa since Hizbullah's acknowledgment of its fighting in the Syrian conflict alongside the country's ruling regime. The daily said Washington believes that Lebanon needs a strong president, who is capable of discussing with Hizbullah about its arms or the defense strategy rather than provoking it. No one other than Aoun, who is Hizbullah's top ally in the March 8 camp, can play this role, it quoted sources as saying. The sources also said that Saudi Arabia, which similar to the U. Such a rapprochement wouldn't have taken place without a Saudi-U. President Michel Suleiman's term ends in May No one has yet officially announced his candidacy for the post. The Constitution says the parliament should start holding sessions in March 25 to elect a new head of state. The source also pointed out that the Arab League Foreign ministers will also discuss the situation in Lebanon on March 5 and 6. Sources told As Safir daily that a meeting between U. The meeting will also discuss the upcoming presidential elections in Lebanon. Meanwhile, The International community is calling on the Lebanese to swiftly draft the cabinet's ministerial policy statement and attain the confidence vote at the parliament ahead of the International Support Group to Lebanon, which will be held on March 5 in Paris. The support group was inaugurated in New York in September ,on the sidelines of the 68th session of the General Assembly. It undertook to work together to mobilize support for the sovereignty and state institutions of Lebanon and to highlight and promote efforts to assist the country where it was most affected by the Syrian crisis, including in respect of strengthening the capacity of the Lebanese Armed Forces, assistance to refugees, and structural and financial support to the government. The number of Syrian refugees in Lebanon had surged to around , according to the United Nations' refugee agency UNHCR as Lebanon has been facing difficulties in coping with their burden. Airport Authorities Foil Smuggling of 7. The person who came from France was carrying around two kilos of cocaine while the person who arrived from the UAE was carrying around 5. It noted that the operation was thwarted in coordination with the airport's General Security department. History shall answer these questions, and hold Russia and China accountable for the catastrophic outcome in Syria compared to that in Yemen. Nor will history be kind to the United States , which has washed its hands clean of Syria. So much so that it has allowed both the regime and extremism to triumph over the moderates and innocents, who wanted nothing more than reform when they took to the streets three years ago. Protests in the public squares demanding change and reform in Ukraine , Venezuela , Thailand , and elsewhere have used Tahrir Square in Egypt as their model. Yemen has turned from a classical state that knew only strict centralization to a complex state that espouses and embraces federalism, which is something that planners are thinking about in some other countries now. Only Libya is still unable to recover, although Libya received the biggest assistance to help it get rid of its tyrant during the Arab wave of change. As for Syria , well, this country is a testament to the miserable failure of the local, regional, and international conscience. It is being now said that U. President Barack Obama is ready to listen to advice and strategic options that would replace his uncompromising pragmatism. It is being said that Obama now understands that his strategy based on self-dissociation from the Syrian tragedy has empowered both the Neo-Jihadists and the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad — and his allies, Russia , China , Iran , and Hezbollah. Both sides, that is the Salafist extremist axis and the axis of quadripartite extremism fighting in the Syrian conflict believe they are about to win, something that seems to be taken into account in U. For this reason perhaps, Washington went back to the policy drawing board. Moscow and Beijing have taken note, but they continue to wager that the U. President will not deviate from non-involvement in the Syrian crisis, no matter what happens. Tehran and Hezbollah have also taken note, but their wager is on long-term patience and the reputation the U. Clearly, the Obama administration has come to realize that the current dynamic makes its policy of self-dissociation and mutual exhaustion a bad investment, and a costly failure. Bashar al-Assad, whom Obama called on to step down, has grown stronger and more attached to power. The moderate opposition has been weakened, and is now fighting along two fronts, one against the regime and one against the Neo-Jihadists. Russia and Iran are winning in Syria , while the U. This reality is not conducive to U. Even in the best-case scenario, the proponents of U. In the worst-case scenario, terrorism might return to the U. For this reason, the Obama administration has returned to the policy-drafting board, and through the U. No one expects President Obama to upend his policy and directly intervene in Syria militarily. The Obama administration could study options for a no-fly zone, but its calculations will not be based on deploying U. This is a foregone conclusion unless an extraordinary development is to occur. The meeting of the Saudi, Emirati, Qatari, Turkish, and American intelligence services in Washington recently signaled a shift in the U. This was accompanied by several measures and developments: Salim Idriss was sacked from the command of the armed Syrian opposition; more determination was shown at the UN to push for humanitarian aid corridors across the border; public blame was laid on Russia for the failure of Geneva 2, which seeks a transitional political process in Syria; and Saudi Interior Minister Prince Mohammed bin Nayef was put in charge of the Syrian issue, as far as Saudi intelligence is concerned, replacing Prince Bandar bin Sultan. Riyadh has adopted tough new attitudes against its citizens who take part in the fighting alongside the Neo-Jihadist Salafist extremists. Riyadh then replaced Prince Bandar bin Sultan with Prince Mohammed bin Nayef, a development that carries extremely important implications and connotations. One of the most important messages these measures represent is that Saudi Arabia is determined to have a serious and qualitative partnership with the U. The goal is to turn the tables on the Syrian-Russian deliberate misinterpretation of Geneva 2, whose purpose Syria and Russia wanted to change from forming a transitional governing body to fighting terrorism. Another indirect message is addressed to the moderate wing in Iran, stating that Saudi policy intends to head off any attempt to exploit the Syrian ordeal to foment Sunni-Shiite discord. However, this does not mean leaving the arena open to the axis consisting of the regime, Iran, Russia, China, and Hezbollah to achieve more military gains on the ground, but rather the opposite. What the shift in U. Washington favors persuading Russia to radically alter its relationship with Assad. However, it has finally concluded that Moscow is manipulating the U. Washington has found itself suddenly in a confrontational posture with Moscow, after turning a blind eye for too long. Among the main causes are the current developments in Ukraine. Moscow has decided to take a step back and agreed to take part in negotiations over a humanitarian resolution, to be put to a vote possibly on Friday. The resolution would be the first on Syria since the dual Russian-Chinese veto wielded three times — with the exception of the resolution on dismantling the chemical weapons — if adopted and if it passes the test of the fourth veto. Most likely, it will be a tactical one akin to losing a battle in order to win the war. Inducing a qualitative shift in Russian attitudes certainly requires a serious and consistent shift in Washington's policies on Syria. This in turn requires a clear decision at the level of the U. The other essential element in U. China hid behind its strategic alliance with Moscow, and allowed Russia to lead on Syria, flouting its economic relations with both Washington and Riyadh, and ignoring the humanitarian tragedy in Syria. It is time for a serious squaring off with China, using the language of interests and strategic realities. It is no longer acceptable to exempt Beijing from accountability for its attitudes on Syria. Both China and Russia have contributed to the deterioration of the situation in Syria, and to its transformation into a crumbling state and an arena for the resurgence of al-Qaeda and its affiliates, who are now able to threaten the stability of neighboring countries. Both China and Russia left the U. Both China and Russia have been extremely hostile to the so-called Arab Spring, perhaps fearing that protests and regime-changing uprisings would soon spread to Chinese and Russian cities. They both deliberately resolved to push to the fore the military option in Syria, to take revenge on the Arab Spring and prevent the proliferation of demonstrations. In Independence Square in Kiev, a translated version of the Egyptian documentary The Square directed by Jehane Noujaim and produced by Karim Amer was screened, as an inspiration for change and to reaffirm the ability to replace the need for authoritarian leaders with the need for conscience. Jehane Noujaim has been nominated for an Academy Award for best documentary feature. It is a great achievement that Jehane is the only Arab woman who has received a nomination in this category. Equally remarkable is the fact that she is one of two women candidates nominated in the Academy Awards for for documentary features — the other candidate being Yemeni-Scottish director Sarah Ishaq in the documentary short category for her film Karama Has No Walls. Indeed, the squares that demanded change, reform, and the right to protest have won the confidence of people worldwide. The Square will triumph over the military field, no matter how differently things might seem to be. Question: 'Why are there so many different Christian interpretations? If all Christians have the same Bible, and the same Holy Spirit, should not Christians be able to agree? In verse 3, Paul makes an appeal to humility, meekness, patience, and love—all of which are necessary to preserve unity. According to 1 Corinthians , the Holy Spirit knows the mind of God verse 11 , which He reveals verse 10 and teaches verse 13 to those whom He indwells. This activity of the Holy Spirit is called illumination. As can be clearly seen, this is not a perfect world. Not everyone who possesses the Holy Spirit actually listens to the Holy Spirit. There are Christians who grieve Him Ephesians Ask any educator—even the best classroom teacher has his share of wayward students who seem to resist learning, no matter what the teacher does. So, one reason different people have different interpretations of the Bible is simply that some do not listen to the Teacher—the Holy Spirit. Following are some other reasons for the wide divergence of beliefs among those who teach the Bible. The fact is that many who claim to be Christians have never been born again. Many who do not even believe the Bible to be true presume to teach it. They claim to speak for God yet live in a state of unbelief. Most false interpretations of Scripture come from such sources. It is impossible for an unbeliever to correctly interpret Scripture. An unsaved man cannot understand the truth of the Bible. He has no illumination. An example of the chaos created by unbelief is found in John Lack of training. The apostle Peter warns against those who misinterpret the Scriptures. There is no shortcut to proper biblical interpretation; we are constrained to study. Poor hermeneutics. Much error has been promoted because of a simple failure to apply good hermeneutics the science of interpreting Scripture. Taking a verse out of its immediate context can do great damage to the intent of the verse. Ignorance of the whole Word of God. Apollos was a powerful and eloquent preacher, but he only knew the baptism of John. He was ignorant of Jesus and His provision of salvation, so his message was incomplete. After that, Apollos preached Jesus Christ. Some groups and individuals today have an incomplete message because they concentrate on certain passages to the exclusion of others. They fail to compare Scripture with Scripture. Selfishness and pride. Failure to mature. When Christians are not maturing as they should, their handling of the Word of God is affected. Indeed, you are still not ready. Undue emphasis on tradition. Some churches claim to believe the Bible, but their interpretation is always filtered through the established traditions of their church. Where tradition and the teaching of the Bible are in conflict, tradition is given precedence. This effectively negates the authority of the Word and grants supremacy to the church leadership. On the essentials, the Bible is abundantly clear. There is nothing ambiguous about the deity of Christ, the reality of heaven and hell, and salvation by grace through faith. On some issues of less importance, however, the teaching of Scripture is less clear, and this naturally leads to different interpretations. For example, we have no direct biblical command governing the frequency of communion or the style of music to use. Honest, sincere Christians can have differing interpretations of the passages concerning these peripheral issues. The important thing is to be dogmatic where Scripture is and to avoid being dogmatic where Scripture is not. What we are witnessing these days reminds me of a scene in the famous Hollywood movie Some Like it Hot. However, given the accumulation of these so-called mistakes without America ever learning the right lessons rather, it repeats the same mistakes again and again indicates they may not be unintentional. After Saddam invaded Kuwait, the decision to topple his regime became almost guaranteed, given that the former Iraqi president had reached a point of no return in terms of his relationship with some of his neighbors. But superpowers interested in regime change in Baghdad should have considered the geopolitical realities of the region, especially given that Iran managed to fill the political vacuum in Iraq created by the US invasion. Had the enmity between the US and Iran been real, the new Tehran-dominated status quo in Iraq should have prompted Washington to formulate a more balanced and prudent regional policy. Alas, this was not the case. This fact could not be lost on those who remember that only a few years ago both the US and Iran were enthusiastic about the use of force in Iraq to get rid of Saddam Hussein. Of course, the White House changed hands in , from conservative right-wing Republicans to moderate liberal Democrats, and thus priorities also must have changed in the process. But in major countries where power is based on transparent democratic systems and constitutional institutions, differences over issues of national security and major international issues remain somewhat restricted. Actually, despite his peaceful and passive approach, even President Jimmy Carter tried to launch an operation to rescue US hostages in Iran. Regan repeated his electoral victory and resolved his war against the bloated Soviet administration. However, as usual, this was not the case. Allowing the regime to get away with using chemical weapons was perhaps the most dangerous step taken by the US. Thus, it was quite natural that the Syrian regime took full advantage of this passivity, adopting a scorched-earth policy across the country. The situation facing the Free Syrian Army on the ground has worsened recently as the regime stepped up its attacks on the remaining rebel-controlled areas in the Qalamoun Mountains and in the northern and southern parts of the country. This bitter reality may explain how the formation of the new government in Lebanon suddenly became possible after ten months and ten days of bickering, trading accusations, security tensions and the return of the language of assassination. Is Ukraine clearly divided between pro-Russian and pro-European factions? Both Obama and Putin have kept their intervention in the Ukraine conflict low key. Neither does the US president want to be dragged into European affairs after he and three of his predecessors in the White House expended considerable energy on disassociating America from the continent and pivoting the US eastward. The bloody confrontations in Maidan Square renamed Independence Square by the protesters were for him an unnecessary distraction from his chosen course. Vice President Joe Biden could not have expected his demand to pull security police back from the embattled Kiev square be taken seriously by that President Yanukovych, because it would have amounted to his capitulation and handover of rule to the protesters after three months of strife. Putin has also been careful to skirt the conflict. Neither has he stepped forward to mediate dispute, leaving the task to the European Union, which sent the French, German and Polish foreign ministers to Kiev to broker a deal for ending the clashes. On the ground, casualties soared and armed gunmen went into action Thursday, Feb. Although neither side is likely to admit this, the escalation was not spontaneous; it happened after both quietly threw bands of armed, out-of-control radicals into the fray in order to finally end the standoff. Yanukovich enlisted Ukraine nationalist extremists, some of them fervently pro-Russian, from the eastern provinces, where more than half of the million strong population is Russian-speaking and close to Moscow. The opposition rounded up armed radicals from the west, a part of Ukraine which a century ago was under Polish, then Austro-Hungarian rule. Here, Russian is not spoken and Moscow is anathema. These gangs seized the barricades in Independence Square. The gunfire across the square Thursday came from the shooting between the warring camps of radicals. They also accounted for most of the fatalities. After this explosion of violence, both sides understood that an agreement could not longer be postponed, both to stop the bloodshed and to prevent the armed radicals taking over and throwing Ukraine into full-blown civil war. Neither Yanukovych nor Klitshko was prepared to let this happen. Amid a shaky calm in Kiev Friday morning, President Yanukovych announced that all-night talks with the opposition, led by Klitschko and assisted by the European mediators, had culminated in an agreement to resolve the crisis. Some Kiev sources added that Yanokovych has agreed to constitutional reforms for reducing presidential powers. In the electric atmosphere in the Ukrainian capital, it is to soon to evaluate the life expectancy of this agreement or determine whether the two parties are capable of getting past their differences and forming a working coalition government. The agreement is encountering its final critical points, as the interim nuclear deal will expire in July The actual objective here is to further build on the interim nuclear deal, under which Tehran is receiving sanctions relief in exchange for halting some of its sensitive nuclear developments. Although Iran is in breach of U. Security Council resolutions for enriching uranium, the final deal will allow Tehran to continue enrichment at a specific level. The stakes are high in this final-phase and the issues in the way of reaching a final nuclear deal are complex. The major issue for Western countries is to chart out a path and make sure that Iran will lower its nuclear activities to a level ensuring that they will not be capable of producing a nuclear bomb anytime soon. Also, the six powers expect for Iranian leaders to agree torestrict the enrichment of uranium to a low fissile concentration approximately 3. The optimistic trend We can analyze the talks from either a cautious approach based onprevious nuclear negotiations with Iran or from a promising and optimistic prism. From the auspicious view, the final nuclear deal looks to be reachable by some politicians, including President Obama. The first reason is that the West and the United States are hesitant to take any other path other than the current one. The tendency of the Obama administration to avoid confrontation with Tehran like considering military action or tougher sanctions in case the nuclear talks fail , has contributed to pushing for a deal, releasing assets to Iran, easing sanctions in some industries, and reaching the interim nuclear deal. This open market could be another crucial factor in pushing for a final nuclear deal. This can open up vast business opportunities for Western companies. Iranian leaders are attempting to increase oil sales to strengthen their economy, to secure regional hegemonic ambitions. Dampening optimism and idealism If the stances of both sides and the nuances of their domestic politics are examined closely, the complexity of the final phase of nuclear talks can be highlighted. Both sides, particularly Iran, have to address the hardliners at home. IRGC generals and officials do not desire to observe the success of the final nuclear deal for three reasons. First of all, the final nuclear deal would mean that Iran would come out of geopolitical and economic isolation. The privatization and opening of the market to the other companies would be a risk for the IRGC. Iranian leaders view North Korea as a real example of how possessing nuclear weapons can be used as deterrent to prevent external forces from intervening. They are definitely among our red lines in any talks. The missiles are estimated to have ranges of approximately 1, kilometers which give Iran the military capability to strike U. It will only leave the West with the option to extend the interim deal, if a final deal is not reached. However, when it comes to a political, economic and military cost-benefit analysis, it appears that the priority for the Islamic Republic is to have powerful nuclear deterrence. This could not only ensure the survival of the current political establishment, but can also significantly change the power relations in the region in favor of the Islamic Republic. He is originally from the Islamic Republic of Iran and Syria. He has been a recipient of several scholarships and fellowship including from Oxford University, Annenberg University, University of California Santa Barbara, and Fulbright Teaching program. He can be reached at rafizadeh fas.

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