Searching fixed games
https://www.dropping-odds.com/betting_tools.php?view=drop_htNovember 18, 2024The most useful bot, it notifies when Bet365 drop the first half markets.
Drop HT market is a notification to their security service about a potentially fixed game / insider. And the bookmaker insures itself against possible losses by removing the half, as the odds there are much higher and you can take various pairs for very high odds, such as 1/2, X/2, etc.
There are up to 50 such games per month, but almost all of them are potentially fixed, and the most high-profile of them are written about in the Media.
Where to bet?
- A rare case, but the most profitable, when bet365 blocked the game line and began to sharply lower the odds. For example:
Bet365 offers -4.5 for odds of 1.8
Local bookmaker -2.5 for odds of 2.7
ROI for such bets is 50-100%, but there are very few of them (0-2 per month)
❗️Below it is important to understand that the winrate of bets on this bot is much higher than separately on dropping odds or on notifications on the exchange. And if you take a combination of factors - a drop in the odds, bets on the exchange, drop the time, then the probability of winning can reach 75-85%.
2. Check the Betfair exchange
https://telegra.ph/Advice-and-recommendations-Excappercom-02-27
3. Watch the dropping odds
https://telegra.ph/Tracker-Line-bet365-Football-11-26
4. View on the website (updated once per minute). Full update will be in mid-December 2024
https://www.dropping-odds.com/betting_tools.php?view=drop_ht
In the next update there will be an additional notification in Telegram about the drop in the odds / raise in the total.
5. No visible line changes
Firstly, there were rare cases when they bet on the exchange (more than 30,000 euros were in the pair) on 0.5 under in the half. Such cases are very rare, but possible.
Perhaps the bet was on Asia or somewhere in regional bookmakers, and the line on bet365 and the exchange did not change significantly. If you are not sure about the outcome, you can simply skip it.
Bot Statistics
This bot sends signals, and simply betting on total over (HT / FT), you will get about 10-12% ROI. If you select them, then the ROI can be in the range of 20-30%
Facts
Drop a half is about 80% winrate of a goal in the half: https://dropping-odds.com/betting_tools.php?view=drop_ht
The league factor is very dependent on the picks. For example, India often plays on the total over in the game (70% winrate), and Uganda on the half (85% winrate)
When many bets are made on the FT game, the bookmaker can drop the half, insuring against "additions". For almost 5 years, there have been many cases when the total over line was overstated by 2-3 goals, and the first ended 0-0, but in the second there were 5-8 goals.
The winrate of bets with a drop in odds in live is about 66-70%, and with a drop in odds in pre-match only 60%.
With cumulative factors, the winrate of bets reaches up to 80%, this is blocking the bet365 line, a drop in odds and bets on the exchange.
The home team's wins factor is much higher if there is a clear favorite playing at home, it is more profitable to bet on his handicap than on the overall total of the game.
https://dropping-odds.com/betting_tools.php?view=drop_ht
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