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The severe El Niño in South America is a preview of a climate-changed world

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But in-depth reporting is costly, so to continue this vital work, we have an ambitious goal to add 5, new members. We rely on readers like you to fund our journalism. Will you support our work and become a Vox Member today? Dengue, drought, and floods are hammering Peru and Bolivia this year. This story is part of a Vox series examining how the climate crisis is impacting communities around the world, as the 28th annual United Nations conference on climate change COP28 unfolds. Ordinarily, a chilly swirl of currents would churn up nutrients that feed wildlife near the surface, yielding a bountiful catch. The arrival of warm water slowed the currents, and thus halting the upwelling of phosphorus and nitrogen from deep in the ocean that normally fed plankton that in turn fed fish. As a result, the fishermen would often return home with empty nets. Since then, scientists have learned that what fishers observed is actually a powerful mechanism that ripples all the way across the Pacific Ocean and reshapes weather around the world. It may also be the first time global average temperatures rise 1. The Paris climate agreement set a goal of holding average temperature increases to less than 1. And this year is already leaving scars. The region has experienced an unusually warm Southern Hemisphere winter with intense heat waves that left inland lakes near record-low water levels. The Andean region has also seen heavy rains and deadly floods in The severe weather has damaged farms and is accelerating a migration from rural to urban areas in several South American countries. Now summer is setting in, and more weather extremes are looming. The Andean region faces some of the most severe consequences from climate change, but the hardships for its people and economies will reverberate across the globe. Now negotiators from the Andean region are meeting their counterparts from around the world at COP28, the annual United Nations climate summit, held in the United Arab Emirates this year, to hash out the next steps for action on climate change. One of the highest priorities for countries like Peru and Ecuador is to secure more funding to cope with the climate change damage underway, as well as the greater toll that lies ahead. Yet the goal of keeping warming below 1. In South America, the Andes mountains channel that moisture so that some areas get a lot more precipitation, while others get much less. But subregions like the Peruvian Andes can experience both extremes in a season, a brutal whiplash from floods to drought, making it extraordinarily difficult for residents to adapt. The Amazon river, which has its source in Peru, is suffering from a severe drought this year. Alongside extreme heat, the weather has contributed to wildlife deaths, including dozens of Amazon river dolphins. The dry weather also left the Pantanal wetlands just south of the Amazon rainforest primed to burn. Fires ignited by lightning charred critical wetlands for jaguars. The high water levels are likely to wash out roads, bridges, and other pieces of low-lying infrastructure. And in the coming years, rising average temperatures will continue to amplify these extremes. And the effects of severe heat and drought are particularly strong on children. These changes are making it harder for subsistence farmers to survive as losses mount due to weather extremes, leading many to move away from rural areas toward cities. In countries like Bolivia, that migration presents social challenges. Bolivia has been a bright spot in global development, growing its economy and making advances in key development indicators like reducing infant mortality and poverty. Bolivia has an extreme poverty rate of The Bolivian government set a goal of ending it entirely by But according to the United Nations World Food Programme , climate change is threatening to undo some of this progress. Unless the pace of warming decreases, Bolivia is poised to see a 22 percent increase in food insecurity by the s. Peru has also been getting hammered by extreme weather this year. Heavy rains since January killed at least 77 people , made almost 50, homes uninhabitable, and left more than , people in need of government assistance, about 30 percent of them children. Cyclone Yaku in March triggered floods and mudslides, wiping out the entire rice crop for some farmers. Because of their altitude, most major Peruvian cities have historically had very few mosquitos. But with rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns, mosquitos are climbing further up, and so are the diseases they carry. According to the Pan American Health Organization , the Andean region as a whole has seen , cases of dengue and deaths from the infection this year. This all adds up to a tremendous economic toll. But the toll was concentrated in tropical countries like Peru that experienced the biggest weather perturbations. Rather than building schools or investing in research, money goes toward seawalls, drainage systems, and relocating people. The main strategy is anticipating threats rather than just responding to them. Over the long term, the goal is to reduce overall risk by incorporating models of future warming into current land, development, and disaster plans. There is also work underway to deploy early warning systems that could offer more time to prepare ahead of a severe weather event, saving lives and property. These systems could, for example, facilitate evacuations, help governments allocate relief supplies before a flash flood cuts off a remote village, or implement sanitation procedures and deploy mobile hand-washing stations when infection risks are high. The challenge is not just protecting physical infrastructure but keeping networks of first responders, local governments, and funding agencies running after a major storm. The core problem, though, is that countries like Ecuador, Bolivia, and Peru are among those that produced the fewest greenhouse gas emissions that are driving global warming, but they are facing some of the most extensive consequences. So at the COP28 climate change summit, the top priority for these countries is to get more money to cope with ongoing devastation and to prepare for the bigger threats that lie ahead. Just creating this fund was a hard-fought process as many wealthy countries opposed any hint that they were liable for the harms generated by their appetite for fossil fuels. Countries are already struggling to meet past cash commitments. These shortfalls are troubling not only because it means people in some of the most vulnerable regions will have a harder time adapting to climate change, but also because it makes it harder to solve the problem overall. To limit climate change, at any level, every country in the world will eventually have to zero out their greenhouse gas emissions. Without outside help, developing countries may choose to prioritize burning coal, oil, and natural gas to bolster their economies in the near term, slowing the campaign to decarbonize the global economy. The stakes are higher than ever, and at the tail end of the hottest year humanity has ever experienced, the consequences of uncontrolled climate change have never been more vivid. Understand the world with a daily explainer plus the most compelling stories of the day. Why the right side of a tropical cyclone is the most dangerous. Just a tiny fraction of the global GDP could help stave off ecological collapse. Introducing a limited-run series exploring Indigenous solutions to extreme weather rooted in history — and the future. What Indigenous knowledge could mean in the fight to curb global warming. Wetlands absorb carbon from the atmosphere. Skip to main content The homepage Vox Vox logo. The homepage Vox Vox logo. Navigation Drawer. Become a Member. Support Vox. Facebook Link. Karlotta Freier for Vox. Umair Irfan is a correspondent at Vox writing about climate change, Covid, and energy policy. Irfan is also a regular contributor to the radio program Science Friday. Some Bolivian communities are receiving weekly water deliveries after a severe drought this year dried up local supplies. Related: The state of the climate crisis, a Vox series. The San Ildefonso dam in Bolivia sits at 8 percent of its capacity as a severe drought persists this year across parts of the country. Cyclone Yaku caused extensive flooding throughout Peru in March. South America is adapting, but countries need help to endure the changes ahead. Sanitation workers across Peru fumigated homes this year to control the mosquitos that spread dengue as the country contends with a severe outbreak. See More: Climate Down to Earth. Most Popular. The big political shift that explains the election. Member Exclusive. Today, Explained Understand the world with a daily explainer plus the most compelling stories of the day. Email required. By submitting your email, you agree to our Terms and Privacy Notice. Advertiser Content From. More in Climate. Is climate change really making hurricanes worse? Changing With Our Climate. Climate Oct By Coleman Lowndes. By Umair Irfan. Down to Earth Oct By Benji Jones. By Paige Vega. By Paige Vega and Joseph Lee. By Joseph Lee. 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Buying hash Huancayo