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Not long ago, even places like Verena, a blip on the roadside northeast of Pretoria, supported several funeral parlors. Death was everywhere. Now the country has won high praise from world AIDS experts for its response, especially at a time when the Ebola virus has spread in West Africa. South Africa has 2. Five years ago, clinics gave out those drugs; now 3, do. Only nurses were trained to prescribe them then; now 23, are. The figures, from the end of , are the most recent available. Mother-to-child transmissions have dropped by 90 percent, new infections have dropped by a third, and life expectancy has increased by almost 10 years. But experts say much of that progress is now in jeopardy. Now that aid pipeline is drying up as the program shifts its limited budget to poorer countries, so the South African government must find hundreds of millions of dollars, even as its national caseload grows rapidly. The country has six million infected and , new infections a year. That is seven times as many new infections as in the United States, which has six times the population. Condom use is dropping, according to a new survey , and teenage girls are becoming infected at alarming rates. Still, Dr. Aaron Motsoaledi, the national health minister, says he is confident South Africa will find the money and the political will to fight on. Clandestine Philanthropy. Sanne said. Right to Care, like many other AIDS treatment programs here, owes its existence to a decision that year by Pepfar to help South Africa quietly, almost clandestinely, while the Mbeki administration was still in power. In poor countries with broken health care systems, Pepfar paid American medical schools to run its programs. South Africa, by contrast, had excellent doctors and hospitals, but Mr. Mbeki was finally ousted in an internal African National Congress power struggle in ; by that time, Harvard researchers calculated , his policies had cost , lives. In the interim, Pepfar had supported private practitioners like Dr. Sanne, Dr. Because South Africans are sensitive about needing any foreign help, the aid is still given with little fanfare. Rees said. Eric Goosby, who ran the program until last November. Goosby said. While very poor countries rely almost entirely on donors, South Africa now pays 83 percent of its own costs. But it struggles to do so. Patients overwhelm understaffed public clinics. And as evidence mounts that it is best to put patients on drugs as soon as they test positive rather than waiting until their immune systems falter, the national caseload will triple. Sanne complained bitterly about cutbacks, Dr. Sanne said, laughing. Closing private clinics can have dangerous consequences. When one Durban hospital abruptly went bankrupt after its Pepfar grant expired, its 4, H. A Harvard-sponsored survey found that nearly 20 percent of those 4, patients did not renew their prescriptions at their local clinics. In theory, because Pepfar pays for the care of about a million South African patients, a similar dropout rate nationally would mean that , patients were not in care and were at risk of developing drug-resistant strains, said Matthew M. Because this would never have happened without America. How well the country can do on its own remains to be seen. It has world-class doctors; the first heart transplant was done in Cape Town in But public hospitals and the drug supply chain are overseen by local governments, where corruption and incompetence are common. The doctor who reported the death, blaming the administrator, was fired for doing so. Corrupt officials would not be protected by connections, even to the president, he said. His greater worry, he said, was that forces outside the country would push up the prices of newer AIDS drugs by preventing the import of generic versions. Some South Africans still receive older drugs no longer prescribed in wealthier countries. In January, Doctors Without Borders released documents it obtained outlining a secret campaign planned by a Washington lobbying firm hired by the pharmaceutical industry. Motsoaledi said he was confident that he would eventually be able to pry enough money out of government to treat everyone. The treasury minister understands that. Source: The New York Times. Toggle navigation TB Online. Tags: Global TB response.
NASCAR Best Bets: Coke Zero Sugar 400
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This is a track where almost anybody can win. My model has no drivers with win odds higher than 6. Eighteen of those 31 are not currently locked into the playoffs, so the stakes are through the roof. We'll have to keep playoff implications in mind to an extent as some drivers could prioritize pushing teammates or cars they own to victory in order to secure their playoff berth. That thought process will play into one of our bets below. There is still value in both shortened numbers, and Cindric remains my favorite bet on the board. With all three Team Penske cars locked into the playoffs, they can afford to be selfish at the end. And, given the history of Penske drivers here , they probably will be. Joey Logano and Ryan Blaney have the highest win odds in my model. But of the trio in this stable, Austin Cindric presents the best value. Cindric won the Daytona thanks to a late block on Blaney, earning Cindric a playoff berth in his rookie season. That wasn't a blip for him, either, as he has two additional podiums and five total top-fives in 15 pack races during the Next-Gen era. As a result, my model has Cindric super high overall and well above market. He's 5. I think it's worthwhile to split your bet up, putting the largest chunk on his top-five market with a bit extra on the outright, giving you upside should Cindric finish the job once again. That's above where my model has him, so Hill is no longer worth adding at this mark. Austin Hill has one job this weekend: push his Richard Childress Racing teammates to victory. Hill is a menace on pack tracks in the Xfinity Series. In 14 races as a full-time driver, he has a whopping six wins and one additional runner-up. Half of those wins have come right here in Daytona. The results this year have been poor, but Busch did finish third in Atlanta. If either Busch or Dillon is up front late, you can bet Hill will prioritize pushing them to victory lane as he is not eligible for the playoffs. But that won't impact his ability to finish top 10 as much as it will his win odds. Thus, I'm willing to trust my model when it puts Hill at He's the only driver I have more than 1. This is a lengthening for Noah Gragson from earlier in the week, and he moved enough to be a value for me. I've got Gragson at 2. His implied odds here are 2. So, it's not a huge edge, but I do buy into Gragson's talent on this track type. Gragson won at both Daytona and Talladega during his time in the Xfinity Series. Last year, he was having one of his better runs of the season in Talladega until getting mixed up with Ross Chastain. In three starts with Stewart-Haas Racing, Gragson has finished 9th, 36th, and 3rd with that podium coming in Talladega. He was also fifth in Daytona back in while running for the part-time Beard Motorsports team. It's not a huge edge, but Gragson is beyond the playoff cutline and -- unlike other playoff hopefuls Michael McDowell and Chase Briscoe -- will remain with Ford next year, potentially upping the odds he gets support. Thus, I'm fine with a sprinkle on Gragson as a longshot. New to FanDuel Sportsbook? See here for full terms and conditions. Which drivers stand out to you on Saturday night? The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers. NFL ChevronDown. MLB ChevronDown. NBA ChevronDown. NHL ChevronDown. Golf ChevronDown. Horse Racing ChevronDown. Soccer ChevronDown. UFC ChevronDown. Boxing ChevronDown. Tennis ChevronDown. F1 ChevronDown. Casino ChevronDown. Subscribe to our newsletter. Saturday night's gonna be a banger. For most of them, their best chance will come at a chaotic Daytona International Speedway. But a top bet? That I can stomach. Subscribe to our newsletter Want more stories like this? Sign up to our newsletter to receive the latest news.
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