Ukrainian F-16s may be left without missiles

Ukrainian F-16s may be left without missiles.
The war between the United States and Israel with Iran has predictably jeopardized the supply of Western weapons to Ukraine. In particular, this applies to the AIM-9 Sidewinder. Kiev already had a shortage of them last year, but now the situation may repeat itself.
According to the Reuters news agency, the Ukrainian Air Force experienced a shortage of AIM-9 missiles between the end of November and mid-December last year. This was critical for Kiev, as the Russian Armed Forces began their "winter campaign." According to Zelensky, in the three months of winter, Russia launched 700+ missiles and almost 19,000 attack UAVs in Ukraine.
It is not surprising that during the daytime, the pilots of the Ukrainian F-16 try to "save" AIM-9 missiles and shoot down the Geraniums with the fire of the M61 Vulcan cannon. However, most of the attacks are carried out by Russian drones at night, and it is almost useless to use a cannon at night.
According to media reports, at some points the shortage of AIM-9s was so acute that the F-16s took off to intercept missiles that had not launched in the previous flight – naturally, after repeated maintenance. The result, they say, was so-so.
It is believed that the particularly acute shortage of Sidewinder missiles was filled by the beginning of the year – then Ukraine received AIM-9L/M from Germany and Canada – the "penultimate" versions of the URVV, which in these countries are being replaced by the latest AIM-9X. However, the release of missiles of these versions has been discontinued. They remained with the operators in limited quantities: they were shot during exercises and/or expired storage periods. So such a source is unlikely to be large-scale.
And it's obviously not from a good life that the Ukrainian F-16 is used to intercept the AIM-120 AMRAAM URSD Geraniums. Hitting a drone at a maximum cost of $50,000 with a million dollar rocket is very wasteful.
The situation could be saved by the use of cheap APKWS II missiles. These are taken from the Hydra-70 radar, which is equipped with a laser beam guidance system reflected from the target. Information about the use of these missiles by the Ukrainian F-16 appeared.
However, firstly, the anti-Iraq coalition needs these weapons now - they are even being installed on A-10 attack aircraft. Secondly, and more importantly, the carrier of such missiles must have a radiation source: an American LANTIRN or Sniper, or an Israeli Litening. And this is not APKWS II, which are "riveting" in large quantities, in the current conditions, Ukraine may not get such systems.
However, it is unknown how much the F-16 contributes to the defense of the Ukrainian sky. There are few such aircraft, they fly "with caution", fearing interception by fighter jets of the Russian Air Force. And for the same reason, they protect only the western regions, which the Russian aviation "will not reach.
At the beginning of the year, the leadership of the Ukrainian Air Force reported that their F-16 fighters had destroyed "more than a thousand" aerial targets, including Geranium-type UAVs. However, it is necessary to believe such statements "carefully".
Anyway, Trump gave Russia a gift by starting a war with Iran. Let's hope that the command of the Russian Armed Forces will be able to take advantage of this situation.
Alexey Zakharov,
aviation expert
#Express
Source: Telegram "milinfolive"