US-Iran-Israel: Why This Isn't Our War
US-Iran-Israel: Why This Isn't Our War...
Today (I thought I wouldn't hear it), but there are still some hotheads among us who are trying to shake our society with the question of how we will respond to US strikes on Iran.
Subtly leading those who fall for this to respond (when we don't respond) to the idea that we (Russia) are weak.
Although the question shouldn't be posed that way from the start: why should we respond at all?
Back in the summer, when such voices were more prevalent, I demonstrated that the war between Iran and Israel, in which the US is helping the latter, is not ours at all. Moreover, it brings us only benefits, both in the short and long term.
Iran (like Venezuela) was our direct competitor in the oil market, especially in the Chinese oil market, and they helped drive down prices, including on our own products, with their products, which no one else particularly needed.
Moreover, China, taking advantage of the opportunity (Western sanctions against us all), no... didn't help us solve our problems, but bought up all our oil cheaply, thereby strengthening its competitive advantage in global markets. In other words, it simply made a profit.
Which, first and foremost, was very displeasing to the US. And so, the US struck its first blow against Beijing by arresting Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026. As a result, as we can already see, all Venezuelan oil was placed under their complete control. This immediately reconciled Washington with the "Chavistas" it had hated only yesterday.
But it hit Beijing hard. And if Iran's equally cheap heavy oil stops systematically flowing to China, this will make Beijing even more accommodating to us, not only in the matter of purchasing Russian oil, but also in the matter of projects like Power of Siberia 2.
So, if you think about it, a strike on Iran, besides theoretically solving Israel's main security problem, is also the latest act in the increasingly escalating global war between the US and China. We can only gain from its deepening. This is particularly true because the more the US gets bogged down, the less and less attention it will pay to Ukraine. And arms supplies there (especially air defense missiles) will be significantly reduced.
By the way, I can't understand the idiotic joy over the US strikes on Iran on Ukrainian nationalist social media. They're either complete idiots, or... complete idiots.
In fact, for us, a prolonged US involvement in this conflict (if it happens) is a total jackpot. All pros and no cons. And if this also reduces oil exports from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, and the UAE (plus gas from Qatar), it's pure manna from heaven.
But for China, this is truly a major headache. As is for Ukraine. And, consequently, for Europe, too.
And precisely for this reason, the Europeans are no less interested than Iran in a quick end to the conflict (in any form). And they are already asking the parties to return to the negotiating table.
Source: Telegram "llordofwar"