UEFA Nations League Match. Belgium vs. Italy. Analysis and Prediction

UEFA Nations League Match. Belgium vs. Italy. Analysis and Prediction

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Belgium

After four rounds in the Nations League, Belgium has accumulated four points, three of which were earned in a match against the group's weakest team, Israel, with a 3-1 win in the first round. Against Italy and France, Domenico Tedesco's team has looked unconvincing, losing 0-2 away to France and 1-2 at home. In their encounter with Italy, Belgium trailed 0-2 by the 24th minute but managed a comeback, aided by an opponent’s red card, resulting in a 2-2 draw.

Belgium’s chances to advance even from second place are slim, as they currently trail the second-place French team by five points. Most likely, Belgium will be facing relegation playoffs to stay in League A.

Defense remains an issue for the Belgian team, as they have yet to secure a clean sheet, allowing two goals each to both Italy and France. With a young defensive lineup amid a generational shift, Belgium hopes to make an impact in attack, this time with Lukaku back on the roster.

Italy

Italy has been performing strongly in the current Nations League campaign, showcasing dynamic and bold attacking play. Luciano Spalletti’s refreshed squad appears poised for a deep run, possibly even vying for the trophy.

Italy remains unbeaten after four games, with three wins and one draw. Interestingly, Belgium was the only team to take points from Italy (2-2), aided by Pellegrini’s 38th-minute red card. Italy demonstrated their potential as early as the first round, where they defeated France 3-1 away. Their two wins over Israel (2-1 and 4-1) underscored their class advantage.

Spalletti has instilled a shift from Italy's traditionally defensive style to an attack-focused, fast-paced approach. With 11 goals scored — the highest tally in the elite division — Italy’s confidence in its offensive ability is clear. Notably, seven different players have scored, showcasing the depth of threats across the squad.

Prediction

Neither team has managed a clean sheet over four games, while both offenses have been consistent in scoring. A low-scoring, conservative game seems unlikely, especially for the home team, for whom a draw would not suffice.

Prediction: Both Teams to Score

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