Tips For Betting The Spread

Tips For Betting The Spread

Search

Search for

Submit

Search

Search for

Submit

If you’re aware of the injuries, it’s likely that the oddsmakers are, too.

Even the best teams in the NFL often have a difficult time putting together a winning record on the road.

Getting the best number is especially important when dealing with point spreads in the range of 3 and 7.

The information found on Gamblingsites.org is for entertainment purposes only. It is a purely informational website that does not accept wagers of any kind. Although certain pages within Gamblingsites.org feature or promote other online websites where users are able to place wagers, we encourage all visitors to confirm the wagering and/or gambling regulations that are applicable in their local jurisdiction (as gambling laws may vary in different states, countries and provinces).

Gamblingsites.org uses affiliates links from some of the sportsbooks/casinos it promotes and reviews, and we may receive compensation from those particular sportsbooks/casinos in certain circumstances. Gamblingsites.org does not promote or endorse any form of wagering or gambling to users under the age of 18. If you believe you have a gambling problem, please visit BeGambleAware or GAMCARE for information and help.

We're sorry, residents of your region are not accepted by this gambling site!
OK

Home » Blog » NFL Spread Betting: 5 Tips to Win Consistently ATS
In theory, point spreads are 50/50 propositions. Either Team A will cover the spread, or Team B will (excluding pushes, when the difference in the final score is the exact same number as the point spread.)
At -110 odds, you only need to win 52.38% of your point spread bets in order to break even, and anything better than that will make you money. So why does it sometimes seem so hard to pick 53% when simply flipping a coin would result in 50% winners?
It’s probably because most bettors think the same way, and the oddsmakers tilt the lines a bit so that it really isn’t a 50-50 proposition after all. After all, if the sportsbooks know that most of the money in this weekend’s games will be bet on popular teams like Green Bay, Pittsburgh and Dallas, why wouldn’t they set the lines to make it a little more difficult for the Packers, Steelers and Cowboys to cover them?
Not that you’ll get rich betting against those public teams, either. Many have tried the ‘fade the public’ approach without success. No, the best way to win consistently against the point spread is by looking to find value in areas where other people don’t.
Here are 5 NFL spread betting tips that can help you do just that.
One of the biggest mistakes bettors make when picking against the spread is automatically betting against teams that are missing one or more of their star players.
The absence of those star players is already factored into the betting line, so you aren’t getting any additional value by betting against teams missing key starters.
For example, oddsmakers recently put up 2 different betting lines for a Week 3 game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Minnesota Vikings. If Sam Bradford started at QB for the Vikings, Minnesota was going to be a -1 favorite at home. If Bradford didn’t start, Tampa Bay was a 3-point favorite. That 4-point swing in the point spread was the oddsmakers’ way of compensating for Bradford’s potential presence or absence, meaning bettors weren’t getting any extra value either way.
By the way, Bradford didn’t play, and the Vikings easily covered the spread as home underdogs, pasting Tampa Bay 34-17. Apparently, Minnesota was still capable of beating the Bucs without their #1 quarterback.
That’s another reason not to bet against teams just because they’re missing an important player – those teams often bring more focus to the game and elevate their play because they know they have to. Research the backup who will be filling in for that starter, and you can often grab some extra point spread value by betting on the team who is missing a top player.
Trap games. Sandwich games. Lookahead spots. Letdown spots. Whatever you want to call them, an NFL season is ripe with situations in which teams can drastically underperform.
You can often identify these in advance simply by looking at a team’s schedule. Even at the beginning of the season, you can project when certain teams may not be completely focused on this week’s opponent, simply because of who they played last week and/or who they face next.
A classic letdown spot is when a team has a non-conference road game sandwiched between games against divisional opponents. Division games are so important in the NFL, and the rivalries are often so intense, that teams will struggle to manufacture the same intensity for a non-conference game that doesn’t really matter as much. Sure, every game is important in the overall scheme of things, but it’s virtually impossible for teams to “get up” for all 16 games of the season.
Teams who are playing their third consecutive road game are also in a tough situational spot, as are teams who played a road game on Monday Night Football the previous week and have one less day to prepare for their next opponent. Betting against teams who played on Monday Night Football is an even stronger angle if their upcoming opponent is coming off a bye week (or even a Thursday Night Football game from the previous week) since the difference in preparation time is even more significant.
Yet another great letdown spot is when teams are coming off a hard-fought emotional victory, a big upset or a blowout win in which they performed at the top of their game. It’s simple human nature for people to get a little complacent after a strong performance, so they may not be as mentally sharp in practice the following week. And since the public is generally influenced by what happened in last week’s games, you’ll probably catch some extra point spread value as the odds on those teams are adjusted to reflect that strong performance.
According to studies, home teams in the NFL win approximately 57% of the time . That’s the second-highest home team winning percentage in the 4 major North American sports (NBA, NFL, Major League Baseball and NHL), behind only the NBA’s 60% home team winning percentage.
In 2016, 3 division champions posted records of .500 or worse away from home, as the Texans went 2-6, the Seahawks were 3-4-1 and the Packers went 4-4. AFC North champion Pittsburgh was just 5-3 on the road, where the Steelers averaged nearly 2 fewer touchdowns per game than when they played at Heinz Field.
If a weak team is going to beat a heavyweight, it’s almost always going to happen at home. The longer that the home underdog can keep things close, the more the crowd gets behind them, and the home team will feed off that even more. Visiting teams also need to deal with overcoming crowd noise when they’re on offense (hurting their ability to call audibles at the line of scrimmage), they may not be familiar with field or weather conditions, the referees may be biased towards the home team, and visiting teams’ preparation for the game is shortened a bit by having to travel.
3 points is what home field advantage is generally considered to be worth on the point spread, but there are certain home fields in the NFL that could be worth more than that. ESPN.com did an interesting analysis of which teams enjoy the best home field advantage in the NFL, and you’ll want to make sure you’re not often betting against the top teams on that list when they’re playing at home.
It’s a huge mistake to assess a team’s ability and potential purely on its record.
So many things go into winning and losing in the NFL, but the biggest factor may simply be luck. It’s common for a team to get dominated in yardage, yet win the game because it recovered a couple of fumbles at key times or returned a kick for a touchdown. In fact, turnovers (which have a lot to do with luck) often decide who wins the game. Teams that are +1 or better on the turnover ratio win approximately 70% of the time.
A more accurate way of analyzing teams’ strengths and weaknesses is by looking at their yards per play on offense and defense. Luck will even out over time, so a team that consistently gains lots of yards will do better in the long run than a team that struggles to move the chains.
Also be sure to look at how the offenses and defenses of each team match up against each other. For example, if one team excels at running the ball on offense and the other struggles to stop the run on defense, that’s a mismatch you’ll want to exploit.
Some people think that point spreads don’t really matter that much because the team that wins the game in the NFL often covers the spread in the process. Obviously, if an underdog wins the game, they cover the spread, and favorites usually cover the number if they win the game, especially if the point spread is under a touchdown.
But even if correctly predicting who will win the game will go a long way towards nailing your point spread pick, you still need to pay attention to what the point spread is. More specifically, you need to make sure you’re getting the best possible number on that point spread. Getting a few extra winners or pushes in a season because you got an extra half-point on the spread is often the difference between a winning season and a losing one.
The best way to do that is by having accounts at several different betting sites and then monitoring each sportsbook’s betting lines throughout the week. If the Giants win by 4 points and you were able to find -3.5 instead of settling for the -4 available at the majority of online betting sites, you’ve turned what would have been a push into a win. Do that enough times and you’ll turn a barely profitable 53% season against the spread into a lucrative 56% season.
Those are the 2 most common margins of victory in the NFL, so consistently being able to get -2.5 instead of -3 with favorites or +7.5 instead of +7 on underdogs will always pay off in the long run.
GamblingSites.org is happy to bring you this post courtesy of one of our special guest authors. ...
GamblingSites.org is happy to bring you this post courtesy of one of our special guest aut ...

USA Arizona California Colorado Florida Georgia Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Louisiana Maryland Michigan New Jersey New York North Carolina Pennsylvania Tennessee Texas Virginia
About Captaingambling.com Our US Squad Our Review Process Gamble Responsibly Get In Touch Writers Wanted Content Disclaimer Affiliate Disclosure
US Gambling Sites / Betting Guide / ATS Sports Betting 2022
Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses, and receive a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first PointsBetting Wager loses.
Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses, and receive a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first PointsBetting Wager loses.
🏈Can I bet the spread on all sports?
💯Are there good odds when betting ATS?
🔎Which betting sites offer ATS betting markets?
❓Is it difficult to predict ATS bets?
What does PK mean in betting? Welcome to our latest guide to ...
Parlay betting is a concept most sports bettors have encountered at least ...
Sports betting is an exciting activity for major sports fans, but to ...
There are many different types of staking strategies used by different sports ...
Deciding how to wager when placing many sports bets in a row ...
The San Francisco Giants required a two-run walk-off ...
MLB has released its postseason schedule for 2022, ...
The San Diego Padres announced on Tuesday that ...
Check out our Legal Information section for the latest news and developments in the gambling market. Read More
Get the latest updates in Sports and Casino via our Newsletter
Captaingambling US is available in the following countries:
Best Online Gambling Sites Australia
The Captain recommends: Top Provider of the Month!
The bonus offer was already opened in an additional window. If not, you can open it also by clicking the following link:
Welcome to our latest coverage of ATS sports betting. Equip yourself with the latest tips and tricks so that you can take advantage of rewarding ATS markets. Back your favorite teams to win big!
Spread betting, including ATS sports betting, is common across US betting sites. You might even be familiar with the process of this betting strategy. We’re going to outline how you can capitalize on betting against the spread. Utilize our latest insights and apply it to compelling sports markets today. Read on to find out more.
If you are an avid online betting individual in the US, then you’ll have come across spread betting. Essentially, spread betting is a fundamental approach to online betting across the US. The points spread will always be at the forefront of markets. But, what is it?
A match-up between the Cleveland Browns and Houston Texans may serve up a spread of 12 points. The Browns are favorites at -12 while the Texans are underdogs at +12. If you back the Browns to win, they’ll need to win by more than 12 points. If you back the Texans, they'll simply need to lose by less than 12 points or win the game. There are two approaches one can take. For the focus of this guide, we’ll be looking at ATS sports betting.
ATS refers to ‘against the spread’. As opposed to betting with the spread, ATS will require you to do the opposite. Considering the example above, you’ll be required to back the underdog (Texans) and take the points spread into account. For your ATS bet to be successful, there are two scenarios that can possibly take place.
The first outcome that can occur is that the underdog, the Houston Texans, win the game outright. This will mean that your ATS bet is successful. Alternatively, the Texans will need to lose the game by less than 12 points. If this happens, then your ATS bet will also win. Pretty straightforward, right? Our latest guide to betting on sports for dummies will help you tweak your overall approach if you still feel unsure of how to place an ATS bet online.
A spread with a whole number, such as 12, might mean that a tie occurs. This is commonly referred to as a ‘push’. If the game ends 30-18 to the Browns, then your initial stake will be refunded to you. For this reason, many bookmakers will apply a spread that consists of a fraction – such as 5.5. This rules out the possibility of a tie in any outcome.
Using examples to understand different betting approaches is the best way to gain a practical understanding – much like when you wish to better understand what is betting the money line ?. We’ve provided you with one above. Let’s assess another scenario that incorporates two NBA teams.
Immediately, you’ll know that the LA Lakers are favorites while the Warriors are underdogs. Betting against the spread will require you to back the Warriors in the fixture. If you feel that the Warriors stand a decent chance of winning, or losing by 6 points or less, then an ATS bet will be a good idea for you.
ATS sports betting can serve up some fairly exciting odds. All that you’ll need to do is keep track of the latest markets and ensure that you capitalize on fixtures where you feel that the underdogs are likely to beat the spread.
As mentioned, spread betting is the moving force in the US sports betting market. It definitely makes for more enticing betting markets as the playing field is leveled to a greater degree. It enables you to bet on rank outsiders and still have a probable chance of coming up trumps. For this reason, all of the top bookmakers in the US will allow you to enjoy ATS sports betting. It’s only a matter of knowing where to look for these sites.
At CaptainGambling, we have pushed to cover all of the best betting sites online. Thus, knowing where to bet on sports will streamline the process. From here, you’ll have access to a myriad of ATS sports betting markets. From the biggest NFL games of the year to ATS bets on the MLB, NBA, and much more.
Now that you are familiar with the concept of betting against the spread, it’s time to pick up the latest tips. These tips will allow you to apply ATS bets on most lucrative markets. It’ll lead you to find more value in subsequent bets all the while applying a seamless approach.
First and foremost, it’s vital that you find the right bookmaker. If you happen to sign up with the first bookie that you come across, you may end up having a second-rate experience. Thus, you should set aside some time to find the perfect bookie for you. Assess the available markets on offer and whether there is a decent selection of ATS betting opportunities. This will allow you to enjoy a wide range of ATS markets on all major US sports as well as sports that are popular across the pond.
When you want to bet on a team to beat the spread, you’ll need to know a thing or two about the sport and team in question. Without this necessary knowledge, it becomes very difficult to assess whether an underdog stands a realistic chance of overcoming the spread. It’ll require you to know the actual teams competing. If you have insights into how teams perform on the road or whether one team holds a historical advantage over another, it’ll make your betting that much easier.
Use the stats at your disposal to assess which underdogs are capable of exceeding bookie expectations. Underdogs which are badly priced will provide massive value to you. It’s quite possible that the Yankees suffer a mid-week injury before coming up against the Orioles. Before bookmakers are able to factor this in, there’ll be several fantastic ATS bets on the table. Keep your finger on the pulse and you’ll come across plenty of value bets online.
This is especially important to apply if you are a longstanding supporter of a particular team or sport. There are always those occasions where you simply feel that the underdog is due a major upset. In these instances, you needn’t question yourself too much. There’s certainly something to say about going with your gut. It may even be that the favorite has suddenly hit a slump while the dog has its tail up. Either way, heed your gut, and it might serve you well. In the same breath, make sure that you combine your gut feeling with a tailored approach. If you are able to utilize all of our pointers in one way or another, then your chances of success will be boosted exponentially.
ATS sports betting is a major component in the online betting marketplace. There are daily markets where you can back underdogs who may beat the odds and provide you with ample value. It’s an exciting strategy once you understand the ins-and-outs; something you should have managed to master now. Make sure that you apply all of our latest tips in order to realize potential payouts that will enhance your overall experience.
ATS sports betting is one of many approaches and options that you’ll have at your disposal. At CaptainGambling, we’re well-aware of the raft of opportunities out there. Our e
Cum Teen Sperm
Old Granny Minet Sperm Collecshen
Nipple Penetration

Tips For Betting The Spread

Report Page