Super Bowl Picks and Predictions: Cincinnati's Storybook Run Ends Short

The Cincinnati Bengals have been sweetheart dark horses all postseason in transit to a stunning billet in Super Bowl 56. Yet again would they be able to some way or another conquer the chances against the frightening Los Angeles Rams protection? We separate their possibilities in our wagering 맥스벳 picks.

Super Bowl LVI is taking care of business like the work of art "David versus Goliath" story curve, with the dark horse Cincinnati Bengals hoping to vanquish the strong Los Angeles Rams - in the Rams' home arena, regardless. Yet again the chances hope to be stacked against the Bengals.

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The Super Bowl chances hit it hard with Los Angeles as a 4-point NFL wagering top pick for the Big Game, which has begun to ascend to - 4.5 at some sportsbooks, with most of the early cash favoring the Rams. The Bengals, who have amassed the bigger ticket count, slew a couple of top AFC seeds on the way to the Super Bowl.

The inquiry presently is... do our free NFL picks and expectations for Bengals versus Rams anticipate that the little men should arise triumphant one final time?

Bengals versus Rams chances

This chances gadget addresses the best chances accessible for each wagering market from directed sportsbooks.

Los Angeles opened between - 3.5 and - 4.5 after the NFC Championship Game and the market arrived at an agreement of Rams - 4 starting at Monday morning. In any case, while ticket count piled up on Cincinnati as a dark horse, greater wagers arrived on L.A. what's more moved this spread to as high as - 4.5 starting at Tuesday evening. Los Angeles can be had as low as - 4 (- 105) at online books.

The complete likewise moved, opening at 50 places and rapidly dropping to 49 in the initial 12 hours of activity. That number has since thinned to as low as 48 places, with early suppositions on the Under. There is a decent opportunity this number ticks up nearer to the opening shot, as the Over is a famous play with sporting bettors on Super Sunday.

Utilize the live chances gadget above to follow any future line developments until the opening shot and make certain to look at the full NFL chances prior to putting down your wagers.

Bengals versus Rams forecasts

Forecast: Rams - 4 (- 105)

Forecast: Under 48.5 (- 110)

Smartest choice: First quarter Under 9.5 (- 120)

Forecasts made on 2/1/2022 at 4:30 p.m. ET.

Click on every forecast to leap to the full investigation.

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Bengals versus Rams game information

• Area: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA

• Date: Sunday, February 13, 2022

• Time: 6:30 p.m. ET

• Television: NBC

Bengals versus Rams wagering sneak peak

Key wounds

Bengals: Tyler Higbee TE (Questionable), Taylor Rapp FS (Questionable), Joe Noteboom T (Questionable).

Rams: C.J. Uzomah TE (Questionable), Josh Tupou DT (Questionable), Cameron Sample DE (Questionable).

Observe our most recent NFL injury reports.

Wagering pattern to know

The Under is 27-10-1 in Rams' last 38 games as top picks. Observe more NFL wagering patterns for Bengals versus Rams.

Top Consensus

Sun. Feb 13 6:30 PM ET

L.A. Rams Betting Consensus LAR 39 % NFL 61 % Cincinnati Betting ConsensusCIN

Bengals versus Rams picks and expectations

Our expectations are arranged from the examination of the spread and complete and indicate where we are inclining for this game.

Our smartest option is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would really put a portion of our bankroll behind.

Spread examination

With the spread opening as low as Rams - 3.5, moving to - 4, and presently sitting as high as - 4.5, there's not an over the top contrast between those spreads. Yet, four focuses is the most well-known edge of triumph (4.85% starting around 2000) outside of the standard key numbers in football wagering (3, 6, 7, 10, and 14), so we'll snatch the least spread on L.A. we can find starting at Tuesday evening.

Regard is given to the Bengals, who knocked off the main two seeds in the AFC out and about, however Cincinnati's Cinderella run has to some degree behaved recklessly in the postseason. The Bengals have been outgained in every one of the three season finisher games up to this point (1,012 yards to 1,113 yards) and have looked a long way from a title type club for an entire an hour of activity, particularly in those last two trips.

Cincinnati has profited from key focus points at the ideal times to assist with fixing those successes, yet at the same time has tragic defects staying from the standard season that have been intensified in the end of the season games. Safeguarding star quarterback Joe Burrow is one of those sensitive areas.

Tunnel was sacked a NFL-high multiple times in the customary season and has experienced twelve sacks in the end of the season games, nine of which came against a Tennessee pass rush that recorded 43 sacks on the year. Last weekend, Burrow went down once versus the Chiefs however was rushed on various plays, constraining him to discard the ball or scramble for yards on the ground. His hostile line, which sits 31st in changed sack rate, has a tall assignment of containing the Rams' vaunted pass rush (No. 1 in pass rush win rate at 53%) on Super Sunday.

Los Angeles had 50 sacks in the ordinary season and has recorded just five such a long ways in three postseason excursions, yet that guarded front remaining parts similarly as troublesome by hustling restricting passers into awful tosses and thumping down balls at the line. That is stopped those rival offenses from tracking down a cadence and has prompted L.A's. guarded accomplishment on third down in the postseason.

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Los Angeles has permitted its postseason adversaries to change over on just shy of 19% of their third-down endeavors over the beyond three games and sits No. 1 in EPA permitted per play 벳365 on those significant third-down lashes out at - 0.996. The Rams assembled those numbers against a few strong third-down offenses too, with the 49ers, Bucs, and Cardinals generally Top 10 in DVOA on third downs at Football Outsiders.

The Bengals (No. 14 in third down DVOA) have wound up in a lot of third-and-long circumstances during their far-fetched rush to the Super Bowl, claiming a 48.78% transformation rate on third downs, including a 8-for-14 exertion in the AFC title game. On the year, the Bengals moved the chains on 41.13% of third-down endeavors.

With the Rams' strain constraining the Bengals to consume plays on expendables, sacks, and first down runs, those third-down circumstances will appear a ton in the Super Bowl. If L.A. can continue to usher its rival off the field on those key snaps, Cincinnati will not have the option to acquire the force it needs to place this Los Angeles stop unit behind its.

Assuming you're reallyinclining toward L.A. in Super Bowl LVI yet aren't obsessed with laying the focuses, the Rams moneyline could be a straightforward choice yet may frighten off some at the - 200 sticker price. In any case, with the Big Game longshot generally a famous inside and out pick among relaxed card sharks, you can delay until nearer to the opening shot and perceive how modest the Rams moneyline sinks.

Expectation: Rams - 4 (- 105)

Covers NFL wagering examination

Super Bowl 56 chances and line development

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Four key matchups that will choose Super Bowl 56

Over/Under examination

This Over/Under opened as large as 50 places and early play on the Under has thinned the complete to as low as 48. The lookahead all out for this matchup - before the title games Sunday - was 51.5 focuses and considering the passing ability on the two sides, a 50 or more completion doesn't appear to be excessively far too far in Super Bowl LVI.

All things considered, in the event that you're moving the Rams in the Big Game, you're probably inclining toward the L.A. protection to take care of business and don't have any desire to see a shootout with this hazardous Bengals getting corps. What's more neither does Rams mentor Sean McVay.

McVay, never modest with regards to running the football, could select to play a little guard on offense and uncover perhaps Cincinnati's most noteworthy shortcoming with the Bengals permitting seven of its last eight adversaries to break the century blemish on the ground.

Kansas City thundered for 139 yards on 24 conveys versus the Bengals in the AFC Championship, sinking Cincy's EPA permitted per rush measurement to - 0.011 since Week 12 with those opponent running backs claiming a 49.2% achievement rate for each rush in that range (30th).

Los Angeles' hurrying assault has been a long way from solid in the postseason - positioned out dead toward the end in EPA per convey - yet it has run into some extreme stop units in those games, with Tampa Bay, San Francisco, and Arizona all Top 10 in Defensive DVOA and sitting No. 1, No. 2 and negative. 4 individually in EPA permitted per rush on the season.

The Rams had the option to get RB Cam Akers in the arrangement for the end of the season games after he missed the whole customary season with an Achilles injury and have an injection of additionally returning Darrell Henderson to that surging corps after he went down with a knee sprain in Week 16. Close by Sony Michel, Los Angeles could have a likely triplet of hotshot transporters to take advantage of Cincinnati's protective weaknesses.

A ground-and-pound approach could drain season of ownership for Los Angeles, restricting how much contacts Burrow gets with the football. Also when the Cincinnati offense is on the field, Burrow will have opportunity and energy in the pocket to permit greater plays to create assuming that the Rams' pass rush shut in.

Tunnel was passed on to make many transitional tosses versus Kansas City, posting a normal of simply 6.6 yards per endeavor - his second-most minimal single-game normal of the period. Concerning the postseason, Burrow's yards per pass endeavor is at 7.7, which is in excess of a yard lower than his customary season creation, and L.A. will be safeguarding against grand slam plays over the top.

The best of this all out is gone… until further notice. Super Bowl wagering designs regularly see a flood of Under cash drop the absolute before it gradually ascends back up the seven day stretch of the Super Bowl as open cash is expecting a high-scoring finale. With Matthew Stafford and Burrow featuring, that won't be an intense sell. What's more once that number ascents, there's generally late activity on the Under once more