Strategy Advice for NBA Prop Betting

Many Australian and US betting sites offer different NBA betting markets for each game. http://samgranger.com/know-more-about-the-various-kinds-of-betting/ One of the most interesting and sometimes lucrative is the basketball players' performance betting markets. The statistics of most players fluctuate significantly every night, apart from the superstars. If you know when it will be a player's day, you can use the NBA prop markets to profit from the player's performance. These are some tips to help you make your own decision about prop betting on player performance markets.

A few players will be given an under/over for a specific statistic. This could be points, rebounds, assists or a combination of several of these. Usually, the line is set around their season average for that specific star; for example, Luka Doncic's season average for points 28.8, so bookmakers may set his points line at 28.5. Moreover, some key factors can swing a player into having a bad or good performance on any night. If something happens, the bookmakers have enough experience to adjust their lines. Sometimes they are not seen and sometimes they do not get updated.

Injury

Injury is the primary factor. When a leading player in the team suffers from an injury, the bookmakers think that their replacement in the starting line-up must get most of their production. Although the replacement will indeed increase the stats, at least two other players in the starting line-up will get an additional boost in production that sees them reach the over and vice-versa if an injured player returns to the line-up. An excellent case is when point guard Chris Paul left with an injury and Austin Rivers, his replacement in the starting line-up, receive a remarkable increase but also the likes of J.J. Reddick and Jamal Crawford improve their points and assist numbers in Chris's absence. These guys often go unnoticed by the bookmakers.

Matchups

Matchups are another important aspect of prop betting. Matchups are another important aspect of prop betting. Few teams can defend certain positions well and give production to others. Usually, it is a safe bet in steering clear of the overs when your player is playing against teams like the Grizzlies or Spurs. They are able to defend all positions well and rarely allow one player to dominate the game. The Boston Celtics are a team worth watching. Avery Bradley and Marcus Smart can protect the guard positions well, but they are also the worst rebounding team. We saw Andre Drummond, the leading rebounder whose rebounding line is usually set around 14.5, claims 22 against the Celtics, which can be an easy win for the overs. The best thing to do when involving in such betting is to study the team stats and defense vs positions. There are various sites where you can get all the information.