Spread On Bears Game

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Jan 10, 2021 at 8:24 am ET 3 min read
There are only a few things better than playoff football at the Superdome. None come to mind at the moment, which only stamps home the fact that we're in for a doozy on Sunday afternoon. That's where the New Orleans Saints and Chicago Bears will kick off their Super Wild-Card Weekend matchup, which is a game that has no shortage of storylines. For the Saints, they are about to embark on what appears to be one last playoff run with franchise quarterback Drew Brees. Meanwhile, Mitchell Trubisky is making a late push to remain as Chicago's starting quarterback going forward and would almost guarantee that fate if he pulls off the upset on Sunday. 
Here, we're going to cannonball into all the different betting angles that this game has to offer, including the spread and total. Along with those, we'll also take a look at how the lines have shifted throughout the week to see how the public is viewing this head-to-head. Of course, we can't forget about player props! All that analysis and more can be found below. 
All NFL odds via William Hill Sportsbook. 
Date: Sunday, Jan. 10 | Time: 4:40 p.m. ET
Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome (New Orleans) 
TV: CBS, Nickelodeon | Stream: CBS All Access, fuboTV (try for free) 
Follow: CBS Sports App
New Orleans opened as a 9.5-point favorite in this matchup and that advantage tipped into double-digits to Saints -10 by Wednesday. That spread has held firm throughout the week and heading into the weekend on Friday. These two teams did meet earlier this season and required overtime before New Orleans edged out the 26-23 victory. The key difference in that game was that it was Nick Foles starting for Chicago instead of Mitchell Trubisky, who has since reclaimed the starting job and played well. 
Since failing to cover that 5-point spread as the road favorite in Week 8, the Saints are 7-2 ATS. However, their recent playoff history isn't that promising for those wanting to lay the points. Sean Payton's club is 0-3 ATS in the playoffs over the last two seasons and in his playoff career Drew Brees is just 2-9 ATS as a favorite. Meanwhile, Chicago is 6-3 SU with Trubisky this season were able to make a late push to the postseason because of his revitalized play. 
What could end up being an X-factor in this game is the ascension of David Montgomery as an elite back in the NFL and the Saints' poor play against the run as of late. Over the last four games, New Orleans is allowing nearly 150 yards per game on the ground and six touchdowns. Meanwhile, Montgomery is averaging 99.7 rushing yards per game and seven touchdowns over his last six contests. If Chicago can play strong defense and run the ball effectively to keep Brees and the Saints offense off the field, there's a formula for Chicago to at least keep this game within double-digits. 
Projected score: Saints 27, Bears 24
The total opened at 48 and has since dipped a full point to 47 heading into the weekend. Between these two clubs, the Over went 18-14 over the course of the regular season. Specifically, Saints overs have hit in six of their eight home games this season and they are the only club in the league to score 20 or more points in every game this season. As for the Bears, the offense is averaging 28.3 points per game with Trubisky under center and the Over has hit in seven of his nine starts. 
Taysom Hill anytime touchdown (+200). We all know how much Sean Payton loves deploying Hill near the goal line and the utility star has scored in three straight games entering the playoffs. If you're looking for an even higher upside, you could look for Hill to be the first player who scores a touchdown in this game at +1200. According to CBS Sports research analyst Stephen Oh's simulations, this is a solid value for Hill, who +760 to score first in his sims. 
David Montgomery total rushing yards: Over 61.5 (-115). New Orleans has struggled against the run over the last month and Montgomery is arguably the hottest running back coming into these playoffs. Over his last six starts, the second-year back is averaging 5.16 yards per carry. 
Drew Brees total passing touchdowns: Over 1.5 (-210). Not a ton of value here, but Brees threw for multiple touchdowns against this secondary back in Week 8. He also fresh off a three-touchdown performance in Week 17 against the Panthers. 
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Nov 28, 2019 at 8:16 am ET 3 min read
Things haven't gone according to plan for the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions, two teams fighting not to finish in the basement of the NFC North. They'll kick off a Thanksgiving filled with football for the section straight year when they battle in Detroit on Thursday. The Lions won't have Matthew Stafford at quarterback, and they might not even have Jeff Driskel, who was listed as questionable to play after a week of limited practices due to a hamstring injury. That could put untested rookie David Blough up against a fierce Bears pass rush.
You can stream the game on fuboTV (Try for free), but you're here because you want to know which team is going to cover in this matchup. You can find all our expert picks for the game below.
Who should you back against the spread, on the money line and the total in every Week 13 NFL game? And which Super Bowl contender goes down? Visit SportsLine to see their Week 13 cheat sheet, all from the model that is up over $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks.  
Brady Quinn and Ryan Wilson broke this game down with Will Brinson on Wednesday's Pick Six podcast. You can listen below, and be sure to subscribe on your favorite podcast platform:
"This is a turkey on Thanksgiving, one featuring two teams going nowhere. The Bears showed some life last week, especially on offense. The Lions are a mess. But give me the Lions at home on Turkey Day to pull off the upset." -- Pete Prisco on why he's bucking conventional wisdom and playing the Lions in this matchup
I've been on a great run picking Bears games over the years, and I'm 25-12 in my last 37 ATS picks for or against the Bears. I think if you're playing the total, you should definitely lean to the Under, but if you want to know which team I've landed on against the spread, you'll need to head over to SportsLine.
"Can't back the Lions with the quarterback situation being problematic -- it sounds like David Blough is going to play for Detroit -- and all of their issues. The Bears aren't good, per se, but the offense is playing a little better and Detroit can be beat in the pass game, so Mitchell Trubisky should have some success. I love the Under in this spot but if I have to take one team, I'm taking Chicago." -- Will Brinson on why he's rolling with the road favorites in the Thanksgiving opener
"After initially leaning toward the Lions, I'm reversing field and going with the Bears on the strength of their fourth-ranked scoring defense. Chicago's offense, a unit that has struggled for much of the season, should be able to have just enough success against a Detroit defense that is 30th in pass defense and 24th against the run." -- Bryan DeArdo on why he has the Bears winning 24-21
"The Bears somehow have an opportunity to salvage their season despite an offense that continues to struggle to put up 20 points a game. The only time Chicago has scored 20 or more over the last five games is against the Lions, who may not have No. 2 quarterback Jeff Driskel for the Thanksgiving game (hamstring). This is a game for the Bears to get their running game going as the Lions are 24th in the NFL allowing 120.7 yards per game. They also allow 4.4 yards per carry (20th in NFL). The Bears average just 3.4 yards per carry (29th in NFL), but this is a chance to put up more than 81 yards (which they did in the last meeting). If Driskel can't go, the Lions will have to go with undrafted rookie David Blough from Purdue. This is against a Bears defense this is fourth in the NFL in points (17.1) and yards (315.6) allowed. Good luck." -- Jeff Kerr on why he has the Bears winning 21-16 
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