Spread Betting Uk Election

Spread Betting Uk Election
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Published: Jan 10, 03:17 Updated: Apr 26, 09:22 0 397 Politics & Current Affairs
The UK local elections should indicate how the political parties are viewed in the country. Have the Conservatives clawed back some of their supporters after their devastating loss in North Shropshire? Has Sir Keir Starmer moved the needle for Labour and thrown off the Corbyn shackles. Should we be taking the Lib Dems seriously as a credible alternative to the "big two" The bookmakers will have betting odds on a range of local election markets.
The 2022 UK local elections will be held on Thursday 5th May.
Different councils go to the polls to select councillors in their area, in some cases all seats are being voted for, and in other areas, only 33% or 50% of seats are in play.
Punters will take a keen interest in the betting on offer in:
The best betting sites and leading betting exchanges will have odds and markets on the local elections across the country.
Most bookmakers have dedicated political sections on their index with the May elections expected to see plenty of bets placed, especially in those devolved countries and the Mayoral elections.
The Labour party will hope to make substantial gains in these elections and the results should give us some idea of how the country views Sir Keir Starmer.
For the Conservatives has Boris Johnson managed to quell the fury from his supporters after the Owen Paterson and BYOB scandals?
If the Torys do badly then Boris could be forced out by his backbenchers and exit as Prime Minister, BOJO exit betting is already available.
The Lib Dems were the beneficiaries of disgruntled Tories in the latest By-Elections, can they continue their upward curve?
In 2022 there are 7 Mayoral elections in the following areas.
All are held by Labour except Watford who is a Lib Dem and Croydon which will elect its first Mayor in 2022.
Betting Exchanges already have markets on South Yorkshire where Labour are heavily odds on and Croydon where the odds indicate it could go to either Labour or Conservative.
The best betting sites are featuring more and more political betting markets on offer, the May 2022 elections are expected to continue this upward trend.
The last Scottish Council Elections were in 2017, the results of those elections are below.
All the major parties will be looking to increase the seats won in 2017 and their share of the total vote.
In Scotland, all 32 local authorities will have an election based on a single transferable vote, resulting in each party getting a share of the vote.
The Labour leader in Scotland reiterated that all their candidates would be pro-UK, thus giving voters a definitive choice at these elections.
In 2022 the parties will be looking to gain overall control of some councils, in 2017 no party had overall control of any council on the Scottish mainland.
For example, the SNP are the largest party in Aberdeen City with 19 seats but the other parties and independents have 26 seats, thus resulting in no overall control.
The leader of the Scottish Conservatives is Douglas Ross, he has called for Boris Johnson to resign after the Downing Street party was revealed. This discord in the Tory ranks will have massively damaged their chances at these elections.
The last local elections in Wales were in 2017 with the results below
There are 22 local councils in Wales and all seats will be contested.
The Labour Party will look to strengthen their grip by taking power in the councils where there is no overall control (11 of the 22), if they can do that it will have been a good election for Sir Keir Starmer and Mark Drakeford.
Some seats will have new boundaries which will affect results.
The Conservatives may be squeezed even further by their rivals in Wales.
The Northern Ireland Assembly election sees the big dogs of Northern Ireland politics going head to head with the DUP and Sinn Fein virtually neck and neck.
90 seats make up the assembly with the two parties holding just over 60% of all seats.
Since the 2017 election, the Democratic Unionists have lost 2 seats and Sinn Fein 1 making them level pegging at 26 apiece they go into this 2022 election.
Sinn Fein looks most likely to be the largest party on May 6th and be in a position to take the First Minister role, although the smaller parties could make significant inroads with voters who are weary of the backwards and forwards of the DUP and Sinn Fein.
All the 32 councils in London will hold elections in May.
The bookmakers have odds on those seats that are high profile or are close calls.
The Labour party are looking to take overall control of the council for the first time ever.
The Conservatives are fighting to hang on to the council, the odds indicate a close-run contest that could go either way.
The West Midlands city will hold a full election for all 101 seats on the council.
The 2018 election result was as follows.
There are 54 district councils holding elections, with a third of seats being voted for.
50% of the council's seats will be voted for.
These 4 district councils hold full elections with all seats up for grabs.
There are 33 metropolitan district councils
There are 17 unitary authorities holding elections for a third of the seats on their councils.
There is nothing complicated about political betting, it is a betting market just like a list of horses for the Grand National, although in this case, it will be for candidates and parties.
You simply need to go to your favourite betting app and head to the political betting section in the menu, then select the constituency or country you are interested in.
The bigger betting sites will have odds available on selected constituencies as will the betting exchanges of Betfair and Smarkets.
The Mayoral elections and Scotland and Northern Ireland contests are expected to be the most popular when it comes to placing bets.
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It seems that the popularity of political betting inspired by the 2016 Presidential campaign of Donald Trump continues to grow as the realm now includes UK election odds and props for numerous potential outcomes.
Many sportsbooks reported record intakes upon the rendering of Joe Biden’s Presidential victory in 2020, and now political betting sites are looking to expand the field to capitalize on the increased interest.
The following political prop bet favors the Conservative Party to attain a majority following the next election of the House of Commons in the U.K. Parliament.
Oddsmakers at BetOnline believe that the Conservative Party has a roughly 70% chance or better of earning a majority in the House of Commons. In the realm of politics and in election outcome betting, 70% or higher represents a sure thing.
So, who will be the leader of the Conservative Party in the U.K. come May of 2024? The current political betting odds suggest that Boris Johnson will remain as Prime Minister, although the lines are incredibly narrow at the moment.
While the decision of who the Prime Minister will be following the House of Commons Elections rests firmly with the Monarch, historically, it has always been the leader of the majority party. If the current U.K. political betting odds hold, that means that Boris Johnson will be appointed to another 5-year term as the British Prime Minister in 2024.
The only downside of betting on UK politics at this juncture is that wagers will not cash in until May of 2024 when the next Parliamentary Elections occur in the United Kingdom.
If you are looking for some UK-based international political betting options that can potentially receive action earlier than 2024, check out the British Royal Family odds that are on the boards right now.
Betting on the British Royals often involves life or death – literally. Coronation of a new leader requires a departure from the throne by the prior monarch, and that almost always means the death of the King or Queen of England.
Although Queen Elizabeth is at the advanced age of 95 years old, her son, Prince Charles, is not offered favorable betting odds to become King prior to his mother turning 99.
The outlook grows dimmer when considering Prince William’s odds of becoming King prior to 2025, as oddsmakers have placed a +1000 moneyline (9%) on that occurring.
Now that Princess Meghan Markle and Prince Harry have already celebrated the birth of their second child, there are no current odds on the boards regarding Royal baby names, genders, or birthdays.
Although neither Princess Kate Middleton and Prince William nor Meghan & Harry are currently expecting another baby boy or girl, that doesn’t mean that it is outside the realm of possibility for that to happen again in the near future.
If and when another Royal pregnancy occurs, bettors can be sure that odds on the British Royal Family will appear and begin accepting action on a number of different prop bets. Until then, the current odds for King Charles or King William will have to suffice.

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Betting sites believe the Conservative Party is on course for a humbling nationwide defeat at the local elections this May – but that doesn’t mean local councils will all be swinging to Labour.
Britons head to the polls in various council seats across England, Scotland and Wales on May 5, while the Northern Ireland Assembly will also be voted in.
The Tories are bracing themselves for a heavy backlash to recent scandals involving the government, and both Labour and the Lib Dems are hoping to make back significant ground across the country.
Scrutiny over lockdown parties in Downing Street during the height of the coronavirus pandemic has led to Boris Johnson’s approval ratings plummeting in recent weeks, while satisfaction with the government as a whole is down.
The recent cost of living crisis has also been felt at a local level – and opposition parties are naturally highlighting recent government shortcomings on the campaign trail.
A wide range of county councils, district councils, metropolitan boroughs and mayoral contests will be voted on this month. Here, we look at the latest odds from six core battles that represent the mood of the nation.
Labour are the current 8/11 favourites to beat the Conservatives (6/5) for control of Barnet council. That’s a projected likelihood of 58%, while it appears highly unlikely that there will be no overall control.
There are 63 seats within the council but the number of wards will increase from 21 to 24. Barnet has never voted for a Labour council majority and only twice – in 1994 and 1998 – were the Tories not in control.
Labour leader Barry Rawlings senses victory here in a traditionally Thatcherite ‘true blue’ town hall.
The Conservatives sensationally won Hartlepool at the 2021 by-election in what was considered a complete upending of traditional party voting. Hartlepool had always been a Labour stronghold but Jill Mortimer’s victory was taken as proof that Johnsonian politics was reaching even further north.
Fast-forward a year and Labour doesn’t appear likely to claim the local council in Hartlepool – but neither do the Tories. William Hill reckons Hartlepool’s council has a 75% chance (1/3) of having no overall control at this election.
That would reflect its current position. The council has never been in Conservative control and there are only 13 of 36 seats being voted on this year. The odds of a Tory majority sit at 9/4 (31% chance).
Worthing has traditionally been a Conservative or Liberal Democrat-led council. And the 2021 election saw the Tories once again claim a majority – albeit by the slenderest of one-seat margins. Subsequently a Conservative councillor became an independent, and they also lost a by-election.
It means currently Worthing Council has no overall majority. Yet Labour is primed to take control. Political betting sites have Labour down as the 1/2 favourites (66.7% likelihood) to win at least 19 seats here.
Conversely, the Conservatives are out at 13/2 (13.3%). It’s also possible that we will have no overall control once again, but Labour – who claim retirees are £389 worse off under the Tories – will be eyeing a win here, that’s for sure.
The Conservatives would dearly love to reclaim Havering, with the council having had no overall control from any party since 2014. And while Labour are in no position to command a majority here, the Conservatives are facing an uphill battle.
The reason for this is the Havering Residents Association, which commands 16 of the 54 seats. However, the Conservatives themselves have been power-sharing a majority with another residents group.
The complexity of the council make-up means another ‘No Overall Control’ result is likely at 4/11 (73%). But the Tories are 2/1 to claim the council for themselves – and that would prove a big win were a majority to be secured.

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The Conservatives have no real dog in this fight, with Labour and the Lib Dems battling for supremacy in Stockport council. Betting sites are once again banking on no overall majority, with a price remarkably low at 1/7 with Ladbrokes (87.5% likelihood).
The reason for this is only one third of the 63 seats are up for election this season. Labour currently has 25 seats and the Lib Dems 26, so neither can claim a majority unless they win practically every ward going.
The Women’s Equality Party, Reform UK and Stockport Fights Austerity No to Cuts are all vying for votes here.
The Conservatives currently have acting control of the Newcastle-under-Lyme council after four independents propped up the party in November 2021.
Labour had been just three seats off a majority themselves during the last election in 2018 but now face a difficult challenge to keep the Tories from controlling the council once again.
All 44 seats across 21 wards are up for grabs this May – and the Tories are being tipped to win. They’re priced at 23/20 (47% likelihood), while Labour is down at 11/4 in the bookmakers’ odds (26% likelihood).
This year both Labour and the Conservatives are running candidates in all 44 seats available. Gill and John Williams – the Labour councillors who have held Cross Heath ward for 30 years – are once again running.

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