Spread Bet On Goals
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Spread Bet On Goals
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Posted: Jul 28, 2021 Last updated: Aug 26, 2022
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Point spread betting is a popular form of betting, especially with basketball and football, since these are two sports where more points are scored throughout the game than in other sports like baseball and hockey. Therefore, it’s essential to understand how point spreads work before placing a wager.
Always pay attention to line movement and monitor point spreads on multiple sportsbooks to get the best bang for your buck, as this will help put you in the best position to succeed as a point spread bettor.
As is the case with moneyline bets, point spreads involve betting on a favorite or underdog in a given game. If you bet on a favorite, they need to win the game by more than their assigned point spread. For example, if I take the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7.5) on the point spread, that means that they need to win by at least eight points for me to win my bet.
If you bet on an underdog, they must either win the game outright or lose by a smaller margin than the assigned point spread. So, for example, if I bet on the Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5) and they lose by three or fewer points or win the game outright, I would win my bet.
When it comes to NFL betting, the favorite is assigned a spread for the projected winning margin. They need to win by more than the spread for you to win your bet. If you take the underdog, you can win your bet if they win outright or lose by fewer points than the spread allows.
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The favorite is assigned a spread for the projected winning margin. They need to win by more than the spread for you to win your bet. If you take the underdog, you can win your bet if they win outright or lose by fewer points than the spread allows.
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The favorite is assigned a puck line of (-1.5) and the underdog of (+1.5). In this case, if you bet the favorite, they have to win by two or more goals. You will likely have a payout ranging from (-130) to (+200) for a favorite on the puck line.
If you bet on the underdog, this means that they can lose by one goal or win outright for you to win the bet. Betting on the underdog on the puck line is a costly decision, as it’s usually priced (-170) or higher.
The NHL betting site to place spreads bets is FOX Bet. They have very competitive odds and plenty of promotions. :
The favorite is assigned a run line of (-1.5) and the underdog of (+1.5). In this case, if you bet the favorite, they have to win by two or more runs. You will likely have a payout ranging from (-130) to (+200) for a favorite on the run line.
If you bet on the underdog, this means that they can lose by one run or win outright for you to win the bet. Betting on the underdog on the run line is a costly decision, as it’s usually priced (-150) or higher.
Soccer includes spreads when it’s between two unevenly matched teams. In these types of games, favorites are given spreads between 1-3 goals. This means that they need to win by more than that spread for you to win your bet.
A point spread is assigned based on the projected outcome of the game.
Home-field advantage is a huge factor in the point spread. For example, if the Kansas Chiefs play the Denver Broncos at home, the Chiefs would likely be favored by 10.5 points. However, if the game were in Denver, the Chiefs would be favored by about 4.5 points. The impact of home-field advantage depends on the team playing with it — some teams do not have as favorable a crowd or atmosphere as others. Denver, for example, is a particularly tough place to play, given the altitude.
There are other factors like injury status, current form and overall talent in the game. It’s important to keep track of the latest news around the league to find value on point spreads.
It’s also worth noting that some teams just aren’t very good at covering the spread while favored in the game. For example, a team might have a good record but had won numerous close games, so they might not be as good against the spread. This statistic is also worth keeping an eye on.
Keep in mind, that there are other types of sports bets worth taking into consideration.
A push is when the final result of the game lands precisely on the number of the spread. For example, if I bet on the Toronto Raptors (-4) over the Orlando Magic and the Raptors win by four, I would push my bet, which means that my money is refunded and the bet ends in a tie. Games with halves in their point spreads, like the Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) over the Atlanta Falcons, will never result in a push.
The favorite is the team projected to win the game. They are assigned a point spread with a minus symbol (-) in front of the number, such as Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5). If you were to bet on the Steelers to cover the spread in this instance, Pittsburgh would need to win by seven or more points for you to win your bet.
The underdog is the team that is projected to lose the game. They are assigned a point spread with a plus sign (+) in front of the number, such as Carolina Panthers (+5.5). In this case, the Panthers would need to lose by five points or fewer or win outright for you to win your bet.
Be sure to learn how to bet on sports before wagering.
When betting on the point spread in the NFL, you need to remember key numbers. A touchdown, for example, is worth seven points, while a field goal is worth three points. The key numbers are three, seven, and ten points.
The difference between a 2.5-point spread and 3.5-point spread is vast, as you may end up losing your bet if your team loses by way of a game-winning field goal (three points). 6.5-point spreads, 7.5-point spreads, 9.5-point spreads and 10.5-point spreads are also worth keeping an eye on as final scores are often within three, seven, and ten points.
It’s also worth mentioning that the home team usually gets an imaginary spread of three points. If a home team is favored by (-2.5), the oddsmakers are telling you that the road team is the superior team. You should keep a close eye on home teams that are favored by few points, as it’s often the sharper play to go with the road team in those situations.
You don’t need to worry about key numbers as much in the NBA, but I would advise always betting on the point spread when betting basketball. More often than not, if the team wins the game, they’re able to cover the spread. But, at the same time, be careful with high spreads in the NBA.
Betting on a favorite of 10 or more points can come back to bite you in the NBA, as teams tend to send in their subs when up double-digits in the fourth quarter, which can allow the opponent to cut down the lead — resulting in something called a back-door cover. These exist in the NFL as well.
In NHL, MLB and soccer, tread lightly with spreads. Only take the underdog if they aren’t priced too high — often, you’ll see them at (-200) or higher, which is far too risky. It’s also tough to take the favorite, especially if they end up winning by only one goal. However, it could be profitable since you get some solid value on the favorites. I prefer betting on the spread in MLB than NHL or soccer because baseball teams usually win by more than one run.
Point spreads involve a winning margin. If you bet on a favorite, they need to win by more than the assigned spread. For example, if a spread is (-7.5) points, your team needs to win by eight or more. If you bet on an underdog, they can lose by fewer than the assigned spread or win outright for you to win. For example, if a spread is (+5.5) points, your team can lose by 5 or fewer or win outright.
Moneylines just require your team to win the game outright — the winning margin does not matter in this type of bet. Each team will be assigned a moneyline based on their projected probability of winning the game. For example, the Los Angeles Dodgers might be (-250) at home against the Rockies, who might be (+190). In this case, you would risk $25 to win $10 if you take the Dodgers. You would win $19 on a $10 bet if you took the Rockies.
It is better to choose moneyline in MLB, NHL, and soccer when taking favorites because the price is too high in the NFL or NBA. For example, if you took the Chiefs moneyline and they were favored by 7 points, you’d likely be laying (-400), which means you’d be risking four times your bet. However, it could be profitable for you to go with the moneyline on underdogs in the NFL or NBA since they’ll provide some nice value.
Point spread bets are good because they allow you to take heavily favored teams without incurring the financial risk involved. For example, let’s say the Chiefs are favored by 10 points against the Raiders. If you were to bet on them to win on the moneyline, you would likely be risking seven times your original bet. In this case, you can take them to win by more than 10 points and only have to pay a (-110) price.
Another reason to consider spread betting is that you can take an underdog without worrying about that team winning the game. For example, if I took the Raiders (+10) against the Chiefs, I would still win my bet if they lost by nine points or fewer. Point spreads allow bettors some options when deciding on who to take in a particular game.
One negative of point spreads is that it can be difficult for a team to win by the assigned margin. You can handicap the game well, only to have your team’s quarterback throw a late interception for a touchdown that would lower their winning margin, causing you to lose your bet.
Another negative is how difficult it is to choose the point spread in hockey or soccer correctly. There are so many one-goal games in these sports that you’ll often find yourself with a bad beat with your team only winning by one goal, which is one of the major downsides of spread betting.
Before joining The Game Day, Frank spent three years in the fantasy sports and betting industry, writing for websites like RotoBaller and 4for4football. Frank is an active member of the fantasy baseball and fantasy football community, participating in high-stakes leagues like NFBC/NFFC as well as industry competitions like Scott Fish Bowl, RazzBowl, and TGFBI. Frank is a member of the FSWA and IBWAA. Give him a shout to talk fantasy sports and sports betting.
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Hull City vs Watford
Point Spread
Newcastle Utd. vs Leeds Utd.
Total Goals
Newcastle Utd. vs Leeds Utd.
Win Index (Newcastle)
Newcastle Utd. vs Leeds Utd.
Goal Supremacy (Newcastle)
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Home » Soccer Betting » Spread Betting
Are you serious about making money from betting on soccer? If you answered
yes to that question, then you’re going to want to limit the number of mistakes
you make. There’s an article in our soccer betting guide that actually addresses
the common mistakes made by soccer bettors . This article is designed to help
people identify the errors they are making that will inevitably cost them money.
One of the mistakes we mention is ignoring the many alternative betting
opportunities that soccer presents.
We understand why so many people have a tendency to want to stick to the
simple wagers they are comfortable with. However, understanding the different
types of soccer wagers is one good way to improve your chances of identifying
better opportunities. By learning how to use the right type of wager in the
right situation, you’ll find it much easier to find value in the betting
markets.
In addition to using alternative wagers, you should also consider spread
betting on soccer. This is an entirely different way to gamble on soccer, and it
can be very profitable. There can be a great deal of risk involved, however,
which is why it’s vital to make sure you understand what you’re doing. That’s
why we’ve written this article. We explain what spread betting is as it relates
to soccer, provide some useful tips and advice, and discuss some recommended
strategies.
We want to make one thing very clear before we get started. Spread betting is
NOT the same as betting on the point spread . Also known as handicap betting, the
point spread is a very popular way to wager on sports. Looking at the United
States, in particular, people use this form of betting on American football,
basketball and ice hockey. Although their names are similar, they actually have
very little in common.
Let’s quickly explain how a point spread works, just so you’ll understand the
differences. With the point spread, you’re making a fixed odds wager on a game.
In this type of wager, the favorite is effectively deducted points (or goals in
the case of soccer) and the underdog is awarded points. These adjustments in the
points/goals are referred to as the spread. Here’s an example.
If you backed Hull City on this point spread, you’d win your wager as long as
one of the three outcomes occurred: they won, they drew or they lost by less
than 1 goal. This is because 1.5 goals are “added” to their score for the
purposes of the wager. If you backed Watford, you’d need them to win by at least
two goals. This is because 1.5 goals are “removed” from the score for the
purposes of the wager. When you win, you’re paid out based on the agreed odds
(1.91 in this case). When you lose, you are giving up your initial stake.
Spread betting DOESN’T involve fixed odds, and you don’t simply win or lose.
These are the key differences. With spread betting, there are no odds
involved at all. There’s no fixed stake or fixed payout either. Instead, wagers
are settled based on how accurate (or inaccurate) your predictions were. The
more right you were, the more you win. The more wrong you were, the more you
lose.
In some respects, spread betting is a little like betting the over/under. The
bookmaker sets a spread for a specific market, and you have to predict whether
the relevant total will be higher or lower than the spread. But instead of just
winning or losing your wager based on the outcome, how much you win or lose
depends on how much higher or lower the relevant total is.
We realize that this probably comes across as way more complicated than it
actually is. We’re going to use an example to make this easier to understand.
Here’s how a spread betting market might look for the total number of goals
scored in a soccer game.
As you can see, there are two options here. We can sell at 2.30, or we can
buy at 2.50. Do not confuse these numbers with odds, as they actually just
relate to the number of goals. We “sell” at 2.30 if we’re expecting there to be
LESS than 2.3 goals, and we “buy” at 2.50 if we’re expecting there to be MORE
than 2.5 goals. The difference between the two numbers is called the spread.
Sound familiar? You guessed it! That’s where this form of betting gets its name.
The amount of money we make or lose on our wagers is determined by a
combination of three things.
Let’s say that we’d chosen to buy at 2.50, for a $10 stake. If there were
more than 2.5 goals in the game, we’d win. Our payout would be calculated by
multiplying our stake by the difference between the number of goals scored and
the number of goals we bought at. So if there were three goals, for example,
we’d win $5. Three minus 2.5 is 0.5, which gives us $5 when we multiply that by
our $10 stake. If there were four goals, we’d win $15. Four minus 2.5 is 1.5,
which gives us $15 when we multiply that by our $10 stake.
If there were less than 2.5 goals in the game, we’d lose. Our losses would be
calculated in the same way. If there were no goals scored, for example, we’d
lose $25. 2.5 minus zero is 2.50, which is $25 when multiplied by our $10 stake.
If there was just one goal scored, we’d lose $15. 2.5 minus one is 1.5. Multiply
that by our $10 stake and we get $15.
The principle is pretty much the same when selling, but in reverse. If we
chose to sell at 2.30, we’d win if there were less than 2.3 goals scored and
we’d lose if there were more. The amount we’d win or lose would be calculated
using the same principle we just outlined.
As you can see, spread betting really isn’t that complex at all: not once you
understand the basic concept. You buy when you expect the relevant total to be
higher than quoted, and you sell when you expect it to be lower. How much money
you’ll win or lose is calculated by multiplying your initial stake by the
difference between the final total and the number you bought or sold at.
Where spread betting starts to get more complicated is with all the different
markets available. Not all of the markets are as straightforward as the total
goals market we just used in our example. Let’s take a deeper look at the
various markets that are available.
The bookmakers that offer sports spread betting usually have a huge range of
markets available for soccer games. We’ll start by listing some of the simpler
markets below.
Each of these markets works in
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