SDSM (Statistical Downscaling Model) manual - START PDF 64f186b2
SDSM (Statistical Downscaling Model) manual - START
UsingSDSMAdecisionsupporttoolfortheassessmentofregionalclimatechangeimpactsSESHRLWilbyCWaanLEUserManualRobertLWilbyandChristianWDawson26October2001DepartmentofGeographyKingsCollegeLondonStrandWC2R2LSUKDepartmentofComputerScienceLoughboroughUniversityLeicsLE113TUUKSponsorsofSDSMAConsortiumfortheApplicationofClimateImpactAssessmentsACACIACanadianClimateImpactsScenariosCCISProjectNationalCentreforRiskAnalysisandOptionsAppraisalUKEnvironmentAgencyPrefaceGeneralCirculationModelsGCMssuggestthatrisingconcentrationsofgreenhousegaseswillhavesignificantimplicationsforclimateatglobalandregionalscalesLesscertainistheextenttowhichmeteorologicalprocessesatindividualsiteswillbeaffectedSocalleddownscalingtechniquesareusedtobridgethespatialandtemporalresolutiongapsbetweenwhatclimatemodellersarecurrentlyabletoprovideandwhatimpactassessorsrequireThismanualdescribesadecisionsupporttoolforassessinglocalclimatechangeimpactsusingarobuststatisticaldownscalingtechniqueSDSMStatisticalDownScalingModelVersion22facilitatestherapiddevelopmentofmultiplelowcostsinglesitescenariosofdailysurfaceweathervariablesundercurrentandfutureclimateforcingAdditionallythesoftwareperformsancillarytasksofdataqualitycontrolandtransformationpredictorvariablescreeningautomaticmodelcalibrationbasicdiagnostictestingstatisticalanalysesandgraphingofclimatedataInadditionthemanualdescribestheUKSDSMarchiveasetofdailypredictorvariablespreparedformodelcalibrationanddownscalingatsitesacrosstheUKThisarchivecontainsvariablesdescribingatmosphericcirculationthicknessstabilityandmoisturecontentatseverallevelsintheatmosphereunderclimateconditionsobservedbetween1961and2000EquivalentpredictorvariablesareprovidedforthreeGCMexperimentsoftransientclimatechangebetween1961and2099ApplicationofSDSMisillustratedwithrespecttothedownscalingofdailymaximumtemperatureandprecipitationscenariosforahypotheticalsiteatBlogsvilleundercurrent196190andfuture208099climateforcingAcknowledgementsDevelopmentofSDSMVersion22wassponsoredbytheUKEnvironmentAgencythroughtheNationalCentreforRiskAnalysisandOptionsAppraisalTheauthorsgratefullyacknowledgethesupportandtechnicaladviseofNickReynardEnvironmentAgencyRichendaConnellUKCIPBrianWatersEnvironmentAgencyandIainBrownUKCIPTheUKSDSMdataarchivewaspreparedbyIanHarrisClimateResearchUnitOwenWilliamsandKitMacleodprovidedvaluablefeedbackthroughbetatestingofthesoftwareDevelopmentofSDSMVersion21wassupportedbytheCanadianCli
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