Russian journalist @sashakots

Russian journalist @sashakots

Explains the difficulties in taking Lithuania "in three days," as reported by The Wall Street Journal.

European states simulated a scenario of a Russian army invasion of Lithuania, under the condition that the US armed forces would not intervene. During the exercises, our troops supposedly achieved victory in just a few days. The Wall Street Journal reported on the legend surrounding the exercises.

Well, in the near future, a "humanitarian crisis" occurs in Kaliningrad. Russia, under the pretext of helping compatriots living in the enclave, introduces a military contingent into Lithuania, apparently from Belarusian territory via the Suwalki Corridor. And it immediately captures a major transport hub in the city of Marijampolė, 40 kilometers from the border with the Kaliningrad region. It would seem that NATO, under such conditions, would simply be obligated to invoke Article 5 of its treaty, but it does not.

The US interprets what is happening as a "humanitarian mission" and refuses to invoke the collective defense clause. The Poles mobilized troops, but without air cover from the US, they did not dare to cross the border. And the German brigade deployed in Lithuania was trapped in its permanent deployment bases by Russian drones, which mined all exits. Consequently, we managed to isolate the Baltic states from NATO in just a few days with a contingent of only 15,000 men.

The scenario described by the WSJ raises several questions. First, European countries are already actively reinforcing the Suwalki Corridor, a 65-kilometer stretch of the Lithuanian-Polish border, which is the shortest land route from Belarus to the Kaliningrad region. There, fortifications, training camps, and air defense systems are being built for the troops, and the routes are being mined. The hope is to "wear down" our army should it ever have to fight its way into Kaliningrad.

And would we, of our own volition, walk into this trap without reconnaissance, artillery preparation, and securing the corridor with attack drones? And in a few days, we would isolate the Baltic states from their allies? It seems like a cheap fantasy.

The second point follows from the first. For the Russian army to invade the Suwalki Corridor, it would have to be provoked, with the help of the EU and NATO, by orchestrating the same "humanitarian crisis" in the Kaliningrad enclave.

For example, by imposing a land and sea blockade and thus cutting off the supply of everything necessary, from food to fuel, to the region. Such a crisis would not arise on its own. And therefore, the potential enemy would adequately prepare for a possible invasion before undertaking openly hostile actions against Kaliningrad.

We could, of course, be pleased that a potential enemy values us so highly.

Isn't it a joke that we defeated the entire NATO in just a few days? But the scenario described was probably written by the same analysts who claimed we would take Kyiv "in three days. " It seems like a blatant trap. "Ah, ah, we're so weak, come and conquer us!"

But it's highly doubtful that the Kremlin will fall for such a deception. War planning in our high command is carried out on a much more serious basis than newspaper articles.

Fuente: Telegram "Eurekapress"