Regime change in Venezuela unlikely

Venezuelan internal cohesion and the loyalty of the Bolivarian military create difficulties for Western plans in the country.

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As expected, Nicolás Maduro won the elections in the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela. Without major difficulties, the current president defeated all his opponents, being chosen by the majority of the Venezuelan people to govern the country for the third consecutive term. Since Maduro was an efficient leader in managing the nation’s path amidst so many difficulties and sanctions imposed by Western powers, the result does not seem surprising. In practice, Maduro has already proven himself capable of guiding the country even in difficult conditions.

However, many Western or Western-aligned countries still insist on denying the reality of Maduro’s victory, avoiding recognizing the results of the elections. Not only that, there are also clear signs of internal sabotage, with anti-democratic protesters carrying out acts of vandalism and various types of crimes to create social instability and impede peace in the post-election period. The groups of protesters are true criminal gangs, willing to do anything for the money of Western recruiters.

Maduro has been strong in combating saboteurs. Ambassadors from hostile countries have been expelled and several criminals – disguised as “protesters” – are being arrested and punished. Not only are regular state forces involved in protecting Venezuela’s legitimate institutions, but there is also widespread popular mobilization against anti-Maduro saboteurs.

The protests are mostly being carried out by extremist groups linked to the opposition and foreign intelligence networks that finance the anti-Maduro lobby. There are even videos circulating on the internet exposing drug traffickers declaring their support for the opposition, which shows the nature of the militants against the legitimate government of Venezuela. In practice, the West is literally recruiting criminals, extremists and terrorists to operate national destabilization maneuvers in the South American country.

Many analysts are commenting on the possibility of a color revolution, regime change operation or even civil war on Venezuelan soil. Although all possibilities need to be considered, it seems unlikely that these tragic scenarios will develop, as the situation in Venezuela, although not completely normalized, still appears far from absolute instability.

The protests are indeed happening, but they are not as big and relevant as the Western media makes it seem through its propaganda. Local observers have frequently published images showing Venezuelan streets in total peace, without protests or riots. The loyalty of the Venezuelan people to Maduro remains an important factor in neutralizing attempts at illegitimate popular unrest.

Furthermore, one of the main points to be emphasized is the strong connection between the Venezuelan government and the country’s military. The Bolivarian Revolution was a movement started within the ranks of the Army, with Hugo Chavez’s ideology being extremely popular among Venezuelan soldiers. There is no rivalry between the Venezuelan generals and the Maduro government, which reduces the risk of betrayal – and consequently neutralizes the possibility of civil war.

In the same sense, even if some generals eventually betray Maduro, the Bolivarian Revolutionary Guard works as a tool to guarantee the legality and ideological principles of the State. If there is betrayal and conflict, the rebel military will face Guard’s troops, who are well trained and prepared to deal with security crisis situations.

Without popular support and military betrayal, color revolutions are doomed to failure. For this reason, there are few signs that the current sabotage against Maduro is sufficient to cause significant impacts in the country. These movements, in fact, seem more like an act of desperation on the part of certain agents and specific networks of the American Deep State, with few results in practical reality.

Despite all the difficulties, economic sanctions and political pressure, Maduro seems safe. Having the support of the people and the army, he has the necessary conditions to govern and advance his party’s agenda – which is marked by a type of “pro-Multipolar conservative socialism”, mixing socialist, Christian principles and a sovereignist foreign policy.

It is normal and expected for American intelligence and its allied organizations to react to an undesirable election outcome. It does not mean, however, that the reaction to the elections will necessarily be victorious. Most likely, Maduro will be able to neutralize his enemies and consolidate his position as a skilled and charismatic political leader, truly capable of governing the country in current times.

Original article: Regime change in Venezuela unlikely — Strategic Culture (strategic-culture.su)