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Welcome to our question writing guide! Here, you’ll learn about our best practices for writing and submitting questions, as well as our content rules and guidelines.
We greatly value the contributions of our diverse community of forecasters, question authors, and forum participants, and we hope that these guidelines will promote, enhance, and safeguard a vibrant community forecasting space for many years to come.
Submitted questions are reviewed by a group of volunteer Community Moderators . The Community Moderators team tries its best to approve all the questions that conform to our guidelines and best-practices swiftly, typically within a week or two. Questions that are not immediately ready for publication are provided feedback by Community Moderators.
Metaculus hosts questions on almost any topic—science, technology, politics, business, law, economics—you name it! That said, we have a thematic focus on scientific and technological advances, and an inclination towards issues of global importance (such as climate change, COVID-19, Artificial Intelligence, and so on.)
Currently, we will consider any question that satisfies our Moderation rules for publication on the platform.
Writing incisive questions for forecasting can be challenging, and requires a keen eye for detail, careful precision, creativity and imagination, and a host of other skills. Fortunately, many of these skills can be cultivated with a bit of practice.
For experienced question writers, we have a briefer checklist to address common issues here . For a comprehensive guide to writing good questions, see our guidelines below.
Resolution conditions are the backbone of any forecasting question—they spell out how and when a question will resolve. It's therefore key to spell these out clearly.
Metaculus has developed its own style and norms for writing and submitting questions. Heeding these best-practices will be appreciated by Metaculus forecasters and Community Moderators alike.
When submitted a question, you are asked to specify the closing date (when the question is no longer available for predicting) and resolution date (when the resolution is expected to occur).
Resolution dates should be the date when you expect there will be enough information for the question to resolve. The resolution date lets Metaculus administrators know when the question might be ready for resolution. If the date comes and not enough information is available yet, resolution can simply be postponed. As such, the resolution date is often just a suggestion.
In some cases, questions must resolve at the resolution date according to the best available information. In such cases, it becomes important to choose the resolution date carefully, and it must be explicit in the question text. Try to set it to dates that make for interesting and insightful questions!
For closing dates, here are some rules of thumb:
Moderation Rules (with the exception of the notability requirement, and the no non-public figures rule) apply equally to private questions as they do to public ones.
Metaculus Community Moderators are committed members of the community who volunteer to help the platform run smoothly. We greatly appreciate their time and talents, and we hope you’ll do the same!
The main responsibilities of Community Moderators include:
Additionally, Community Moderators can help draw extra attention to bugs, feature requests, or other issues that affect the platform. Community Moderators are appointed democratically, by way of election. If you’d like to register interest in becoming a Community Moderator, please do so by commenting to this effect in the comment section of this discussion thread, and we’ll reach out to you before the next election takes place.

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assignment reads For this assignment, you submit answers by questions , the
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