Push In Spread Betting
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Push In Spread Betting
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If you believe in the saying “time is money” then watching a three-hour football game only to get your money back is one of the most frustrating things to do. However, depending on how that result came to be, a push could be a positive result if your team pulled off the back-door cover.
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When you hear someone use the term “push” they are referring to the result of game or event that ends right on the listed point spread or finishes in a draw. Pushes are the most common in sports that use the point spread like basketball and football. However, a push can also happen when betting on certain run lines in baseball or spreads in soccer.
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A push isn’t the worse thing in the world since you get your money back if your game happens to land right on the listed point spread. The most frustrating thing about a push is the time spending watching the game only to break even. Fortunately for bettors, sportsbooks don’t penalise you for making a bet that “pushes”, so you do receive all of your wager back.
Let’s use an NCAA basketball game as the first example. If your looking over the card and decide to bet the Baylor Bears -2 over the Oklahoma Sooners, this means that in order for you to cash your ticket, the Bears would need to win by three or more points. A 52-49 win would be just as good as a 90-87 win. If the Bears won by a mere two points (90-88, 52-50, etc.), your bet would be a push and you would receive your money back. If you like the underdog Sooners, a two-point loss would result in a push as well.
The second example comes in the form of a parlay. Obviously if you bet more than one game with a listed spread as a whole number, the chances of more than one game pushing are high. This is where you need to be careful and do your due diligence to understand how sportsbooks treat “pushes” on a parlay.
Some books simple reduces the number of teams in a parlay when there is a push – say you have a four-team parlay and one game pushes, your parlay simply becomes a three-team parlay that’s still in play. Other sportsbooks will treat that entire parlay as a loss.
Knowing how sportsbooks operate and understanding their unique set of rules is crucial to avoiding costly and unexpected losses.
One way to avoid the possibility of a push is to bet lines with a hook . A hook is the extra half point sportsbooks add to ensure there is a winner and a loser on both sides (also to attract balanced action). Another way to avoid a “push” is to move the line buy buying a half point up or down depending on which side you are backing. In football, moving a line from -3 to -2.5 has the ability to win you more money over time should the favorite actually win the game. The best times to move the line in football to avoid the push is when the point spread is -3, -4 or -7. These are the three most common margins of victory so getting a half point either way will turn your pushes into potential wins.
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You may have listened to the term “push” in sports betting. It’s part of betting slang. But, do you know what it is, how it affects your bets and how they happen?
This article will tell you everything you need to know about a bet ending as a push.
First and foremost, a push is when you place a bet that ends in a draw. We’re talking about sports betting draws. For totals and point spreads, you can tie even if the actual game you’re betting on has a winner and a loser.
As bettors and competitors, we focus on racking up wins and mitigating losses. We even brainwash ourselves with sayings like “winning isn’t everything, it’s the only thing.” You will love to hear that “Mamba mentality” slogan while actually accomplishing victories.
However, sometimes sporting events tie, which means there is no winner and no loser. Some sports have implemented overtimes or shootouts to avoid ending in draws.
Still, when it comes to betting, even those games could end as a draw. Now, how do the different sportsbooks deal with pushes?
This guide will help you to learn the following:
We’ve scratched the surface, now let’s get into the deep waters of a push bet.
Let’s address the elephant in the room. Pushes happen quite a lot in the sports betting world. Let’s look at an example. Say you’re betting on the NFL .
Your chosen bet is a point spread in a game between the Green Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions. The spread is set at +/- 3.
You can like the Packers -3 or the Lions at +3. Either way, there are chances that the game could end in specifically three points of the distance between the teams. As time expires, it could end 14-14, 20-17, 24-21, or 31-28 for Green Bay. Each of those score lines results in a push.
Why? Because you need the margin to be more than a three-point victory for Green Bay. If you bet Lions +3, you need to lose by less than three.
So if three points is the margin, no one wins. The oddsmakers don’t collect any vig or commission, and the bettors don’t reap any rewards. It’s like nothing happened.
Total bets also result in pushes with frequency. For example, the Mets and the Dodgers are playing. The pitching matchup is Jacob deGrom vs. Clayton Kershaw, two elite players on the mound.
Say the over/under is set at five. A 3-2 New York win is a victory for the Mets, but a push on the totals whether you bet the over or under.
The combined score adds up to five, which is the exact number set by the bookmakers, so it’s a tie.
There are some exceptions, but most sportsbooks take a similar approach when faced with a push bet.
Straight bets (also known as single bets) that result in a push are reimbursed. For example, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are -3 favorites over the New Orleans Saints. The Bucs win 24-21.
Both sides get their money back. If you bet $100, you will get refunded—not a penny more, not a penny less.
If the total of the game between Tampa Bay and New Orleans was set at 43, both over and under bets end in a push as well. Bettors who took either part of the bet will get a refund.
For moneylines, pushes happen if there is an actual tie. Say the Rams are -225 against the Cardinals, who are +200. If the teams end in a 21-21 draw, both bets get a refund.
As for parlays and teaser bets , things get a bit trickier. There are more games involved, which means more chances of one of them ending on a push. Here’s how multi-event wagers “react” to a push bet.
Say the bettors get +600 odds if they win a three-team parlay bet or a +1200 for a four-team bet. But what if you win three legs of a four-team wager and push the remaining one? Do you lose? Do you win?
Most sportsbooks will remove the push game and readjust the odds as if the parlay/teaser had one fewer leg. Simply put, a four-team parlay with three winning legs and a push will pay you as if you won a three-leg parlay.
Yes, you were aiming for that juicy +1200 odds, but getting +600 due to the push bet getting removed from the bet is still a massive profit. It’s actually six times better than nothing.
This is the fairest and more logical way to deal with pushes in multi-event wagers. But it is not an official rule per se. Some sportsbooks will see a push bet, and take it as losing bets, therefore you lose the whole parlay/teaser. This is common in parlay bets produced early in the week that remain available for wagering up to the start of the parlay.
To avoid being played like this, you need to read the small print. It may be a pain in the behind, but it’s better to know what you’re dealing with than to get blindsided and lose your money. Research how your sportsbook deals with pushes to make a smart decision when betting.
Obviously, you’re more bound to be faced with a push in a multi-event bet if you include a higher number of games. A 10 team parlay has 10 chances to get a push. A two-team parlay involves only two matches that could push.
First of all, you have to be aware that avoiding a push bet is taking the mindset of “go big or go home.” You win or lose and deal with it. Having clarified this, yes, there is a way to avoid the possibility of pushes.
If you spend time watching a long sporting event and put some big bucks on the play, tying may not be a fulfilling result. It’s not a loss, but not a win either. On the other hand, if you are a high-volume bettor concerned with his ROI, a push could feel more like “oh well” more than a loss.
So, avoiding pushes is not hard. You need to bet on those half-point bets—which are known as hooks. There will never be a push on a spread like 3.5, 7.5, or a total of 49.5.
Even if the oddsmakers don’t put a hook on the odds, you can usually buy half a point. You might pay a small price in the vig, but it usually is worth taking it at -125 to get -2.5 instead of a -110 on laying three.
On moneylines, even if it can happen, the chances of a push are really slim. There are no ties in the NBA, NHL, and MLB. The NFL had one tie in 2019, two in 2018, and none in 2017. The chances of pushing a bet when betting on moneylines are really small.
Some sports where ties are more likely—like soccer—offer three-way betting. You can bet on either side of the game, or even bet that the result will be a tie. In a three-way moneyline, if you pick a team to win, a push will result in a loss, not in a refund.
In the end, a push is not a loss and not a win, but it’s not a bad result. It gives you a free data point to consider, though. Of course, that only holds if your sportsbook refunds the pushes.
Always remember to read the terms and conditions thoroughly before placing your wagers. If you’re betting for a favorite, avoiding pushes by buying half points, you buy yourself a 0.5 point margin. For example, betting on a -2.5 is better than a -3. You need an FG to win the bet, not to push it.
Inversely, when betting underdogs, getting from +2.5 to +3 gives you an edge. In this case, an FG loss would give you a push rather than a loss.
Pushes and half points are a way for you to either expand your winning chances or mitigate your losses.
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Pros Generally have better betting line value than the moneyline It can add more value to parlay wagers Can have higher maximum bet limits Adds excitement to games with a clear better team against a worse team Cons Assessing a wager could take more time The winning team in real life doesn’t necessarily win the wager
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As of the second half of 2022, more than 30 states have retail and/or online sports betting laws enacted or pending legislation for the industry.
Since the US Supreme Court overturned the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act (PASPA) in May 2018, sports betting has caught on like wildfire. Each year, more and more bettors are finding interest in the activity.
Even if you’ve never wagered on a game, you’ve likely heard the term “point spread” or “the spread.” But what exactly is it? How can you use it when betting on your favorite sports team to add extra money to your wallet?
Here, we’ll not only explain what sports betting is, but we’ll look at the purpose of the spread, compare moneyline betting and spread betting, how it varies by sport and more.
To better understand spread betting, there are four main terms to know and understand: underdog, favorite, push, hook and juice.
When you first arrive at your favorite online sportsbook and look at the available bets for the upcoming games, you may notice two notations in the spread column—a “-” and “+.”
These are important as these not only indicate what the spread is but also illustrate which team is favored and which is the underdog.
For example, you look in the spread column of the upcoming Baltimore Ravens and Miami Dolphins game. The Dolphins are +2.5 on the spread, and the betting line is -110.
With that +2.5, you could view the game starting with a score of the Dolphins up 2.5 to 0. Of course, the game’s score will be 0 to 0, but in the eyes of the spread, the Dolphins either need to win outright or lose by no more than two points.
You’ll lose that spread bet if the Dolphins lose 23 to 20. However, if they lose 23 to 21, you would win, as the added 2.5 points would result in a score of 23.5 to 23 through the prism of the wager.
On the other side, the “-” before the number indicates the favorite. Sticking with the above Dolphins/Ravens example, the Ravens would be -2.5.
Side note: For most sports, the spread will be the same on both sides, with the only difference being “-” or “+.”
Unlike the Dolphins, who need to lose by no more than two points, the Ravens now need to win by at least three points, given the added 0.5 on the spread.
Now, if the spread were Ravens -3, they would need to win by at least four. If the final score were 23 to 20, that would result in a push.
While we go into each wager hoping to win, taking a draw is better than losing.
A push can only occur when the spread is a whole number and doesn’t have the added 0.5.
As mentioned, if the spread is -3 and the team wins by three, this would result in a push as the underdog also has a spread of 3 on the other side, but with a “+.”
You don’t win or lose when this occurs—you receive your original wager back.
We’ve made mention of “the added 0.5,” but in sports betting, that added 0.5 is important. So important, in fact, that it has its own term—the hook.
There’ll never be a push with the hook, as teams cannot score half of a point. However, depending on which side you bet, the 0.5 acts like a whole point.
Again, if the spread is +2.5, you need to win outright or lose by no more than two; if the spread is -2.5, you not only need to win outright, but you need to do so by three or more.
Juice, also known as “vig,” is a price you pay for making a wager through an online sportsbook. The standard betting line, commonly seen in spread betting, is -110. With this betting line, you’ll earn $10 for every $11 wagered.
Think of it this way: If you see a “-” line of anything above -100, each point is the “juice” or the “vig.”
Spread betting is exclusively for sports betting. Thus, this isn’t a bet type you’d find at an online or retail casino.
The closest thing to a spread at an online casino would be the house edge, which is constant with each online casino game. In contrast, the spread is an optional wager in sports betting.
No matter what sport you’re a fan of, there’ll always be good and not-so-good teams.
There’s always going to be a disparity in professional sports.
But that’s where the point spread comes in.
The purpose of a spread is to make the teams as even as possible. The point spread is typically generated by online sportsbooks using algorithms and other mathematical formulas which determine how superior or inferior a team is.
So, when you bet on the point spread, you can look at the favorite and think, “According to this bookmaker, this favored team is considered ‘x’ number of points better than this other team.”
While the spread accounts for the strengths and weaknesses of each team, the moneyline removes all of that.
The moneyline wager is picking which team will win outright, with no strings attached.
While picking a moneyline team may be easier, the conversation around bet value is necessary.
We can all conclude that the Rams are incredibly likely to beat the Jaguars. However, the moneyline in a bet like that could have a -1000 line for the Rams. This would mean that you’d need to wager a hefty sum of $1,000 to profit $100.
The spread counteracts that value disparity but introduces an additional variable.
Say the Rams are -14.5 point favorites. You may conclude that the Rams will win, but will they win by 15 or more?
Generally, a point spread betting line will almost always be roughly -110.
So, you can bet on the Rams to win outright at -1000 ($1,000 to win $100), or you can assess the situation, and whichever side you think will cover the spread will get you $100 on a $110 wager.
Now, there are times when betting on the moneyline makes more sense. That said, there are different strategies for different sports, such as the NFL, MLB, NHL and NBA.
The key spread number in the NFL is -3 or anything less than that. When you see a -3 line, this is typically for when two teams are relatively equal in stature, but this could account for home-field advantage.
When you see a spread less than three, it may be better value, depending on which side you want to wager, to bet the moneyline.
According to Sports Insights , the chances of winning an NFL game by less than three points is minimal.
The point spread in the MLB is known as the “runline.” Unlike the NFL, the runline will always be 1.5 on each side. The betting line will almost always be different than -110, as 1.5 runs in a baseball game can be substantial.
Also, with the runline of 1.5 being so static, the “favorite” may not be the best candidate for that -1.5 runline.
The NHL also has an alternate term for the points spread—the puckline. Like MLB betting, the standard puckline is also 1.5. This makes sense, as MLB and NHL scores are far more synonymous than the NFL or the NBA.
As the NHL and MLB are more similar to one another final score-wise, the NBA and NFL are more on par.
However, the similarity isn’t the final score but rather the margin of victory. NBA games can have high point totals, but you’ll find that the spreads are more “in the ballpark” with the NFL.
It’s more common to find “larger” spread numbers in the NBA, but the betting line of -110 is something you should often expect to see.
You can absolutely win money when betting the spread. However, there are a couple of easy strategies you can deploy immediately to assist in winning cash.
If you’re in a state where multiple sportsboo
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