Private Spend

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NAHB analysis of the Census Construction Spending data shows that private residential construction spending stood at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of $938.2 billion in May. It was 0.2% up over the upwardly revised April estimates of $935.9 billion. On a year-over-year basis, total private construction spending was 19% higher.
These monthly gains are largely attributed to the growth of improvement spending ($354.9 billion SAAR), which was 34.2% higher than a year ago. Spending on single-family and multifamily construction remained virtually unchanged, as housing starts declined further and builder confidence weakened in May with home building facing higher interest rates and supply-side headwinds. Single-family construction spending was at a $483.1 billion annual pace in May 2022, 15.1% higher over May 2021. Multifamily construction spending stood at $483.1 billion, 3.6% lower than a year ago.
The NAHB construction spending index, which is shown in the graph below (the base is January 2000), illustrates how construction spending on single-family, multifamily have slowed down the pace since early 2022 under the pressure of supply-chain issues and elevated interest rates. Before the COVID-19 hit the U.S. economy, single-family construction and home improvement experienced solid growth from the second half of 2019 to February 2020, and the quick rebound since July 2020. New multifamily construction spending has picked up the pace after a slowdown in the second half of 2019.
The Census Bureau also published significant revisions of private residential spending data, including single-family, multifamily, and home improvement spending categories. The estimates for single-family and total private residential spending were revised upward since 2015. The chart below shows that revised residential improvement spending are substantially higher throughout 2021 and diverged noticeably in early 2022. The earlier release data showed a small dip in the first quarter of 2022. On the contrary, the revised estimates show significant increase in remodeling spending in early 2022.
Spending on private nonresidential construction increased 3.7% in May on an annual basis to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $497.8 billion. The annual nonresidential spending increase was mainly due to more spending on the class of power ($19.4 billion), followed by the office ($9.7 billion), and healthcare category ($2.7 billion).
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September 1: BIA of Central South Carolina
September 8: Greater Iowa City Area Home Builders Association
September 9: Charlottesville Area Association of Realtors
September 14: American Coatings Association
September 15: Northeast Builders and Remodelers Association of Massachusetts
September 20: NAHB Building Systems Council
September 20: National Association of Landscape Professionals
September 20: Home improvement Research Institute
September 22: Home Builders Association of Georgia
To schedule a presentation for your group, please contact econ@nahb.org .

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Private residential construction spending declined further in July, as rising mortgage rates and elevated construction costs put a damper on the market . It fell 1.5% in July, down for the second straight month, according to NAHB’s analysis of the Census Construction Spending data. Private residential construction spending was 14.1% higher year-over-year.
The monthly declines are largely attributed to lower spending on single-family and multifamily. Spending on single-family construction dropped 4% in July, as single-family starts fell to the lowest reading since June 2020 and builder confidence plunged in July. Multifamily construction spending edged down by 0.6% in July, after an increase of 0.6% in June. Private residential improvements rose by 1.5% in July and was 38.3% higher over a year ago, as summer is the best time for remodeling. Keep in mind that construction spending reports the value of property put-in-place, so it’s the measure of property at the end of the construction pipeline.
The NAHB construction spending index, which is shown in the graph below (the base is January 2000), illustrates how construction spending on single-family and multifamily has slowed since early 2022 under the pressure of supply-chain issues and elevated interest rates. Before the COVID-19 hit the U.S. economy, single-family construction and home improvement experienced solid growth from the second half of 2019 to February 2020, with a quick rebound since July 2020.
Spending on private nonresidential construction inched up by 0.4% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $503.9 billion. The monthly nonresidential spending increase was mainly due to more spending on the class of commercial property ($0.7 billion), followed by the manufacturing category ($0.6 billion), and the amusement and recreation category ($0.2 billion).
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September 1: BIA of Central South Carolina
September 8: Greater Iowa City Area Home Builders Association
September 9: Charlottesville Area Association of Realtors
September 14: American Coatings Association
September 15: Northeast Builders and Remodelers Association of Massachusetts
September 20: NAHB Building Systems Council
September 20: National Association of Landscape Professionals
September 20: Home improvement Research Institute
September 22: Home Builders Association of Georgia
To schedule a presentation for your group, please contact econ@nahb.org .

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Private equity firms spend big on take-private deals
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Sky-high markets and avid competition for deals are costing private equity firms more to take public companies private in 2021 than at any time during the past five years, S&P Global Market Intelligence data shows.
Between the start of the year and Nov. 22, PE firms announced or completed 60 take-private deals totaling more than $223.4 billion in value, for an average transaction size of about $3.85 billion. The industry's average take-private deal was about $1.20 billion in 2020 and approximately $2.11 billion in 2019, according to Market Intelligence data.
Cheap debt and heaps of dry powder have stoked competition for acquisitions — not just among private equity firms, but also between industry players and well-resourced outsiders, including strategic buyers and special purpose acquisitions companies, said Glenn Mincey, global and U.S. head of private equity for KPMG.
"It's everybody chasing the same deals," Mincey said.
The role of competition in driving up the price of take-private deals was highlighted by the bidding for U.K. retailer Wm Morrison Supermarkets PLC, which was decided in an Oct. 2 auction that pitted New York-based Clayton Dubilier & Rice LLC against Fortress Investment Group (UK) Ltd., headquartered in London. The auction was used to resolve a four-month bidding war between the two PE firms that drove the value of the final offer roughly 76% higher than the initial bid for the supermarket chain. When debt and liabilities are factored into CD&R's winning bid, it comes to a total transaction value of $14.07 billion.
Reflecting the take-private deal euphoria is this month's monster buyout proposal from KKR & Co. Inc. for Rome-based telecommunications provider Telecom Italia SpA, estimated at $52.20 billion.
With strong corporate earnings pushing U.S. and European public markets to record highs this year, acquisition prices are rising, particularly in the technology sector, the arena for several of the year's largest take-private deals.
Between 2010 and 2019, the median annual valuation for publicly listed tech sector companies globally ranged from a price-to-revenue multiple of 1.2 to 2.9, according to 451 Research data, before hitting 3.7 in 2020 and jumping to 5.7 for the 2021 year-to-date period.
The sector's largest take-private deal so far this year, announced Nov. 8, is the $20.25 billion planned buyout of cybersecurity company McAfee Corp. by an investor group led by Advent International Corp. and Permira Advisers LLC.
Technology and software-focused Thoma Bravo LP had a busy year racking up several large take-private deals. On Aug. 31, the Chicago-based private equity firm closed a $12.37 billion deal to acquire and take private Sunnyvale, Calif.-based Proofpoint Inc., a cybersecurity and compliance company.
The firm executed two more large take-private deals that closed in July: the $7.07 billion acquisition of Medallia Inc. and the $6.72 billion acquisition of El Segundo, Calif.-based Stamps.com Inc.
Taking companies private at relatively high valuations sets the bar higher for private equity, requiring firms to be even more diligent in executing their value-creation strategies, Mincey said. But higher valuations also come with an upside.
"This is going to be really counterintuitive, but the higher valuations actually make it easier for private equity to do its job," Mincey said. "If you think about their business model, they borrow against the company, so the higher valuation allows them to borrow more and thereby allows them to execute more quickly on what they need to do to polish the company."
Leveraging technology to improve a service or make a company's operations more efficient is a tried-and-true strategy to improve value, regardless of what's going on in the wider market, he said. And firms are increasingly seizing opportunities to create value by improving the environmental, social and governance profiles of portfolio companies.
"Before, private equity would look at a company, and if you had a bad ESG story, that's a red flag and maybe you don't want to invest in that company. Now, it's seen as, 'Hey, we can come in [and] change the ESG story, really crystallize it, and then that adds value to a company'," Mincey said.
A hike in interest rates, anticipated to hit by mid-2022 or 2023, could put a damper on take-private activity.
"That's one factor going in the opposite direction, but I certainly think the trend is going to continue over the next year," he said.
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Aug 17, 2022


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