Point Spread Chiefs Vs Chargers

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By Jason Guilbault | Apr 06, 2021, 3:07pm
The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off a decisive victory over the Houston Texans and will march into Los Angeles to take on another AFC rival. This matchup looks quite different from prior seasons as Philip Rivers is no longer here to will this passing offense down from deficits against the Chiefs. While these games were pretty close last season, losing by no more than ten points, you have to question this offense being able to keep up with Patrick Mahomes. It is another large spread for the Chiefs, and we should be seeing this for most of the season. The Chargers defense was able to stifle the Bengals, but this will be a different task. Look for Mahomes and company to add another win to their season as they take care of business against division rivals. For odds movement and full matchup history, visit the Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers Matchup Page.
Date: Sunday, September 20th, 2020
Time: 4:25 PM ET
Location: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
TV Coverage: FOX
Where can you watch Chiefs vs. Chargers online? You can stream this game and many other NFL games live online with Hulu. Hulu has a 7 Day free trial and is cheaper than cable options at $5.99/month. Watch Chiefs Vs. Chargers Free Online Now.
Kansas City Chiefs: Austin Reiter (Q), Charvarius Ward (Q), Alex Okafor (Q), Khalen Saunders (Q)
Los Angeles Chargers: Drue Tranquill (O), Trai Turner (Q), Mike Pouncey (Q), Justin Jackson (P)
Kansas City hung up 34 points on the Houston defense in Week 1 but also held Deshaun Watson to seven points through three quarters before garbage time came. This defense limited a strong passing attack and that is a major concern for the rest of the league. Kansas City put up 369 yards of offense and did a lot on the ground with a 34-166-1 rushing line between the team. Mahomes was only sacked once and they had one penalty for five yards. This was about as perfect of a game as you could play to kick off the season. Mahomes spread the ball around as Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, and Demarcus Robinson all had exactly six targets. Sammy Watkins led the team with nine.
There were a lot of eyes on the rookie, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, and he delivered in a major way. He played 67% of the snaps while Darrel Williams took more passing-down work with 33% of the snaps. Helaire struggled at the goal line but he had a ton of chances and that is the more important thing to look at right now. If you were high on Mecole Hardman coming into the season, he saw just 20 snaps and was fourth on the list. It looks like it might take an injury for him to move up a bit.
Los Angeles struggled a bit against the run last season and this might be a sneakier matchup for CEH than most think. Los Angeles can’t sell out on the run either given the matchup, and we might see the Chiefs target the run defense a bit more given the secondary is a tough one. The Chiefs struggled against the run last season and that lingered into Week 1.
Los Angeles is going to play a different style of football this season as the defense has the potential to be inside the top ten, despite losing Derwin James for the season. The Chargers ran the ball 39 times last week, going for 155 yards and a score. They threw just 30 times, going for 208 yards and no scores. Los Angeles struggled to get to Joe Burrow as he looked different from your usual rookie quarterback. The lack of pass rush is a concern coming into this week given Mahomes is now the quarterback they are facing. The battle will be between these cornerbacks and these wide receivers as Chris Harris and Casey Hayward will have their hands full.
There was a lot of concern coming out of this one because Austin Ekeler saw just one target. However, he had 19 rushing attempts and played 74% of the team snaps. Joshua Kelley was a guy touted in camp to get the number two role in the backfield. He saw just 18 snaps, but he had 60 yards on 12 carries, and also a score. I would expect a similar snap count this week as Kelley will be used as a change of pace back. I also anticipate more targets for Ekeler given the Chargers will likely be trailing in this one. The WR3 spot isn’t appealing in Los Angeles, but Jalen Guyton had the third most snaps behind Mike Williams and Keenan Allen.
The Chargers defense fell short of expectations last season but this is a talented group. While it might not seem like it this week, they should be a team that ranks inside the top ten against the pass. Against the run might be a different story as they struggled last season and rank 19th after Week 1. It will be a tough task against the rookie in what is a very tough offense to defend against anyway.
Spread: KC -8.5
Moneyline: KC -420 / LAC +310
Over/Under: 47.5
This is likely going to be a similar spread that we see from the Chiefs each week as they are over being touchdown favorites. The games against the Chargers were relatively close last season, as they win by ten and seven points in the two meetings. That was with Philip Rivers and now the offense runs with Tyrod Taylor. I am not sold on the Chargers offense being able to keep up against a very good Chiefs secondary. While the Chiefs will face a tougher defense in comparison to the Houston matchup, I still expect them to hang up some points and win this won comfortably. The Chiefs are 2-1 ATS in the last three meetings against the Chargers, and 7-3 over the last ten games. They are also 10-0 ATS in their last ten games, while the Chargers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten games.
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Any Chiefs game this season is going to create an abundance of fantasy plays. While this Chargers defense isn’t going to be one I target often, this Chiefs offense is just built differently. I expect Lamar Jackson to be higher owned in comparison to Patrick Mahomes. You have Tyreek Hill and Sammy Watkins who see a majority of the snaps and targets in the offense alongside Travis Kelce. These are the three main options to consider from this group. Mecole Hardman hardly saw the field in Week 1, so that is a concern for him. The Chargers have Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, and Hunter Henry to look at this week. Henry is my favorite of the group because we saw targets get funneled to tight ends last season, and that should be the case again. Williams is always a high upside play given the big-play potential.
Jason Guilbault
Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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Point Spread Chiefs Vs Chargers