Point Spread Chiefs Game

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Kansas City Chiefs Betting Guide
Schedule, Odds, And Predictions
Stop us if you’ve heard this before, but the Kansas City Chiefs are among the favorites to win the upcoming Super Bowl. It’s rinse and repeat for Kansas City, who’s found themselves in the title game the past two seasons. Patrick Mahomes is expected to redefine what a quarterback can do with his host of weapons.
Not much needs to be laid out for the coming season, the Chiefs are going to be one of the best teams in the NFL. With a revamped offensive line, they’re shooting for another Lombardi. Below, you can find Kansas City Chiefs odds for 2021. Included is a weekly outlook, odds for every game this season, futures, and more.
The Kansas City Chiefs’ 2021 revenge tour begins at home with a team whose team KC ended in 2020– the Cleveland Browns. Even without Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs were able to pull off a gutty win sealed with a fourth-down conversion thanks to Chad Henne. The Chiefs (-6) opened as 5.5-point favorites, a number that’s likely to remain steady as both teams improved their rosters in the offseason.
Cleveland signed several high-profile defensive backs, which is a direct response to Mahomes’ 255 passing yards in just over a half. The recipe to success in the playoffs was involving their star pass catchers, Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce, who combined for 219 of KC’s total 315 receiving yards. The Chiefs were 8-1 a season ago when either Hill or Kelce eclipsed 100 yards, including 3-0 when both did. Despite finishing a NFL-best 14-2, the Chiefs finished just 7-9 against the spread last year.
While 2020’s matchup combined for just 39 points, their Week 1 game is projected to combine for 53 points.
Futures are long-term bets that can range from an offseason to a full season (or beyond). Team win totals, award winners, and player performance are common futures.
Prop bets are based on individual performance, typically surrounding players. The Chiefs had one of the most explosive offenses in 2020 and therefore were one of the most popular targets for prop bets. For example, Patrick Mahomes had a projected passing total of 285.5 yards in the Chiefs’ Week 13 matchup with the Denver Broncos. That game, Mahomes passed for 318 yards, giving those who bet the over on his passing prop the win.
Search below for Kansas City Chiefs odds, team or player props currently being offered at sportsbooks. You can also look around at other teams and players using this tool. Happy shopping!
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Week Date Opponent Kickoff Time Opening Line
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The moneyline is the simplest of bets, decided by the straight-up winner and loser of each game. Consider the following example:
The Chiefs are considered heavy favorites in this matchup (indicated by -185), requiring a $185 bet to win $100 (plus the initial bet back). The 49ers are the underdog in this matchup, paying out $410 total for a $100 bet ($310 in winnings). How much either team wins or loses by does not matter in moneyline betting, the payout remains the same.
Betting on the point spread is determinant on how many points a team wins or loses by. Take the following example:
In this example, Kansas City is favored by 7.5 points, indicated by “-7.5.” If the Chiefs win the game 30-21, the Chiefs (-7.5) win the bet and would have a total payout of $19.09 on a $10 bet ($9.09 in profit). If the Patriots keep the game within eight and lose 28-24, the Patriots (+7.5) would win, and the payout would be the same as listed above.
The point total refers to the over/under line set by books. This number projects the total number of points scored in a game and, like prop betting, is bet whether one thinks the score will go over or under the set point total. For example, the Chiefs’ Week 6 matchup with the Buffalo Bills had a projected point total of 59.5 points. Kansas City won the game 26-17, totaling 43 points. Those who bet under the point total in this game would have cashed out.
The Chiefs’ explosive offense and ability to score bunches of points in a short amount of time often gave them a higher than league average for over/unders. In 2020, it wasn’t uncommon to see point totals like the aforementioned 59.5 points and that’s expected to continue into 2021 as long as Patrick Mahomes plays at an elite level.
Sometimes, the most thrilling and rewarding bets are bets made while games are being played. These are referred to as live bets or in-play bets. Odds are ever-changing during games, which would prove to be fruitful for sharp and prepared bettors. For example, if the Chiefs (-255) were heavily favored against the Giants (+190) before kickoff, a payout on a $10 bet on the Chiefs to win would win just $3.92.
However, say the Chiefs fell to a big 17-3 deficit in the first half despite controlling the overall game (due to a costly turnover or special teams gaffe). Odds may swing in favor of the Giants, who may be a -110 favorite at halftime. Taking the Chiefs to come back and win the game could present plus-odds (say, +130). Should a bettor take Kansas City (+130) at halftime and the Chiefs pull off the comeback, winners would win $13 instead of $3.92 (plus the initial $10 bet).
This could also be an effective way to “hedge” your bet; say a bettor took the Giants (+190) in that game, but Kansas City jumps out to a 21-0 first quarter lead and is controlling the overall feel of the game, bettors could hedge by throwing some money down on Kansas City (-320) to return some of the inevitably-lost bet.
You can always string bets together in the form of parlays or teasers. Usually during busy Sundays, bettors can parlay several teams to win or cover against the spread and if all bets are successful, the payouts are multiplied. Teasers function similarly, except they allow bettors to move each point spread to a more favorable line in exchange for diminished odds.
14-2 has become a sort of expectation for Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs after they’ve dominated the NFL for the past three seasons. Kansas City’s trademark one-play offense was ever-present under Andy Reid and it took them all the way to another Super Bowl. However, there was talk all season long that KC was letting their opponents stick around longer than they should have. Examples of this reside in Week 16 against the Falcons (17-14), in Week 13 against the Broncos (22-16), in Week 8 against the Panthers (33-31), and a handful of other weeks. This resulted in their 7-9 record against the spread.
Trades: T Orlando Brown (from Ravens)
Re-signings: T Mike Remmers (one year, $6.8 million), G Andrew Wylie (tender), CB Charvarius Ward (one year, $3.4 million), WR Byron Pringle (one year, $2.1 million)
Free agent losses: WR Keelan Cole (to Jets), T Eric Fischer (to Colts), EDGE Tanoh Kpassagnon (to Saints)
Free agent signings: G Joe Thuney (five years, $80 million), C Austin Blythe (one year, $1 million), DL Jarran Reed (one year, $5 million)
Key draft picks: LB Nick Bolton, C Creed Humphrey, WR Cornell Powell, G Trey Smith
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Sunday's Super Bowl figures to be a spectacle unlike any other in history. In addition to concluding the COVID-19 pandemic-altered 2020 season, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers essentially get a home game against the Kansas City Chiefs with the Lombardi Trophy on the line.
The storylines abound in this one. Last spring, Tampa Bay went all-in on getting to this spot by signing Tom Brady in the offseason. Now, it will have the opportunity to prove that was a wise choice with the opportunity to win its second Super Bowl.
For the Chiefs, this is the opportunity to edge toward dynasty territory with Patrick Mahomes under center. After winning last year's game, they can become the first team to go back-to-back since the New England Patriots in 2003 and 2004, and Mahomes' long-term contract means this could just be the beginning.
Then there's the obvious attraction of Mahomes vs. Brady. The 43-year-old quarterback has built a legacy on winning titles, and he has the opportunity to either add to his impressive resume or have Mahomes take his place as the league's top contender every year.
All of this should mean a hyped Super Bowl that will have plenty laying down some wagers to make proceedings more fun. As we head closer to the game, here's what the latest line looks like from DraftKings Sportsbook.
As is tradition, the Super Bowl offers all sorts of wagers, from the color of the Gatorade bath for the winning coach to whether there will be a fat-man touchdown. But the simplest bets are the classic spread and over/under.
The Chiefs enter the game as three-point favorites, which shouldn't come as a surprise. They have proved they can win in the postseason with their current core and won a regular-season game against the Bucs 27-24.
Although the line is relatively close, most people are backing the Chiefs to be victorious. A survey of 108 ESPN experts found 81 picking the Chiefs.
Noted ESPN analyst Bill Barnwell is taking the Chiefs largely because he was burned by betting against Mahomes in last year's Super Bowl.
"To be right, I had to spend the entire Super Bowl LIV watching every single Chiefs snap counting on Mahomes to not do something magical," Barnwell wrote before picking the Chiefs to win 31-24. "That was torturous. There's no fun in that, and I swore to myself that I wouldn't do it again if (or when) the Chiefs made it back to the Super Bowl."
Mahomes has proved to be a difficult player to root against. The Chiefs were down 20-10 at halftime in last year's Big Game before the quarterback led his team to a 21-0 final quarter to win the game 31-20.
Barnwell also noted that the Bucs, like the Niners last season, have the advantage in the trenches on both sides of the ball. While that's usually a deciding factor in games, there's no denying that Mahomes is a special player, especially with Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce as part of his arsenal.
The MMQB's Albert Breer is also picking the Chiefs (30-28), largely on the back of a stellar performance from Mahomes. Breer highlighted the fact that Mahomes has covered his team's shortcomings going into big games already this season:
"Mahomes has the ability to erase things the way Brady did when he was at his peak. He can erase holes created by injury or attrition (see: an AFC title game mostly without both his tackles and Sammy Watkins), he can erase the strengths of other teams and he can erase bad stretches of football."

For Kansas City to win, he's going to have to make up for injuries once again. The Chiefs are expected to be without starting tackles Eric Fisher and Mitchell Schwartz on Sunday. The potential holes in protection are a common reason for those picking the Bucs to come through.
Former Houston Texans executive and NFL Network analyst Charley Casserly is picking the Buccaneers to win 30-27. He's also predicting the Bucs front registers four sacks on Mahomes, who has been taken down just once throughout the playoffs.
Tampa Bay's pass rush has to be taken into consideration in this one. Although the Chiefs' quick game is a force to be reckoned with, so is the Bucs front. They were fourth in the league in sacks this season. Shaquil Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul are a talented duo coming off the edge, and the Chiefs will have to get creative to combat that.
By the same token, that same defense was torched by Tyreek Hill in Week 12 as he had 269 yards on 13 catches and three touchdowns.
In that game, the Chiefs were reliant on turnovers to keep the Tom Brady-led offense in check. They picked off the future Hall of Famer twice to win the turnover battle. It's a bit cliche, but there's a good chance turnovers will once again be the difference. Both offenses have plenty of weapons, and both are piloted by tremendous quarterbacks, so the margin of error is thin.
That bodes well for the Chiefs, as Brady is coming off a three-interception game against the Green Bay Packers. Mahomes hasn't thrown a pick in either of his postseason games and only has one game all season with more than one.
Mahomes will be under duress without his starting tackles, but getting pressure to him hasn't always guaranteed turnovers. The same can't be said for Brady this season, which could be the difference.
This game could get surprisingly defensive.
Final Score Prediction: Chiefs 27, Buccaneers 23
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