Oregon Arizona Game Betting Spread

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College Football Free Preview & Free Betting Pick: Oregon vs Arizona
BY Bryan Zarpentine College Football
The no. 6 Oregon Ducks are slowly getting closer to a Pac-12 championship and a spot in the College Football Playoff as they get set to host the Arizona Wildcats in Week 12 of the season. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 EST on Saturday, November 16 at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Oregon. Fans can catch all of the action on ESPN.
Current betting odds have Oregon favored by 27.5 points at home with an over/under of 68.5 points. Click here for a full list of this week’s college football betting odds.
Since losing their season opener to Auburn in heartbreaking fashion, the Ducks have been unstoppable, rattling off eight straight wins. Oregon got last week off and is now set to finish the season strong. With one more win, the Ducks will clinch the Pac-12 North and earn a spot in the Pac-12 Championship Game. However, Oregon appears to have a shot at playing in the CFP. Doing so will require winning their three remaining games, winning the Pac-12 title game, and perhaps getting a little outside help. However, barring another loss, the Ducks will have a resume that will put them in the conversation.
Meanwhile, the Wildcats are just trying to salvage this season by qualifying for a bowl game. Last week’s bye came on the heels of a four-game losing streak for Arizona. The silver lining is that the Wildcats are 4-5 and only need to win two of their final three games to become bowl eligible. The caveat is that Arizona’s schedule includes both Oregon and Utah, the two best teams in the Pac-12, not to mention a road game against rival Arizona State. To get to a bowl game, the Wildcats will need at least one top-10 upset and a win over their rival. If they don’t pull it off, Kevin Sumlin could be on the hot seat, as Arizona didn’t play in a bowl game last year and Sumlin is now 9-12 over his two seasons in Arizona.
Fortunately for Arizona, they have reason to believe they can beat Oregon after blowing out the Ducks 44-15 last season. On the other hand, the Wildcats lost 48-28 when they visited Eugene in 2017.
To be honest, I’m awfully tempted to lay down the points in this game. Two of Oregon’s six Pac-12 wins this year have come by over 30 points, so the Ducks are more than capable of blowing out conference foes. But with an extra week to prepare and plenty of desperation, I’ll give Arizona the benefit of the doubt one last time. I’m not high on the Wildcats, but I think they can at least keep this game within four touchdowns.
The biggest reason I’m taking a chance on Arizona in this game is that they have proven all season that they can score points. There have been a couple of stinkers along the way, but the Wildcats are averaging close to 33 points per game, which isn’t half bad for a team with a losing record. Arizona has scored at least 27 points in five of their seven games against power-conference opponents. If that trend continues and the Wildcats can at least break 20 points, the odds of Oregon covering 27.5 points start to come down.
For the last few weeks, Sumlin has employed a two-quarterback system with Khalil Tate and Grant Gunnell. Despite a lack of wins over that time, the Arizona offense has started to improve after a mid-season slump. Tate is a true dual-threat quarterback who is dangerous with his legs and often viable as a passer. Meanwhile, the freshman Gunnell, who is more of a pocket passer, is starting to play better without the burden of being the full-time quarterback. Over his last three games, Gunnell has thrown five touchdown passes to just one interception. 
Obviously, it’s not the most conventional offense. But Sumlin seems to be managing the two quarterbacks in a positive manner. Between Tate and the running back tandem of J.J. Taylor and Gary Brightwell, the Wildcats also have a productive rushing attack that is gaining five yards per carry on the season. It’s not the way I would draw it up, but I have a fair amount of confidence in the Arizona offense right now.
Meanwhile, I’m starting to sour on the Oregon defense. The Ducks looked outstanding on that side of the ball over the first half of the season. But Oregon is conceding 30 points per game over their last three games. To be fair, they’ve played some of the more dynamic offenses in the Pac-12 during that span. They’ve also forced plenty of turnovers this season. However, the Oregon defense has also been vulnerable enough to make me think that the Wildcats can move the ball and find the end zone against them.
Again, I won’t put it past Oregon to cover the spread in this game. We know the Ducks can score points, especially against a lackluster Arizona defense. However, covering this many points typically requires a strong defensive effort as well. I think the Arizona offense is good enough to avoid a humiliating four-touchdown loss, so I’ll take the Wildcats to beat the spread.

November 13, 2017 by Brandon Lee in College Football
This Saturday the Oregon Ducks (5-5, 2-5 Pac-12) will host the Arizona Wildcats (7-3, 5-2 Pac-12). Kickoff is set for 7:00 EST under the lights at Autzen Stadium and will be televised on the Pac-12 Network.
Oddsmakers currently have this game listed as a pick’em with the total set at 74 points. Check out our Week 12 college football odds page for a full betting schedule and more links to our game previews.
The Wildcats come into this one off a comfortable 49-28 win at home over Oregon State. While they covered the closing number of 20.5, they were favored by as many as 22 earlier in the week. It was a nice bounce back performance from Arizona, who lost a huge game the week before at USC.
Oregon will be returning from a much-needed bye after playing each of the first 10 weeks of the season. Last time we saw the Ducks they suffered an ugly 3-38 loss at then No. 12 Washington. Oregon’s offense managed just 278 total yards and 16 first downs in the loss, which was their 4th in their last 5 games.
I think we are getting some decent value here with the Ducks at just a pick’em on their home field in a prime time night game on Saturday. I think a lot of people will be inclined to back Arizona here, as they have been the much better team of late. The Wildcats are 5-1 in their last 6 games with the only loss coming at USC. Oregon on the other hand is 1-4 in their last 5 with the only win coming at home against Utah.
Click here for more free NCAA football picks against the betting spread and total.
My biggest concern here with the Wildcats is a lack of motivation, as there’s really not a lot at stake for Arizona. With USC’s win over Colorado last week, Arizona no longer has a shot at the Pac-12 South title. I think they could find it difficult to get up for an Oregon team that hasn’t been playing well, especially given that they got their huge in-state rivalry game against Arizona State on deck next week.
As for Oregon, they still need 1 more win to become bowl eligible, something that’s a bigger deal than normal given they didn’t qualify last year and are in the first season of new head coach Willie Taggart. I also think we get a very motivated Ducks team off of their bye after how poorly they played in their last game against Washington.
However, the biggest reason that I like the Ducks, is I feel there’s an excellent chance we see starting quarterback Justin Herbert return from injury. Some thought he was going to return in their last game against the Huskies, but it didn’t happen. While nothing is official, he was practicing with the first team during the bye week and Taggart mentioned in his press conference on Monday that he’s really close and hopeful that he’s going to be ready to play.
My money is on him playing and with him this is a completely different Oregon offense. Herbert had completed 68.3% of his attempts for 1,264 yards and 9 touchdowns (only 2 picks) before getting hurt. Backup Braxton Burmeister in comparison has thrown for 324 yards in 5 games, 4 starts.
If by chance Herbert doesn’t play, I still like the Ducks here, as they bring a potent rushing attack to the table, which is currently ranked 11th in the country at 255.2 ypg. Arizona just allowed 151 to a horrible Oregon State ground game last week and the week prior gave up 331 rushing yards to USC.
I also think the bye week is going to pay off huge for Oregon’s defense, which will have two weeks to put together a game-plan to slow down the Wildcats Khalil Tate. Note that the Ducks strength defensively has been stopping the run, as they are 30th against the run (130.5 ypg) compared to 98th against the pass (249.2 ypg).
Oregon is also a profitable 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games off a bye, while Arizona is just 3-12 ATS under Rich Rodriguez in road games off a cover and 0-6 ATS under Rodriguez in road games after scoring 31 or more points in 3 straight games. Give me the Ducks.

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