Notre Dame Vs Miami Point Spread

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Feb 6, 2019 at 9:28 am ET 2 min read
Notre Dame and host Miami (Fla.) will try to turn their fortunes around when they meet in an ACC clash at 7 p.m. ET Wednesday. Notre Dame (12-10, 2-7) is coming off a win over Boston College but has lost seven of its past 10 games, while Miami (9-12, 1-8) has lost five in a row and eight of nine. The only win during that span was against 8-13 Wake Forest. The Hurricanes are favored by three in the latest Notre Dame vs. Miami odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 141.5. Before making any Notre Dame vs. Miami picks of your own, you'll want to see what the SportsLine Projection model has to say. 
This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has raked in the winnings for those following its picks. Over the past two years, the SportsLine Projection Model has returned over $5,200 to $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks. It also entered Week 14 of the 2018-19 college basketball season on a blistering 90-58 run on top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 
Now the model has dialed in on Notre Dame vs. Miami. We can tell you it is leaning over, but it also has an against-the-spread pick that cashes in nearly 60 percent of simulations. That selection is only available at SportsLine. 
The model has taken into consideration Miami's recent success over the Fighting Irish. The Hurricanes have won three of the past four meetings, including last season's game at Notre Dame. Miami is led by guard Chris Lykes (16.7 points per game), one of five players averaging in double-figures. Lykes has been sharp of late and has scored above his average in seven of his past 10 outings. Miami is 7-5 on its home court, while the Irish are just 1-4 on the road. 
But just because the Hurricanes have been tough at home doesn't mean they're a lock to cover the Miami vs. Notre Dame spread.
The Fighting Irish have been strong on the boards this season and rank 62nd in the country in rebounding with an average of 38, much better than Miami's 303rd ranking at 33.1 boards. John Mooney leads the way for Notre Dame, grabbing nearly 11 rebounds per game. Mooney also leads the team in scoring with a 14.5 average, one of three Fighting Irish averaging double-figures. He has also scored above his average in six of the past seven games, including 27 in the win over Boston College. While wins haven't come on the road this season, the Irish are 8-3 against the spread in their past 11 road games. 
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Free Picks » College Basketball Picks » Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction, 1/24/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Miami Hurricanes
Location: Watsco Center in Coral Gables, FL
Odds/Point Spread: Notre Dame (+1.5)
The Miami Hurricanes (6-7) host the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-8) at Watsco Center on Sunday. The odds on this game have Miami as 1.5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 142.5.
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Notre Dame comes into this contest with a win-loss mark of 4-8 this year. They have an average of 71.2 pts per game (198th in D-1) while connecting on 44.7% from the floor. The Fighting Irish are shooting 37.4% from downtown (111 of 297) and 79.1% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Notre Dame is grabbing 31.7 rebounds per game and is sitting with 173 assists on the campaign, which is 144th in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. They are giving up possession 10.4 times per game and as a team are committing 12.3 fouls every game. On the defensive end of the court, the Fighting Irish have forced 8.3 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 15.9 personal fouls. They are 243rd in Division 1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 176 relinquished for the season. The Fighting Irish are giving up a shooting percentage of 45.2% (340 of 752) and they concede 35.5 boards per game as a squad. They surrender 38.0% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 275th in college hoops in opponents points per game (74.6).
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish played the Boston College Eagles and earned the victory with a final of 80-70 in their last game. Notre Dame ended the game with a 47.7% FG percentage (31 of 65) and made 14 out of their 31 shots from distance. At the free throw line, the Fighting Irish buried 4 of their 10 attempts for a percentage of 40.0%. Regarding getting rebounds, they earned 36 with 6 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 21 assists for this game in addition to getting 5 steals and 2 blocked shots. In terms of the defense, Notre Dame allowed their opponent to shoot 47.7% from the floor on 31 of 65 shooting. Boston College distributed 12 assists and had 5 steals in this matchup. Furthurmore, the Eagles grabbed 35 rebounds (5 offensive, 30 defensive) and had 2 blocked shots. Boston College finished the game shooting 75.0% when shooting free throws by making 9 of their 12 attempts. They converted 9 of their 29 tries from 3-point range.
Dane Goodwin is one player who was a contributor in this game. He finished with 21 points on 8 of 14 shooting. He played for 31 minutes played and grabbed 3 boards. Goodwin finished the game at 57.1% from the floor and totaled 2 assists. An additional guy that was a factor in this contest for the Fighting Irish was Nate Laszewski. He collected 6 rebounds and also had 2 assists. He ended up shooting 70.0% from the floor for the contest by shooting 7-of-10 (16 points). When the final whistle blew, Laszewski played for 33 minutes.
Miami has a record of 6-7 this year. The Hurricanes commit 14.2 personal fouls every game while shooting 68.6% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 12.0 times per contest (265th in the nation) and they are turning it over 14.3 times per game. Miami has totaled 876 points this year (67.4 per game) and they pull in 37.9 boards per game. As an offense, the Hurricanes are shooting 43.4% from the floor, which has them ranked 225th in the nation. The Hurricanes on defense are ranked 124th in college hoops in PPG surrendered with 68.0. They are able to force 12.9 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 41.6% from the floor (112th in the country). The Miami defense allows 36.3% on 3-pointers (122 of 336) and opponents are connecting on 67.5% of their shots from the charity stripe. They relinquish 14.5 dimes and 33.6 boards per game, which is ranked 274th and 114th in college basketball.
The last time they took the court, the Miami Hurricanes took a loss by a score of 83-57 when they faced the Syracuse Orange. The Hurricanes pulled down 21 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards for a total of 29 in this matchup. They also turned away 5 shots while earning 6 steals for the game. The Orange had 12 personal fouls for this game which took the Hurricanes to the free throw line for 13 attempts. They were able to make 9 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 69.2%. When discussing shooting from downtown, Miami made 4 out of 25 attempts (16.0%). When all was said and done, the Hurricanes ended up shooting 22 for 56 from the field which gave them a rate of 39.3%. The Hurricanes allowed the Orange to convert 32 out of their 61 tries from the field which had them shooting 52.5% for the game. They shot 40.0% from downtown by connecting on 10 out of 25 and finished the game at 9 out of 11 at the free throw line (81.8%). In reference to attacking the glass, Miami allowed Syracuse to snag 28 in total (5 on the offensive glass).
Isaiah Wong ended up having an impact for the Hurricanes for this game. He buried 5 out of 16 for this contest for a field goal rate of 31.3%, which had him sitting at 16 points. Wong snagged 4 rebounds in his 32 mins and tallied 2 assists in this contest. An additional guy that was important for Miami was Anthony Walker. He finished with 13 points in his 22 minutes played by going 5 out of 9 shooting in this game. Walker walked away from this one going 55.6% from the floor while collecting 2 assists and 5 total rebounds.
Who will win tonight's college basketball game against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Notre Dame (+1.5)
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