Nfl Week 7 Best Bets Spread

Nfl Week 7 Best Bets Spread
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Week 6 of the 2021 NFL season was a strange one for bettors. The first two games of the week — a "Thursday Night Football" clash and the Jaguars-Dolphins London game — were both covered by the underdogs. Then came the Sunday main slate, which saw the favorites put up a record of 8-2 against the spread. Finally, the last two stand-alone games of the week on "Sunday Night Football" and "Monday Night Football" saw both the underdogs cover again.
So, the favorites put up a record of 8-6 ATS as a whole, but bettors who were only in action for the Sunday main slate, saw the favorites dominate.
Either way, heading into Week 7, bettors have a lot of data and recent trends to trust. The sample size with each time is now large enough to know roughly what they are (save for the new-look Raiders), so gamblers will be able to identify lopsided spreads of which to take advantage.
This week, there aren't any bombshells impacting the NFL, as was the case last week when Jon Gruden resigned . However, there are six teams on bye this week, so that means there will only be 13 games on the NFL schedule this week. It also means that the league's best team against the spread, the Cowboys (6-0 ATS) will be out of action. The Bills (4-2 ATS) and Chargers (4-2 ATS) will also be unavailable.
That could make this week a bit more a tossup from that perspective; there simply aren't as many teams that have dominated against the spread playing this week.
Additionally, there are at least three spreads that will be double-digit one, and the Cardinals and Rams both seem likely to be favored by two-plus TDs. Betting those massive lines is tricky, as one bad turnover or garbage-time touchdown can result in a failed cover.
Knowing the latest injury news and trends will continue to be critical to bettors. That's especially true during bye week season when some teams will be better rested than others.
For more expert NFL predictions, check out Sporting News' picks straight up and against the spread for Week 7.
Below are the latest Week 7 NFL odds, including point spreads, money lines and over-under totals for every game, according to FanDuel Sportsbook .
Last week, fading the Browns as three-point favorites against the Cardinals worked very well. We'll continue to fade them here in what appears to be an immensely difficult spot.
The Browns are one of the most banged-up teams in football right now. They had 20 players listed on their original injury report Monday. On Tuesday, it was revealed that Kareem Hunt (calf) and Nick Chubb (calf) would both miss the game, knocking the team's top two running backs out of the game. Linebacker Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah was also placed on IR while Baker Mayfield revealed that the injured labrum in his throwing shoulder was "completely torn."
That will make it hard for Mayfield to play on Thursday and if he does, he obviously won't be fully healthy. Making matters worse is that his offensive line is also banged up. Jedrick Wills and Jack Conklin, his starting tackles, both missed last week's game and the team's swing tackle, Chris Hubbard, is on IR.
As such, Mayfield was under a lot of pressure. And when he's under pressure, he tends to struggle. He holds a 3-13 record straight up in games where he has been sacked four or more times during his career. That includes the five-sack game he had last week against the Cardinals.
Denver is averaging 2.3 sacks per game, tied for the 10th-most in the NFL. If they can just get a bit more pressure than they normally do, they should have a good chance to rattle Mayfield or Case Keenum and make it hard for the Browns' offense to move the ball. This is a good spot in which to fade Cleveland. They're simply too beat up to be favored in this one.
UPDATE: Keenum is slated to start for the Browns against the Broncos. His presence shouldn't cause too much of a line change, as he's healthier than Mayfield and a capable backup. The offense will be shorthanded, however, so that could make life difficult for Keenum.
I know, I know. The Ravens just crushed Justin Herbert and the Chargers, posting a 34-6 win on the road. Shouldn't they be able to make life equally as difficult for the Bengals? Not necessarily.
Cincinnati matches up particularly well against Baltimore in one area. The Bengals are excellent against the blitz. Joe Burrow has completed 72.3 percent of his passes for 493 yards, six touchdowns and just one interception when facing pressure this season. His passer rating in those scenarios is 136.8.
The Ravens have been a blitz-heavy team under Don "Wink" Martindale. They have blitzed 32 percent of the time this season, which is good for the fifth-most in the NFL. That has helped them in previous matchups, including their Week 6 win over the Chargers and Justin Herbert, who has a passer rating of 96.1 when facing the blitz. But against Burrow, things might be a bit more difficult for the Ravens.
It's also worth noting that the Bengals have kept almost all of their games close this season. Four of their games have been decided by exactly three points while the other two were wins of 14 over the Steelers and 23 over the Lions. So, they would have covered a six-point spread in all six of their previous games. That doesn't mean that they're guaranteed to in this matchup, but it's a good sign nonetheless.
Also, the Bengals have lost all five games that Lamar Jackson has started against them during his career. That may seem like an advantage to the Ravens, but it also could mean that the Bengals will come into this one motivated to beat Jackson.
We saw that happen with the Ravens earlier in the year when they covered in Week 2 against a Chiefs team that Jackson and John Harbaugh had struggled to beat. They covered a 3.5-point spread and won outright. Perhaps Burrow and Zac Taylor will bring the same kind of energy to this one and spark a win or a cover.
This seems like a terrible spot for the Dolphins. They just lost in heartbreaking fashion in a game against the Jaguars in London. Now, they have to return to Miami to take on the Falcons, a team that hasn't been great this year but is coming off a bye week and will be well-rested for this game.
This is a massive rest advantage for the Falcons, and they've done well with that in the past. They are 4-2 against the spread when coming off a bye since 2016. They are 10-5 ATS when operating with any sort of rest advantage in that same span. That cover percentage of 66.7 percent is the third-best in the NFL since 2016.
Granted, that came under Dan Quinn's leadership. The Falcons are now run by Arthur Smith, so he may run things a bit differently. Still, it seems like the Falcons should have the advantage here, especially with Calvin Ridley (personal) coming back.
That said, it's worth noting that the Dolphins were originally scheduled to be 2.5-point favorites in this one, so the line has moved a whopping five points. It's not always enticing to bet on massive line movements that aren't caused by injuries, but in this case, this appears to be the right move — so long as the Falcons continue to be favored by fewer than three points.
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens
Carolina Panthers at New York Giants
Washington Football Team at Green Bay Packers
Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans
New York Jets at New England Patriots
Philadelphia Eagles at Las Vegas Raiders
Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Houston Texans at Arizona Cardinals
Indianapolis Colts at San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens
Carolina Panthers at New York Giants
Washington Football Team at Green Bay Packers
Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans
New York Jets at New England Patriots
Philadelphia Eagles at Las Vegas Raiders
Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Houston Texans at Arizona Cardinals
Indianapolis Colts at San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens
Carolina Panthers at New York Giants
Washington Football Team at Green Bay Packers
Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans
New York Jets at New England Patriots
Philadelphia Eagles at Las Vegas Raiders
Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Houston Texans at Arizona Cardinals
Indianapolis Colts at San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks

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The contenders have separated themselves, leaving every other NFL team as fair game. These are your Best Picks Against the Spread for NFL Week 7.
Through six weeks, the NFL season remains a cloudy mystery. Teams that started 0-2 have won four-straight games. Super Bowl favorites have just one win. Three teams that lost their starting quarterback prior to the season (though New England has since gotten its QB back) have the three best records in football. Who knows what’s going on? Onto NFL Week 7 .
Taking the home teams didn’t work. Taking a ton of points didn’t work completely. Relying on the stronger team hasn’t worked either. The only way to get over the .500 hump is to combine philosophies. We now know who’s good in NFL Week 7.
Two brothers from New York, Dan Salem and Todd Salem , discuss the best picks against the spread in today’s NFL Sports Debate.
Big lines are hard to pass up this week. Don’t do it.
We have seen this act before from the Atlanta Falcons. Just last season, the team started 5-0 before an epic collapse dropped them to 8-8. However, 2016 seems different because of how Atlanta is winning and who they’re beating. Rather than one-score victories over middling competition, the 2016 Falcons are man-handling some of the best teams in the league. If not for a two-point loss at Seattle in Week 6, Atlanta would have a case as the second-best team in the NFC.
Call me a believer in this offense, in Matt Ryan , in Julio Jones , in the running back rotation. The defense has even looked better these past two weeks. Just a touchdown covers San Diego at home in Week 7. I am on board.
I was going to take the Cleveland Browns getting 10.5 points at Cincinnati as my over-inflated line of the week until I saw that Houston is getting as many as 8.5 points in Denver this week.
The sheen has worn off Trevor Siemian in Denver. He can’t make enough throws to form a competent offense even, though he is throwing an awful lot. Obviously the Broncos won a lot of games last year with the same situation, but they did not cover a lot of 8.5-point spreads. In fact, of their 12 wins, only three came by more than one score.
Houston was fortunate to mount a comeback against Indianapolis last week, or said another way, Houston was fortunate to be playing Indianapolis last week. However, on the year, the Texans could stake their own claim as being the third-best team in football. After all, their only two losses came on the road at Minnesota and New England. The defense is still good enough without J.J. Watt to cover this line.
I’ll bite on this game. The Bengals have not looked very good this season and have only two more victories than Cleveland. One of those wins was a one point victory over the New York Jets. The other was over Miami, who has also struggled. To put it nicely, this is a more even football game than the line would suggest.
The flipside is the Browns, who have lost by fewer than ten points three times. Each of those three games were against weaker competition. I don’t like Cleveland to win outright, but I have enough faith in their offense to exploit a weak Cincinnati defense. 10.5 points is a lot of point and the Bengals don’t deserve that many. This is a seven-point football game and one in which the Browns may even win.
Despite Miami’s fluke victory over Pittsburgh, who has been prone to fluke defeats this season, I do not find them to be a good team. You know who is a good team, Week 2 aside? The Buffalo Bills. Since week 2 Buffalo has not allowed more than 20 points in a game and has scored more than thirty points three times in that span. They’ve won by double digits in all four games. The Bills are on a roll.
Buffalo will be able to shut down the Dolphins’ offense, this is without question. Perhaps Miami keeps things close, but I doubt it. Three points is easy to give up when your team is destroying people. The Bills keep on rolling with another win by way more than three measly points.
This article originally appeared on

NFL picks against the spread, Week 7: Can the Titans cover against the Chiefs?

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We’re on to Week 7 in the NFL, which kicks off Thursday with the Denver Broncos and Cleveland Browns facing off. That means it’s time once again for our weekly look at the point spreads in order to help you win some money.
Last week , Charles Curtis went 6 -8, for a total 41 -53 record overall. This week, we’re bringing in Prince Grimes to make some picks too.
We now go to them for a comment before the Week 7 picks.
Charles: Bleh. It’s bad, everyone. That’s why I brought in Prince, who will show you the way to winning money.
Prince: Thanks for the intro Charles. I don’t feel any added pressure to not go 0-13 at all. Let’s make some money!
(All odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook .)
This line has probably moved, but even with the Browns’ defense playing well, I think Denver pulls it out by a point or two.
No Baker Mayfield, no Nick Chubb or Kareem Hunt, potentially both starting tackles out, and more injuries for Cleveland.
Carolina’s kind of fallen to Earth a bit as of late, so I’m thinking they win but by just a field goal. Yeah, yeah, I know the Giants are bad, but a home game might help a little.
Sam Darnold gets to return to MetLife Stadium without whatever added pressure would’ve come with playing the Jets. I think he has a good game and a banged up Giants offense struggles with turnovers, again.
Cincy has stayed in some close games this year, even against an elite opponent like the Ravens, so I’ll take the points … nervously.
We’ve seen the Ravens play down to competition this year. Joe Burrow keeps the Bengals close in this one.
Normally, with two iffy teams, I take the points, but the Fins are really not good and the Falcons are coming off a bye. I’ll take the Birds.
Atlanta has won two of its last three games and gets another soft matchup with a chance to hit .500.
Even with Tennessee’s defense struggling, I can’t see the Chiefs covering by this much given their own struggles on that side of the ball. Derrick Henry might end up with 300 yards and seven touchdowns (and the Titans STILL might lose!).
Derrick Henry eats up clock and keeps Patrick Mahomes off the field just enough for Tennessee to keep this one close.
Green Bay has come alive, and Washington’s offense is sputtering. At Lambeau, this is a fairly easy choice.
Aaron Rodgers gets to pass against Washington’s secondary?! Say less.
This felt like a a large spread to me for some reason … but then I remembered it’s the Jets and Bill Belichick is giggling at the thought of scheming for a rookie QB.
New England was impressive in a close loss to the Cowboys last week. This time they get a rookie quarterback in Foxboro. Good luck, Zach Wilson.
Backdoor covers are always in play with Detroit but not against a Rams defense that will feast all day, including in the fourth quarter when they’re up 30-10.
See: Week 6, Rams vs. Giants. Jared Goff is in for a long day against his old mates.
Ugh. I HATE this spread. Hate it with all my heart. So I should take the points, right? Nah, I’ll take Vegas and hope Jalen Hurts doesn’t put together some late magic to cover.
The Eagles play just enough defense to give their offense a shot each week. This is a matchup the offense might actually capitalize on.
It could be -20 and I’d still take Zona.
The Texans just cut pass rusher Whitney Mercilus this week, signaling a rebuild just six games into the season…ahead of facing a juggernaut Cardinals offense. This could get ugly.
I know the Bucs’ secondary is bad … but I haven’t seen enough out of Fields to put my money on the points.
I just don’t see how Justin Fields and company will be able to produce enough points to keep up with the Bucs.
The Colts are bad. Not BAD bad. But only-beat-the-Dolphins-and-Texans bad. Even with a juicy spread here, I can’t back them.
Jimmy Garoppolo should be back for the Niners but may need a little time to knock the rust off. The Colts keep this close and cover, even if they lose in the end.
No rest for Russell Wilson pic.twitter.com/M2bsrMiDi0
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) October 18, 2021
Alvin Kamara gives the Seahawks a fit and opens things up for Jameis Winston. Geno Smith’s conservative approach won’t be enough to keep things close this time around.
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