Nfl Week 10 Best Bets Spread

Nfl Week 10 Best Bets Spread
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The San Francisco 49ers are 4-2 (66.7%) vs. the Los Angeles Rams over the last three seasons

The Las Vegas Raiders are 3-3 (50%) against the spread vs. the Kansas City Chiefs over the last three seasons

The Green Bay Packers have won their last 4 games vs. the Seattle Seahawks at home

The over has hit in the Los Angeles Chargers last 3 games vs. the Minnesota Vikings

The over hit in 6 of the Arizona Cardinals last 7 games vs. the Carolina Panthers across the regular season and playoffs since the start of 2011

The Dallas Cowboys are 2-0 (100%) vs. the Atlanta Falcons over the last three seasons

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 1-0 (100%) vs. the Washington Football Team on the road over the last three seasons

The New England Patriots have won their last 3 games vs. the Cleveland Browns

The New Orleans Saints are 1-0 (100%) vs. the Tennessee Titans over the last three seasons

The Jacksonville Jaguars are 10-1-1 (83.3%) against the spread vs. the Indianapolis Colts over their last 12 games

The New York Jets are 5-1 (83.3%) against the spread vs. the Buffalo Bills off a loss over their last 6 games

The Baltimore Ravens are 5-1 (83.3%) vs. the Miami Dolphins over their last 6 games

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How did you do on your wagers for Week 10 of the NFL season?
Here's how the point spreads, moneylines, and total scoring over/unders for every game in Week 10 played out (with all NFL odds via FOX Bet ).
For more, from gambling-friendly schedules featuring live, updating odds to expert analysis and the day's most-bet games, check out the all-new " NFL Odds " section on the FOX Sports App and FOXSports.com!
Point spread: 49ers (+3) cover by winning outright Moneyline: 49ers win as +130 underdog (bet $10 to win $23 total); Rams were -175 favorite (bet $10 to win $15.71 total) Total scoring over/under: UNDER 48.5 points scored by both teams combined (41)
Point spread: Chiefs (-2.5) cover by winning by more than 2.5 points (27) Moneyline: Chiefs win as -150 favorite (bet $10 to win $16.67 total); Raiders were +125 underdog (bet $10 to win $22.50 total) Total scoring over/under: OVER 52.5 points scored by both teams combined (55)
Point spread: Packers (-3) cover by winning by more than 3 points (17) Moneyline: Packers win as -175 favorite (bet $10 to win $15.71 total); Seahawks were +150 underdog (bet $10 to win $25 total) Total scoring over/under: UNDER 48.5 points scored by both teams combined (17)
Point spread: Eagles (+1) cover by winning outright Moneyline: Eagles win as +100 underdog (bet $10 to win $20 total); Broncos were -118 favorite (bet $10 to win $18.50 total) Total scoring over/under: UNDER 44.5 points scored by both teams combined (43)
Point spread: Vikings (+3.5) cover by winning outright Moneyline: Vikings win as +160 underdog (bet $10 to win $26 total); Chargers were -188 favorite (bet $10 to win $15.33 total) Total scoring over/under: UNDER 53 points scored by both teams combined (47)
Point spread: Panthers (+8) cover by winning outright Moneyline: Panthers win as +320 underdog (bet $10 to win $42 total); Cardinals were -400 favorite (bet $10 to win $12.50 total) Total scoring over/under: OVER 41.5 points scored by both teams combined (44)
Point spread: Cowboys (-8) cover by winning by more than 8 points (40) Moneyline: Cowboys win as -350 favorite (bet $10 to win $12.86 total); Falcons were +280 underdog (bet $10 to win $38 total) Total scoring over/under: UNDER 55 points scored by both teams combined (46)
Point spread: Washington Football Team (+9.5) covers by winning outright Moneyline: Washington Football Team wins as +350 underdog (bet $10 to win $45 total); Buccaneers were -450 favorite (bet $10 to win $12.22 total) Total scoring over/under: UNDER 50.5 points scored by both teams combined (48)
Point spread: Patriots (-2.5) cover by winning by more than 2.5 points (38) Moneyline: Patriots win as -133 favorite (bet $10 to win $17.50 total); Browns were +115 underdog (bet $10 to win $21.50 total) Total scoring over/under: OVER 45 points scored by both teams combined (52)
Point spread: Saints (+3) cover by losing by 3 points or fewer (2) Moneyline: Titans win as -150 favorite (bet $10 to win $16.67 total); Saints were +125 underdog (bet $10 to win $22.50 total) Total scoring over/under: OVER 43 points scored by both teams combined (44)
Point spread: Lions (+6) cover by playing to a tie Moneyline: Steelers were -250 favorite (bet $10 to win $14 total); Lions were +210 underdog (bet $10 to win $31 total) Total scoring over/under: UNDER 42.5 points scored by both teams combined (32)
Point spread: Jaguars (+10) cover by losing by fewer than 10 points (6) Moneyline: Colts win as -450 favorite (bet $10 to win $12.22 total); Jaguars were +360 underdog (bet $10 to win $46 total) Total scoring over/under: UNDER 47.5 points scored by both teams combined (40)
Point spread: Bills (-13) cover by winning by more than 13 points (28) Moneyline: Bills win as -800 favorite (bet $10 to win $11.25 total); Jets were +600 underdog (bet $10 to win $60 total) Total scoring over/under: OVER 48.5 points scored by both teams combined (62)
Point spread: Dolphins (+7.5) cover by winning outright Moneyline: Dolphins win as +280 underdogs (bet $10 to win $38 total) Total scoring over/under: UNDER 47 points scored by both teams combined (32)
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Sometimes, bettors just have to largely disregard a week of results because of the parity-driven nature of the NFL. That's exactly what happened in Week 9.
Underdogs absolutely dominated the week, posting a 10-4 record against the spread and seeing the Jaguars, Broncos and Colt McCoy-led Cardinals post outright upset wins, among others.
If you watched these results and wanted to tear your hair out, that's understandable. A good chunk of gamblers were probably in the same boat. Sure, you can say that most weeks with the coin-flip nature of most NFL games and spreads, but last week was just a complete aberration.
So, here's the biggest piece of advice going into Week 10. Don't overreact . Last week's games were odd, to say the least, but any single-game result in the NFL shouldn't have that much of an impact on the next week's odds, spreads and point totals. And Week 9 has caused some serious line movement of which savvy bettors can take advantage in Week 10.
For example, the Cowboys were expected to be double-digit favorites against the Falcons. After their loss to the Broncos, they're now favored by nine. You can feel free to snap that up, as they should bounce back after a bad loss. Simply put, don't be afraid to trust good teams coming off bad games; that said, it is fair to question which teams are actually good and which might be overrated (we're looking at you, Kansas City).
As always, keep an eye on injuries, as they can have an impact on the lines in each game. The Cardinals-Panthers line is one to watch this week, as Arizona's QB situation is unclear. If Kyler Murray plays, they'll be a double-digit favorite over the P.J. Walker-led Panthers. If it's Colt McCoy, that line could drop into the high single-digits.
Here's a look at Sporting News' best bets for Week 10 of the 2021 NFL season, including picks against the spread, moneyline bets, over/under wagers and some player props.
( All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook .)
OK seriously, what is wrong with the Chiefs? They just managed to win for the third time in their last four games, but my goodness did they look bad doing it.
The Chiefs scored just 13 points against the Packers despite the fact Green Bay was without its two best cornerbacks, Jaire Alexander and Eric Stokes. The team racked up 237 yards, averaged 3.8 yards per play and saw Patrick Mahomes average a minuscule 4.5 yards per passing attempt.
Mahomes hasn't looked good for weeks now. He hasn't looked confident throwing the ball and hasn't been able to make the big, splash plays for which the Chiefs have become known under his watch. He should snap out of it eventually, but until he does, he and the Chiefs need to be faded.
You may not believe this, but fading the Chiefs has actually been easy money over the last two seasons. No joke. The Chiefs have the second-worst record against the spread both this season and since the start of the 2020 season. They have a total ATS record of 10-18 (a 35.7 cover percentage) and a 2-7 record (22.2 cover percentage) in 2021. That's just terrible.
It was one thing to trust the Chiefs when their defense was playing poorly and offense was succeeding. Trusting them when each unit has its share of problems? That doesn't sound like something you should do.
And yes, the Chiefs' defense still isn't good. I know you're probably thinking, wait a minute — the Chiefs have actually played good defensively lately, so they've turned the corner, right? And sure, they've allowed an average of 16 points in their last four games (3-1 record).
That said, have you looked at the quarterbacks they've played? That may make you change your mind about the Chiefs' defense.
Derek Carr is better than the three quarterbacks on that list that the Chiefs beat, so he and the Raiders should have a good chance to produce in this game. Getting them as three-point underdogs would be more favorable, but the Raiders match up well with the Chiefs and will have a raucous, home-field advantage in Vegas for a prime-time clash with their long-time rival.
It won't be easy for the Chiefs to play at The Death Star. As such, this could be an upset. Feel free to take the points.
I know that betting against the Titans hasn't been a winning strategy this year. They have a 7-2 record against the spread and have pulled off upset wins over the Bills, Chiefs, Colts and Rams in four consecutive weeks.
Even still, fading them looks like the right move in Week 10. Why?
First of all, this figures to be a tough matchup for the Titans' offense. The Saints have the league's No. 1 run defense and are allowing just 73.8 rushing yards per game. If the Saints can render the Titans largely one-dimensional, that could make Ryan Tannehill have to carry the team to victory, and that's not exactly a recipe for success.
Second — and more importantly — the Titans' big win over the Rams was a bit of a mirage. I can already hear Titans fans getting mad about that statement, so let me clarify.
It wasn't a total fluke; the Titans' defense played extremely well and did a great job of pressuring Matthew Stafford. They sacked him five times after he had been sacked just eight times all season long entering the game. They also forced a couple of key turnovers and made Sean McVay's game plan look foolish.
However, it's worth noting that the Titans' offense didn't do much at all against the Rams. They generated just 194 total yards and 3.5 yards per play. Comparatively, the Rams had 347 yards and averaged 4.7 yards per play.
So, how did the Titans win? They got 14 points off turnovers. Stafford gifted them the ball, via an interception, on the 3-yard line for a one-play scoring drive. Immediately following that, Stafford tossed an interception that was returned for a touchdown.
Without those lucky turnovers, the game is much closer. The Titans still probably win and definitely cover against the Rams, but the point is they may need their defense to generate big plays to prop up their lackluster offense on Sunday. They just lacked a certain punch with Derrick Henry out of commission.
Trevor Siemian and the Saints could turn the ball over, but the Titans may have trouble pressuring them. New Orleans has allowed just 1.6 sacks per game this season, tied for the fifth-fewest in the NFL. So, if Siemian has time in the pocket, he should avoid interceptions as he has during his first game and a half with the Saints.
Don't sleep on the Saints. They might not win this one outright, but they have the personnel needed to give the Titans trouble. They're also coming off a loss to a divisional rival, so they'll be motivated to bounce back and keep this game against the Titans close.
Betting the Steelers as more than a touchdown favorite may seem a bit risky. Their five wins this season have come by eight or fewer points, after all.
That said, the Lions are the weakest competition that the Steelers have faced to date, and Pittsburgh's strengths match up very well with Detroit's weaknesses.
The Lions have one of the worst run defenses in the NFL. They are allowing an average of 134.5 yards per game, which is good for the fourth-most in the NFL. They are also one of two teams that has allowed 16 TDs to RBs this season. The other is the Jets.
The Steelers' offense runs through Najee Harris, and the talented rookie back is averaging 23.8 touches and 103.8 scrimmage yards per game. He should be able to find the end-zone against this defense which should give Pittsburgh good scoring potential. He'll also set up some play action throws, so that's an advantage to the Steelers' offense.
Defensively, the Steelers should have an advantage as well. The Lions have struggled against strong pass rushes and have allowed Jared Goff to be sacked 23 times in eight games. Pittsburgh just managed to rattle the hyper-mobile Justin Fields and sack him three times. Goff may have better protection, but his lacking mobility could lead to a big day for the Steelers.
The Steelers' defense has allowed just 19 points per game during their four-game winning streak, too, while the Lions have averaged just 16.8 points per game this season and 14.4 points per game since Week 2. So, Pittsburgh's offense should only need to rack up about 24 points to cover here — if all goes well on defense.
Maybe the Lions will have a little extra juice coming out of their bye week, but their team is just so light on talent. It's hard to imagine them finding success against a good defense, so rolling with Pittsburgh here is a fine move.
Be honest: did you really think that the Broncos were going to beat the Cowboys last week? I mean, the Cowboys were 10-point favorites in that game and the Broncos had just traded their best defensive player and were dealing with significant injuries at the linebacker position.
But somehow, the Broncos earned a 30-16 victory. They led 30-0 at one point and gave the few that bet the Denver moneyline an easy win.
Remember though, it's important for bettors not to overreact to results in any given week. The NFL is full of parity, and that's why you see wacky results like the Broncos crushing the Cowboys or the Jaguars winning outright as a 15.5-point underdog.
The Broncos are still a middling team — at best. They have a nice-looking 5-4 record, but it's important to look at the teams they've beaten. Aside from the Cowboys, they have wins over the Giants, Jaguars, Jets and Washington. Those four teams have a combined record of 9-24, so it's not like the Broncos have any impressive wins save for that Dallas game.
I know the Eagles don't look great on paper. They have a 3-6 record, after all. That said, they've played just three teams with losing records, and they have won two of those games. Their schedule has proven tough but in an easier matchup against a Broncos team that they are pretty even with, they should have a good chance to win.
The Eagles have started to find their identity as a run-oriented offense. The Broncos have struggled against run-heavy teams and have a 1-4 record this season when they allow more than 86 rushing yards. Philadelphia has racked up at least 100 yards in all but two of its games this season, so the team should be able to run well in this one.
Many gamblers are going to be on the Broncos in this one after their big win over the Cowboys. Take the road less traveled and roll with the Eagles. They match up well with Denver and should have a chance to win.
I know what you're thinking. Yes, we just witnessed the Colt McCoy-led Cardinals put a beatdown on San Francisco's defense. Yes, Matthew Stafford has had a great season so far save for last week's game against the Titans. Yes, he will bounce back eventually.
But is this the spot in which he'll do it? That's a tough ask considering that he's nursing a couple of injuries.
Stafford entered last week's game against the Titans with a back injury and didn't quite look himself in that contest. Then, he suffered an ankle injury late in the game, as he twisted it fading back to pass and avoid a sack.
These injuries aren't serious enough to keep Stafford out of action. But are they serious enough to affect his performance? They did against the Titans. He wasn't as comfortable in the pocket and took five sacks after taking eight all season before that game. Some of that was on the Tennessee defense, but Stafford definitely played a role in it. He might again if he is limited in practice throughout the week.
Also, before we completely bury Kyle Shanahan and his 32-40 record, it's worth noting that the 49ers have won four straight games against the Rams. In those four games, the teams are averaging a combined 43.8 points per game and the under would hit at a 3-1 rate.
Granted, Robert Saleh is gone for the 49ers. And Stafford is a big upgrade over Jared Goff. So, that trend may not mean much. But hey, this figures to be a close, hard-fought divisional game and the 49ers have the pass rushers needed to pressure Stafford. As long as he's banged-up, going with the under here seems like the right move.
Hera me out on this one. The idea of betting on an offense missing Tua Tagovailoa, Will Fuller and DeVante Parker might be enough to make you hurl, but believe it or not, they're a viable option this week.
The Ravens and Dolphins are playing on "Thursday Night Football" in Week 10, and while the Ravens are, rightfully, heavily favored, there's a chance they could fade as the game goes along.
Baltimore just played an overtime game against the Vikings. They ran a whopping 89 offensive plays in that contest on offense and 52 on defense. They played nearly a full 10 extra minutes of game time in their win. That is going to tire them out, especially since they have less time to rest and recover.
We saw this happen last week with the Colts against the Jets. The Colts came into Week 9's "TNF" game after an overtime loss against the Titans. They came out strong in the early stages of the gam
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