Nfl Betting Spreads Week 1

Nfl Betting Spreads Week 1
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NFL Week 1: Odds, lines, spreads and best bets

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Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) warms up against the Kansas City Chiefs before an AFC Divisional playoff football game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
The 2022 NFL season kicks off Thursday, Sept. 8 with a blockbuster between the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams .
Take a look at the odds for every Week 1 game, courtesy of Bet MGM .
Bet Cooper Kupp to go over 7.5 receptions (-125 on BetMGM): PFF's simulation has Kupp hitting this total and gives this bet a 12.4% edge.
Bet Devin Singletary to go under 2.5 receptions (-130 on DraftKings): PFF's fantasy football projections have Singletary catching one pass for 6.8 yards, making his 2.5-catch reception prop a good bet Thursday night.
PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.
PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.
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September 7, 2022, 5:05 PM · 4 min read
Josh Allen and the Bills are favorites against the host Rams in Week 1. (Photo by John Byrum/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
Tip: Try a team, player, or league name for relevant results
Andy Behrens, Dalton Del Don, Matt Harmon, Liz Loza, Scott Pianowski
Andy Behrens, Dalton Del Don, Matt Harmon, Liz Loza, Scott Pianowski
Wednesday night is the final night we have to endure before the NFL season is officially underway. The Los Angeles Rams host the Buffalo Bills on Thursday night. It might seem disrespectful for the Rams to open the season as underdogs on the same field they hoisted the Lombardi Trophy, but Josh Allen 's Bills have been backed hard by the betting market all summer. As a result, Buffalo remains BetMGM's largest liability to win the Super Bowl, with the Bills getting the highest ticket count (11.9%) and highest handle (17.5%).
Catching points at home is unfamiliar territory for the Rams, but it's a common theme for Week 1. Only six of 16 home teams are betting favorites, as the books dare the public to lay the chalk on the road. I am sure bettors will get creative by cooking up teasers and moneyline parlays, but my best bet of the week is simply backing a road dog. I will also break down which side I am betting on Thursday night, along with a long-shot prop to see if we can start the season with a big hit.
Maybe the sting of my Bills futures ticket going up in flames over the flip of a coin hasn't completely healed yet, but I again have Buffalo as my highest-rated team. Getting the Bills under a field goal is an opportunity we may not see too often. Last year's epic playoff duel with Patrick Mahomes only proved Josh Allen could go score for score with any quarterback in the NFL. There is a solid argument the Bills had the strongest overall roster on both sides of the ball. The Bills ranked No.1 in net yards per play (+1.1) and net success rate, and spent the offseason making strong improvements to key position groups.
While the Rams lost Austin Corbett and Andrew Whitworth from their offensive line, the Bills focused on the trenches. Buffalo's front office learned the valuable lesson that you couldn't rely solely on coverage against dynamic offenses. You beat elite quarterbacks with pressure, and the Bills adding Von Miller to a formidable pass rush will be the difference Thursday night. Both offenses will put on a show, but this one will be won by the Bills generating pressure without having to blitz Matthew Stafford. Take the Bills below the key number of 3.
After losing Levi Wallace to free agency, the injury to Tre'Davious White creates some vulnerability in the Bills' secondary. Rookie CB Kaiir Elam and third-year player Dane Jackson are expected to start on the outside. Jackson was PFF's 82nd-ranked cornerback with a coverage grade of 53.7. Last season, Stafford threw at least three touchdowns in eight of 10 games that finished with a combined score of at least 48 points. With a projected total in the 50s, I will take a shot his new toy gets some big opportunities against a leaky secondary.
If you have been following me during the offseason, you already know I think Trevor Lawrence makes a big jump under coach Doug Pederson . Part of the reasoning is the soft schedule of pass defenses he faces this year. Washington presents the perfect matchup for Jacksonville's offense. Last season, Jacksonville thrived running the football on early downs. The Jaguars' 42.5% success rate ranked eighth best in the NFL. They're adding a more experienced play-caller in Pederson and a prototypical weapon on third downs in Travis Etienne.
In this game, the Jags' offense is set up to succeed against their opponents' biggest defensive weakness. The Commanders' secondary finished 32nd in EPA allowed per dropback on third downs. Without Chase Young to anchor the pass rush, there will be even more stress on the secondary. The early-down success will make life easy on Lawrence, but will open up the playbook for Pederson. I see Jacksonville constantly moving the chains, taking Washington out of its desired game script, and forcing Commanders quarterback Carson Wentz into mistakes. If anyone knows how to make Wentz uncomfortable, it's Pederson.
I think Jacksonville is live to win outright against a very fragile favorite in Washington. I bet the Jaguars moneyline, and I would recommend doing the same unless it gets back to +3. In games last season where the underdog covered, the money line also hit at over a 70% clip. So it makes sense with the low point spread to take the extra value at +115.
Here are picks and analysis for every Week 1 NFL game as the regular season kicks off.
Here's how to watch the matchups on NFL+, the league's new streaming service.
You’ll Never Believe What It Grew Into...
It may not look pretty, but there's value to be had in backing these two underdog teams for a six-point teaser.
How to watch the Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Week 1 game on Monday with time, channel, announcers and broadcast information.
After winning the Super Bowl last season, the Los Angeles Rams are amongst the favorites to win it this year.
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Widely predicted to win the AFC South, the Colts face a lot of expectations for a team that finished 9-8 and out of the playoff picture in 2021.
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With a new head coach and offensive coordinator, the Vikings make for good home underdogs.
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Lauren Carpenter looks at five players facing touch matchups on crowded offenses who you should avoid plugging into your starting lineups for Week 1. (Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports)
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Which teams and players are the most popular bets?
The Chargers open up as favorites over the Raiders in Week 1.
The Bills travel to Los Angeles to take on the Rams Thursday night and Sal Maiorana has the in-depth preview of the game.
For nearly seven months, Sean McVay has told the Los Angeles Rams their Super Bowl championship guarantees them nothing in this new season except a banner. “It feels like it was a long time ago,” said McVay, the youngest coach in NFL history to win it all. The Rams will unveil that banner Thursday night at SoFi Stadium before they get another reminder of just how little their championship victory on that same field last winter will mean this fall.
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It is always hard to predict, but the Bills are equipped to finally end their Super Bowl drought. Now they just have to do it.

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Last Updated:
Sep 4, 2022 4:11 PM ET

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The Buffalo Bills are gaining steam on betting markets and, as a result, are favored on the road against the defending Super Bowl champs, the L.A. Rams. Los Angeles headlines Jason Logan's first edition of his weekly Underdogs column as a result.
Every September, Week 1 of the NFL season offers every team another go-around at making a first impression and an opportunity to alter how they’re viewed.
That perception can already be in place when you start throwing point spreads into the mix, and those clubs tagged as NFL underdogs in their opener have a steeper grade to climb against the sentiments of the betting public.
And speaking of NFL underdogs, this is far from my first installment of Covers’ weekly column of the same name. Yet, with the growing popularity of NFL betting (and the SEO team doing a bang-up job), this is likely the first time many of you are reading it.
“OK, JLo. First impression time. The pressure’s on. Don’t screw up.”
I’m Jason Logan. I’ve been with Covers.com since 2005 and at the wheel of this NFL picks piece for the past four years, boasting a 126-104-1 ATS mark all-time in the regular season and playoffs (55%). That includes a 31-28 ATS record last year.
That’s not bad considering the name of the game is “underdogs” and I can only select from those football teams catching the points — teams that often lurk near the bottom of the NFL betting power ratings.
Handicapping underdogs is actually the anti-first impression: a delicate dance that requires seeing the “good” in bad teams and the “bad” in good teams, all while monitoring the market perception, injuries, and any other underlying edge that could give that pup a little extra pop.
All that said, if you really want to win someone over with a first impression: pick some winners.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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The 2022 Buffalo Bills are making one hell of a first impression on bettors ahead of their Week 1 opener in Los Angeles.
That positive perception has moved the defending Super Bowl champion L.A. Rams from 1-point favorites to +2.5 home underdogs versus Buffalo, with a one-sided ticket count and handle on the Bills trying to powerbomb bookies through a tailgate table Thursday night.
While expectations (and Super Bowl odds ) soar for Buffalo, this team is not without its blemishes and the Rams are just the crew to exploit them. Two of the Bills’ biggest strengths from 2021 are suddenly soft spots entering 2022.
The offensive line ranked among the best in the NFL last season, but preseason rankings are downgrading this group due to new (yet older) faces and unproven protectors stepping into starting roles. The Bills’ O-line isn’t going to be bad by any means, it's just not going to be as great as it was last season. And last season is very muc
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Nfl Betting Spreads Week 1

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