Nfl Betting Spreads This Week
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Nfl Betting Spreads This Week
By
Anthony Riccobono
@tony_riccobono
09/06/22 AT 10:27 AM
© Copyright 2022 IBTimes LLC. All Rights Reserved.
There are 10 home underdogs on the schedule for Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season. No team is favored by more than a touchdown, and four games feature a point spread of less than a field goal.
Here are picks against the spread for every game in Week 1, as well as updated betting odds. These are the latest betting lines from FanDuel and DraftKings Sportsbook .
Buffalo Bills (-2.5) at Los Angeles Rams
The Super Bowl champs shouldn't be underdogs at home, even if the Bills are among the top AFC contenders. Buffalo gave up 42 points in its last game and will miss injured cornerback Tre'Davious White against Cooper Kupp. Since 2014, the defending champs are 6-1 in the NFL's annual Kickoff Game.
Baltimore Ravens (-7) at New York Jets
Prior to losing last season's opener in Las Vegas, Baltimore had won four straight Week 1 matchups by an average margin of 36.3 points per game. With Joe Flacco likely under center for the Jets, the Ravens might be headed for another blowout victory. In three career Week 1 games, Lamar Jackson has nine touchdown passes and no interceptions.
Indianapolis Colts (-8) at Houston Texans
Houston might catch Indianapolis off guard and make this game surprisingly close. The Colts are 0-4 in Week 1 games under head coach Frank Reich. Davis Mills didn't start when the Colts blew out the Texans in Houston late last season.
New Orleans Saints (-5.5) at Atlanta Falcons
There are too many questions about the Saints to bet them as 5.5-point road favorites. How effective will Michael Thomas be after two years off the field? How good is the offensive line? Jameis Winston is coming off a torn ACL and didn't even throw for 170 yards per game last season.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+6.5) at Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals won't have an easy time against their AFC North rivals. Cincinnati has a target on its back, following a trip to the Super Bowl. Pittsburgh found a way to upset Buffalo in last year's opener.
New England Patriots (+3) at Miami Dolphins
Everything is pointing toward Miami being better than New England in 2022. The Dolphins have surrounded Tua Tagovailoa with elite weapons and a much improved offensive line. Mac Jones is without a true No. 1 receiver, and he could take a step back in his sophomore season now that Matt Patricia is the Patriots' de facto offensive coordinator.
Cleveland Browns (+2.5) at Carolina Panthers
Jacoby Brissett can be a fine game manager in Cleveland. Baker Mayfield might eventually find his footing in Carolina, but he's in a tough situation Sunday, making his debut against a good defense that knows him well. The Panthers don't have many quality wins under Matt Rhule.
San Francisco 49ers (-7) at Chicago Bears
San Francisco should beat Chicago by at least one touchdown. The 49ers are among the top NFC playoff contenders. The Bears might be headed for the NFL's worst record. Nick Bosa could have his way with maybe the worst offensive line in football.
Philadelphia Eagles (-4) at Detroit Lions
The Eagles embarrassed the Lions 44-6 in Detroit last season. Philadelphia is one of the league's most improved teams from last year. Most of the Lions' success should come in the second half of the season when their schedule gets much easier.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) at Washington Commanders
Now that Jacksonville has gone from Urban Meyer to a Super Bowl winning head coach, the Jaguars might be as good as the Commanders. Because Washington has arguably the NFL's worst home-field advantage, the line should be closer to one point than a field goal. Trevor Lawrence will be the best quarterback on the field.
New York Giants (+5.5) at Tennessee Titans
The Titans should be favored by a touchdown at home against the Giants. Tennessee isn't getting enough respect after earning the AFC's No.1 seed last season and losing a nail-biter in the playoffs. New York had the NFC's worst offense in 2021 and exhibited few encouraging signs in training camp and the preseason
Las Vegas Raiders (+3.5) at Los Angeles Chargers
While the Chargers are getting all of the preseason hype, it was the Raiders that won the season finale between the AFC West rivals and earned a playoff berth. Davante Adams could have a big debut for Las Vegas with Chargers cornerback J.C. Jackson out with an ankle injury.
Green Bay Packers (-1.5) at Minnesota Vikings
The gap between the Packers and Vikings might've closed with Adams' departure and Minnesota's coaching change. Allen Lazard is uncertain because of an injury, potentially severely limiting Aaron Rodgers' options. Few teams can slow down the Vikings when Kirk Cousins, Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielen and Dalvin Cook are all healthy.
Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) at Arizona Cardinals
Good luck stopping Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City's offense when Andy Reid has months to prepare for an opponent. The Chiefs are 4-0 in Mahomes' Week 1 starts, scoring at least 33 points in each game. Mahomes has 13 touchdown passes, no interceptions and an average 131.4 passer rating in season openers.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2) at Dallas Cowboys
Dallas might be able to steal a win Sunday night. Tom Brady could be a little rusty after his preseason hiatus. The Bucs are dealing with offensive line and wide receiver injuries. Dak Prescott threw for 403 yards in Tampa Bay during last year's opener.
Denver Broncos (-6.5) at Seattle Seahawks
It's a stretch to say that the Broncos are close to 10 points better than the Seahawks on a neutral field in Week 1, which this point spread suggests. Don't just assume that Russell Wilson will be terrific in his return to Seattle. The quarterback could get off to a slow start as he adjusts to a new offense.
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NFL Odds: National Football League Betting Lines and Spreads
OddsShark NFL NFL Odds: National Football League Betting Lines and Spreads
NFL odds do not stop at the point spread and OVER/UNDER. There are numerous ways to bet on NFL football these days, including the NFL moneyline, futures (NFL postseason), first-half and second-half betting lines, and football spreads.
Throw in fun fantasy-style prop bets (will Tom Brady throw for 300-plus yards this week) and live NFL bets (where you can wager on the next play and on NFL football odds that change all game long) and the importance of understanding how NFL odds work at Super Bowl betting sites has never been greater. Check out the the best NFL betting lines and bookmark our NFL odds page for more updates and NFL lines enhancements in the coming weeks and months.
Who doesn’t love a good old-fashioned NFL spread when betting on football? Not only do NFL spreads remain king when it comes to wagering on pro football, it is a favorite in online sports betting among pro bettors and beginners alike.
Also known as NFL football lines and as betting “sides,” a common misconception is that sportsbooks set the pro football spread as a predicted margin of victory. It’s actually the number oddsmakers predict would be a good balance between people who want to bet the underdog and those who want to bet the favorite.
For example, a negative value (-11.5) next to a football team means that they are favored by that many points. So you must deduct 11.5 points from their score to determine if they won the game or not.
On the other hand, a positive value on the same game (+11.5) means the underdog starts with an 11.5-point lead before the game even begins. In NFL online betting, the favorite must win by 12 points or more to cover the NFL spread. The dog is able to lose by 11 points and still cover the spread.
When you see a moneyline value associated with the spread, it is the percentage amount you must pay in order to book the bet. Also known as the juice or vig, if you see NFL Vegas odds of -11.5 (-115), it means you have to bet $115 to win $100 — a 15 percent commission for the sportsbook. The underdog may see a value such as +11.5 (+105), which means you’ll have to bet $100 to win $105 if your team successfully covers.
If you see the line move, let’s say from -9 on Tuesday to -10.5 on Friday, this is known as a line move. It occurs when there is a surplus of bettors wagering on the same side of the game, so NFL betting sites move the line and spread to balance the action.
That means encouraging more people to bet the other way by making the line more appealing for the upcoming Sunday night football game. This reduces risk for the sportsbook, who wants to have an equal handle on each team.
NFL moneyline betting continues to gain popularity as many begin to understand the value of moneyline bets, especially in betting the long shots. In this type of bet, your team needs only to win the game “straight up” (SU), and there is no requirement for how many points they need to win by. The juice is the only number you really have to pay attention to with moneyline, where the negative value indicates the favorite (-140) and a positive one means underdog (+120).
For example, if you want to pick that -140 favorite, you’ll need to risk $140 in order to win $100. To bet on the +120 underdog we mentioned above, you’ll need to bet $100 to win $120 if the dog wins outright.
In many cases, betting moneylines offers better value. They can provide a bigger profit for less risk. Check out our NFL gambling guide to learn more about when you should bet a moneyline.
Also known as NFL OVER/UNDER betting, the total is the number set by sportsbooks that estimates the total amount of points scored by both teams combined. Bettors then must predict whether there will be more or fewer points than the NFL “total.” If you bet the 37.5 UNDER, you are hoping for a defensive battle and predicting the offenses to struggle. If you bet the 37.5 OVER, you are hoping this will be a high-scoring NFL game.
NFL totals betting has become fairly popular in many football games, especially where the spread is very tight. It also becomes more popular if the matchup points to a certain style of game. The weather can play a huge factor, and rain, wind and cold temperatures can sway the total, and make betting the spread a little less reliable.
NFL prop bets focus on a specific event within an NFL game, but don’t necessarily relate to the result. With thousands of prop markets, you can find NFL betting odds on things like how many yards a quarterback will pass for, if you think there will be a safety, or which player will score the first touchdown.
NFL futures are for the football betting fanatics who wish to wager long in advance on noteworthy NFL events throughout the NFL schedule. NFL future odds focus on the major individual and team achievements every NFL season.
From the offseason, and through the preseason, NFL bettors can bet on NFL divisions, the AFC or NFC Champion, wager on certain teams to make the playoffs ( NFL playoff odds ), or place bets on the winner of the Super Bowl . Player futures center more on predicting beneficiaries of prominent NFL awards like Most Valuable Player , Offensive Rookie of the Year , or Defensive Rookie of the Year .
Like the old cliché goes, timing is everything, and that applies to successful futures bets as well. The sooner you tackle the action, the greater the payout will be if you win the bet. Having said that, you will have more data to assess the longer you wait to wager on a futures bet.
Stay up-to-date on the NFL’s latest lines, NFL playoff games, Super Bowl odds , and learn how to bet on NFL games with our National Football League betting guide and NFL betting trends .
The betting favorite is displayed with a minus sign (-) followed by a number. That number represents the amount of money that has to be bet in order to win $100. The underdog, however, is listed with a plus sign (+) in front of a number. That number indicates how much you would win when you bet $100.
An NFL money line of +200 means that you would win $200 on a successful $100 wager. That's also equivalent to fractional odds of 2/1, decimal odds of 3.00, and implied odds of 33.33 percent. A negative money line of -200 means that you would have to wager $200 in order to win $100.
If the NFL odd is negative (-), it means that outcome is more likely to occur and making a bet on that outcome would payout less than the amount you wagered. If the NFL odd is positive (+), it means that outcome is less likely to occur and it would pay out more than the amount you wagered.
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