Nba Spread Betting System
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Nba Spread Betting System
WHAT ARE THE BEST NBA BETTING SYSTEMS?
In order for long-term success in your NBA betting pursuits, it's best to have a proven NBA betting...
A Spread Bet is basically an assumption of how an NBA match-up will pan out, with points handicaps given to each team.
NBA Point spread betting is recognizable by the use of the + or – symbols.
Spread betting is a type of betting in which a bookmaker will handicaps a match-up by setting a margin for each team, which essentially makes the game equal. This estimated margin outcome is referred to as the ‘spread ‘, which is where the term spread betting comes from. A spread bet is only available for events where there are two possible outcomes, such as a game of NBA basketball, where there are no draws.
A typical spread will look something like this: Chicago -8.0 @ Philadelphia +8.0
For example; if the bookmaker believes Chicago is an 8-point better team than Philadelphia, the bookmaker can handicap Chicago 8 points. The spread bet becomes Chicago to win by more than 8 pts or Philadelphia to be within 8 points at the end of the game.
Both outcomes should be of equal odds roughly -105 to -110 or $1.91 .
The above example would be listed by the bookmaker as: Chicago -8.0 @-110 | Philadelphia +8.0 @-110
When you play the point spread, you are not betting whether an NBA team is going to win or lose a game, you are betting how many points they will win or lose by.
If you think Philadelphia are a decent chance to beat Chicago in the above example, taking a spread of +8.0 would be a great bet. Alternatively if you think Chicago will dominate the game, a -8.0 spread is a good bet to take.
With a spread of +8.0, Philadelphia must win the game outright or lose by 8 points or less to cover the spread and be graded as a win. Alternatively, Chicago must win by at least 8 points to cover and be graded as a win.
For picking the Spread in NBA basketball, the main aspects to focus on are –
I guess the best advice here is to WATCH THE NBA NEWS! Get ahead of the bookies and find where the traps are st, and set your own traps.
The bookmaker will list the spread as either a solid number, or to a decimal point.
For example; the bookie may list the spread as -8.0 or -8.5.
The odds for the solid number will usually be less, as there are now 2 outcomes that can favour the bettor, not 1.
If the spread is set as -8.0 and the winning margin is 8, the bettor has “Pushed” the bet, and (depending on bookie) will get their outlay refunded.
If the spread is set as -8.5, the only outcome for the bettor is a Win or Loss.
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NBA picks and NBA predictions for every game of the 2020/21 season. We crunch the numbers, analyze the data, and provide free NBA expert picks each and every day. Check out our NBA best bets for our top plays on today’s games.
On the heels of a dominant win over the Memphis Grizzlies last night, the Indiana Pacers will travel to play the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday night in a matchup between two of the better teams in the Eastern Conference. Despite trading Victor Oladipo and losing T.J. Warren to injury, the Pacers own a 12-9 record and have shown themselves capable of competing with the best teams in the NBA. Indiana has defeated the Boston Celtics and has gone down to the wire against the Phoenix Suns and Philadelphia 76ers. Playing on zero days of rest this year the Pacers are 2-0.
Since Jan. 8 Milwaukee is just 7-5, with only three of their wins coming by a margin greater than 10 points. Milwaukee is only 3-4 this year against teams with a record above .500. However, over the last two years the Bucks have defended home court as well as anyone in the NBA. Since the beginning of last season the Bucks are 38-7 in the Cream City. Their only two losses at home this year have come against the Los Angeles Lakers and Utah Jazz–the teams with the two best records currently in the Western Conference. Indiana is not quite as formidable as the Lakers or the Jazz, but they are 5-4 against teams with a winning record and rank in the top half of the league in both offensive and defensive efficiency. The Pacers might not have enough weapons to pull an outright upset in this one, but they certainly are capable of keeping this game close.
In Milwaukee’s last seven games, the total has hit 240 or higher five times. The Bucks have the third-best offensive efficiency in the NBA and play at the seventh-fastest pace in the league. Indiana has a top-15 offense and plays faster than the league average, as well. In the Pacers last nine games the total has hit 225 or higher six times. Neither of these teams is overly serious on the defensive end of the floor, which likely only furthers the likelihood that this will be a high-scoring affair. Bet the over.
Last time out the Philadelphia 76ers pulled off a surprise win over the Indiana Pacers without Joel Embiid in the lineup. The Sixers were down 16 points with 8:16 to play at Indiana, but then went on a 31-6 run to secure the victory. Tobias Harris led them with 27 points and eight rebounds in the win. Embiid missed Sunday’s game with a back injury and is questionable for this one, Philadelphia has won only once in five attempts without the big man. He is once again listed as questionable with a back injury. Just recently without him in the lineup, Philadelphia got blown out by the not-so-good Detroit Pistons.
Charlotte is on a mini win streak of their own as they beat Indiana, Milwaukee, and Miami in their last three games. Malik Monk had an impressive 36 points off the bench leading the way against Miami. With the win, they improved to 10-11 on the season and hold the final playoff spot in the East with a game ahead of Chicago. Gordon Hayward looks like an All-Star again, averaging 23 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 3.6 assists per game on 50 percent shooting from the field. Against Philly, defense will be the key and Charlotte is one of the better teams in the league, ranking 10 th and giving up just 109.7 points per game.
Playing without Embiid, the 76ers are a completely different team. Sure, they made a comeback against Indiana last time out, but that isn’t sustainable in the long run without their MVP candidate. Charlotte is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games. The 76ers are only winning on the road by an average of 0.9 points this season and they are 5-5 through 10 games. Charlotte has the momentum after three straight wins and they have what it takes to make it four in a row. Back the home team to get the dub.
Both teams are scoring over their average for the season in their last three games. If we take a deeper look, the over is 10-4 in Philadelphia’s last 14 games and 4-1 in Charlotte’s last five games. Both teams went over the 100-point mark in head-to-head meetings dating back to the 2017-18 season. Speaking of prior meetings between the two teams, they produced 219 and 239 points about a month ago. Charlotte seems to be back on track, averaging 41.4 percent from the three-point line in their last five games. They have also scored at least 126 points in back-to-back games. I think the trend continues tonight. Take the over.
Imagine almost averaging a triple-double and your team having the third-worst record in the Conference. That’s been Luka Doncic’s life with the Dallas Mavericks this season. They’ve dropped their last six and the frustration is piling up. It turns out you don’t become a contender automatically when you pair Doncic with Kristaps Porzingis. The Latvian has been healthy for only 10 games this season and the team has struggled with scoring, averaging only 104.7 points per game in their last three outings. Now they face a team they’ve beaten only twice in their last 10 head-to-head meetings.
Atlanta has split the last six games, losing a close one to the Lakers at home on Monday. They’ve been in solid form when it comes to covering with a 5-1 ATS record in their last six home games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. A big reason for that has been the play of Trae Young, who is averaging 35.5 points per game in his last six — he had 25 points and 16 assists in the loss to the Lakers. Cleaning up their turnover numbers will be the key for Atlanta in this one, as they committed 19 of them against L.A. which ultimately cost them the game.
There’s no question about it, Dallas will be the more desperate team here. Moral wise, Atlanta looks a lot healthier at the moment plus they have an edge in almost every important statistical category over the Mavericks. They’ve covered in eight of the last 10 against them and in four of the last five games at State Farm Arena. The Mavericks are in all kinds of trouble and I don’t see that changing tonight. Go with Atlanta to win.
The Mavericks have struggled with their scoring lately, managing only 108, 105, 101, and 104 points in their last four outings against Phoenix and Utah. The under is 5-2 in their last seven games on the road and 7-2 in Atlanta’s last nine games at home. In the previous meeting between the two teams we saw 218 points scored at State Farm Arena. Dallas is ranked 23 rd on offense, averaging 108.7 points per game on the season, and that number has dipped a full point in their last 10 outings. Atlanta is a slightly better than average offense this season, scoring 112.5 points per game, however they have been held to less than that on average in their last 10 games. In 20 games this season the under has been the bet in 15 of them and I think that will be the case tonight as well. Take the under here.
These two teams just played on Monday. While the game was close, watching it you were able to see how dominant the Chicago Bulls were throughout the game. The Bulls are now 12-5 against the spread in their last 17 games. Lauri Markkanen is playing awesome and has been a great scorer alongside Zach Lavine recently. He has scored at least 30 points in their last two games, including 31 against the New York Knicks on Monday. The Knicks were forcing up guarded three pointers and it resulted in lost possessions. I expect them to do this again in this game. RJ Barrett, Reggie Bullock, and Julius Randle shot a combined 38 percent from the field and nine percent from behind the three point line. This will not cut it against an offense like the Bulls. I expect these three to struggle again and it should be a big factor in the game. Expect the ball movement and three pointers of the Bulls to lead them to a win and cover in this rematch. The spread should be a little higher given they beat the Knicks by eight two days ago. Expect the Bulls to control the pace and three point line, and for their high powered offense to be too much for the Knicks to handle. Lay the points with the Bulls at the United Center.
Two nights ago these teams combined for 212 points but there were a lot of points left on the table by both teams. The number of shots by each team was right around where we thought but the makes were not there. The total is the same and I expect the teams to take advantage of their opportunities better this game. The Bulls have one of the best offenses in the league and the increased production by Markkanen and Thaddeus Young have propelled the Bulls to an even higher level than they started the season at. Even though the Knicks have one of the best defenses in the NBA, I am expecting the Bulls to push the tempo and for both teams to score over 110. Take the over in this matchup of borderline playoff teams in the Eastern Conference.
Last night, the Los Angeles Clippers suffered a hard-fought loss in primetime to the Brooklyn Nets. The loss was only the second for the Clippers in their last 12 games. On the season, Los Angeles is 3-0 playing on zero days of rest, but it is worth noting that in their previous back-to-back sets, they have had the benefit of playing their starters limited minutes in the first game, leaving the team fresh for the following night. Yesterday, Kawhi Leonard, Paul George, Nicolas Batum, and Reggie Jackson all played 35 or more minutes. Leonard and Batum both played a season-high in minutes and are candidates for a reduced workload against the Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday evening.
The Cavaliers are playing their third game in four nights but had the benefit of an off-day yesterday. Cleveland could present an interesting challenge to Los Angeles, as the Cavs play harder than almost anyone in basketball. Cleveland ranks sixth in the league in deflections and first in loose balls recovered — two of the most important hustle categories in the NBA. Other than allowing an absurd 141 points to the Boston Celtics on January 24, the Cavs have played exceptional defense as of late. They held the seemingly unguardable Brooklyn Nets to 113 points in regulation on two consecutive nights. In their last four games, they haven’t allowed more than 109 points. Cleveland might not win this game, but they play with enough passion that they should be able to keep it close.
Playing on no rest this season, the Clippers have allowed 105 points to the Portland Trail Blazers and 101 points to the Golden State Warriors. Both the Trail Blazers and Warriors are far more talented on the offensive end of the floor than Cleveland. The Cavaliers are the worst offensive team in the league and could be hindered even further if Andre Drummond and Larry Nance remain out for this game. Be sure to monitor the injury report ahead of this matchup but barring Los Angeles choosing to rest any of their stars, this game seems probable to hit the under.
In what has become a common theme in the NBA, these two teams face off for the second straight time, with the Rockets coming off a massive 136-106 road win against the Thunder on Monday. The Rockets could simply not miss from deep as they broke the franchise record for 3-pointers in a game and were just one shy of tying the all-time NBA record. Whilst is it very unlikely that they will be capable of replicating that shooting performance, the Rockets will fancy their chances of earning another big win. The Rockets now on a six-game win streak and have been looking dominant lately, securing four of those wins by double digits. What really does not help the Thunders chances is that they have been in shocking home form, winning just one of their eight games, with a point differential -16.8. In fact, this shows just how volatile the Thunder can be as they are able to win by an average of 5.9 points but lose by average of -18.5. It just goes to show that if the Rockets are to win again today, they are likely to cover the spread.
The main advantages the Rockets have is their outside shooting and their play on the inside. The Rockets have five players shooting 39 percent or better from deep compared to just one on the Thunder. The Thunder will also be without their two most experienced guards in George Hill and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for this one tonight so shot creating could be a struggle for them. They will also be really outmatched on the interior as Al Horford should struggle to contain the in form pair of DeMarcus Cousins and Christian Wood. The Rockets are too experienced for this Thunder team and should be able to cover the spread with another dominant display here tonight.
The first game between the two comfortably surpassed this total and tonight should be no exemption. The Thunder are shambolic when it comes to defending at home, allowing teams to score over 123 points per game. They have also failed to hold any team below 110 at home all season and it is hard to see that changing tonight against a Rockets team that has scored over 125 in three straight road games. The Thunder have also not been held to below 100 in any of their last eight games so if things hold to form here, this bet should come in comfortably. Both teams are in the top 10 in the NBA in terms of pace so even with two key players missing for the Thunder, the speed of the game should present them with enough scoring opportunities. Back the over here.
The Miami Heat are now almost back to full strength but if the last few games are anything to go by, they still have a lot of work left to do. In the two games since Jimmy Butler has returned, the heat scrapped by the Kings in a one-point home win and then lost to the Hornets in overtime. In those two games the Heat got absolutely burned by guards, with Devonte’ Graham scoring 24 and De’Aaron Fox and Malik Monk scoring 30 and 36, respectively. That is encouraging for the Wizards, who rely on their two star guards to carry the team. If both can get it going, the Wizards will be very competitive. They should also be helped by the fact that Goran Dragic and Tyler Herro are both dealing with injuries, so even if they do play their effectiveness might be limited.
The Heat will likely struggle to pull away from the Wizards here as their offense is not that high powered. The Heat are only 26th in the league in points per game this year and are just 19th in points allowed per game, so it is not like their defense will be able to completely shut down the Wizards either. This will be the fifth game of the season that the Wizards have played with no day’s rest, having played the Portland Trail Blazers last night. In those games however, the Wizards have been able to maintain their offensive production and have a respectable points differential of just -2. Look for them to keep it tight here today again, as this Heat team is back but not yet clicking.
Whilst the Wizards are clearly a free scoring team, and definitely not a great defensive one, the tempo of this game will dictate the scoring, and the Heat should be the ones setting it tonight. They are in the bottom third in the league in terms of pace, they should be able to get their opponents to play to their speed here. Of the Heats last 10 games, just one surpassed this total in regulation, their first meeting against the Brooklyn Nets. Even then, the two faced off the next night and were involved in a very low scoring match, combining for just 183 points. The Wizards themselves have failed to surpass 230 points in any of their last four road games and may struggle to do so here tonight too. Back the under here, but caution is advised. With the Wizards being one of the worst defensive teams in the league, there is always a chance that a high scoring game may break out.
Entering play on Wednesday, the Minnesota Timberwolves own the third-worst record in the NBA. However, they do not deserve to be an eight-point underdog against the San Antonio Spurs, who also find themselves currently sitting outside of the Western Conference playoff picture. This is already the third meeting of the season between these two teams. The Spurs won the first matchup 125-122 in overtime on January 9 but the Timberwolves defeated them less than 24 hours later by a final score of 96-88 — a game in which Karl-Anthony Towns did not play.
LaMarcus Aldridge is listed as out for this game on the official injury report due to a right hip flexor issue. This will only further hinder the Spurs’ hopes of getting back on track after suffering consecutive blowout losses to the Memphis Grizzlies. San Antonio ranks in the bottom half of the NBA in both offensive and defensive efficiency. They have the worst three-point defense in the league, allowing their opponents to shoot just under 40 percent from beyond the arc. Minnesota is not a good basketball team but they rarely get blown out. Thirteen of their 20 games this season have been decided by 10 points or less. Even without Towns, expect the Timberwolves to keep this game close.
This is a matchup between two of the most inept defenses in the NBA. As mentioned above, the Spurs are hopelessly incapable of slowing down their opponents from long-range. The Timberwolves rank in the bottom third of the league in defensive efficiency. They will once again be without Towns, leaving them with nobody on the active roster taller than 6’9″. They will continue to struggle defending the paint, which likely means a lot of easy buckets for a San Antonio team that attempts the third-most two-point field goals in the NBA. Take the over.
The Suns are off to the next town after beating Dallas twice. They are now on a 3-0 SU/ATS run. They are evolving, too, moving shooter Cam Johnson into the starting lineup and bringing in Jae Crowder off the bench. I think it is a smart move, as the veteran Crowder can give you a lot of different things in that role. Chris Paul has been very good and now he is looking for his offense more. He had a season-high 34 points against Dallas and his three-highest point totals have come in the last four games.
New Orleans has lost their last two. In the last one, Steven Adams was out so they played small a lot of the game. Jaxson Hayes was not playing much before and he saw limited action in the loss to Sacramento. This is a game they need him to step up with DeAndre Ayton coming to town. I don’t like that matchup for the Pelicans. New Orleans also just got torched by speedy De’Aaron Fox. Paul might not be as quick as Fox, but he is way craftier at the point. The Suns have continued the success they had in the bubble over the summer. What has stood out is that they have been good on the road, 7-4 SU/ATS away from home this season. Phoenix is in rhythm, while New Orleans is struggling. The Suns only have to win by a bucket, too. Take Phoenix.
The Suns have sometimes struggled as road favorites, which they have done by simply letting the game get away from them. They wind up scoring less and giving up more points than they normally do. For the season, Phoenix has played more unders than overs while the Pelicans have been the exact opposite. The Pels are all about getting their points, win or lose. At the Smoothie King Center they are 7-2 O/U, and I think they will be able to get the pace of this game where they want it. The problem is that Phoenix can play that game, too. That is the big advantage of Paul being able to win playing many styles. Take the over.
The NBA and the NBAPA announced they’ve agreed upon the rules for the upcoming 2020/21 NBA season, following the Covid-19 stricken 2019-20 season that saw the Los Angeles Lakers crowned champions back in October. The 2020/21 NBA season is scheduled to start on December 22nd, meaning a quick turn around, and one that has been met with some criticism by many players across the league. The NBA has released the first half of the 2020/21 schedule, with the second half of the schedule due to being released in the latter half of the first half of the NBA schedule.
Each team will play a 72-game season, which is 10 fewer than a regular year, another fall out from the landscape we currently find ourselves in. Players and staff will be tested daily, starting from the first day of individual workouts on December 1st, and will continue throughout the season.
• Dec. 1-5: Individual player workouts and Media Week
• Dec. 6-10: Team player workouts start
• Dec. 11-19: Preseason games
• Dec. 22 – March 4: First Half of the NBA regular season
• March 5-10: 2021 All-Star break
• March 11-May 16: Second Half of the NBA regular season
• May 18-21: Playoffs Play-In Tournament
• May 22-July 22: 2021 NBA Playoffs
In addition to free daily NBA predictions, we also provide insight into NBA postseason, with our NBA playoff predictions betting. From best of seven quarterfinals matchups to the NBA Championship Finals, there’s nothing quite like the excitement of game seven in the series.
The NBA went on a hiatus on March 11 due to the coronavirus. The NBA restart plan, including the date for the NBA playoffs 2020 were announced on June 4th, with 22-teams returning to play in a bubble, hosted at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex at the Disney World Resort. Play resumed on July 30th with each team playing 8 seeding games and potential play-in games thereafter, to determine the 8th seed from each conference. The NBA Playoffs are scheduled to begin on August 17th.
Our expert NBA handicappers will be on hand throughout the NBA playoffs, analyzing each matchup, crunching the data, looking at team form, injuries, and much more to bring you the best free NBA playoff predictions throughout the entire postseason.
Despite an unorthodox route to the pinnacle of the NBA season, the NBA playoffs will take shape in typical fashion, with games coming thick and fast, even with the one court set up at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex at the Disney World Resort.
The NBA has made it clear that they want to finish the season as quickly as possible, so as not to disrupt next season any more than they have to. With that, we’ll see multiple NBA playoff games a day, and we’ll be on hand to cover each one of the games in the NBA playoffs tonight.
Our experts will look at the entire slate, each day of the NBA playoffs to bring you a full game preview and free NBA predictions for each of the NBA playoff games today.
The NBA is one of the few major North American sports to acknowledge that their games are wagered on – even partnering with MGM to be the official gaming partner of the league. This can only be considered as a good thing for NBA betting and professional basketball bettors. Much like hockey, there is no shortage of NBA predictions every single night from October to April and into the postseason.
There are 2,460 games to bet on during the season and our expert NBA predictions provide betting angles into every game. If you’re looking for the best NBA bets today we have you covered. Our NBA experts share their best free NBA predictions for every game.
We offer free expert NBA picks on every single day of the NBA season, even Christmas Day. The NBA season is an 82-game grind but our experts analyze every game to help you make the best NBA bets daily. Player matchups, rotations, injuries, travel schedules and referees, and many other factors are considered when finding the best daily NBA betting tips.
The Moneyline simply means you pick a winner of the game. NBA Moneyline bets are most valuable when wagering on two evenly matched teams. If you’ve got a team like Golden State who wins 70+ of their 82 games in a season, it’s not far-fetched for the Lakers’ Moneyline betting odds to be listed at -650 or more. On the flip side, bets against these upper-echelon teams is a great way to maximize profits when they lose.
When you want to bet on an elite team but don’t want to risk $600 or more to win $100, our expert NBA picks against the spread are the way to go. NBA betting against the spread means you’re wagering not only on a team to win, but also to win by a certain amount of points. If we take our earlier example of Golden State being -650 on the Moneyline they will be around -10.5 against the spread. This means they have to win the game by 11 points or more for you to cash your ticket.
NBA picks against the spread are a great way to bet on underdogs too. Let’s say we go against the Golden State Warriors in the above example and we take the points. Our team can lose by 10 points or fewer points and we still win. This is where those ‘meaningless’ half-court shots at the buzzer turn from anguish into elation. They can also cause an upset and win the game outright.
NBA over/under betting is arguably the most exhilarating of all the North American sports. On any given night in the NBA, you might see an 85-81 contest in one game compared to a 218-205 score in another. NBA totals picks can be legitimately won or lost with one bad – or great – quarter. A lot of bettors enjoy NBA over/under free picks because every single offensive possession counts and it makes the games that much more thrilling to watch.
We also specialize in every major North American sport at Pickwise, our expert picks include:
Check out our site every single day for some of the best bets in every major athletic contest and make sure to follow us on social media as well.
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