Nasty Prospects 9

Nasty Prospects 9

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News and Notes on the Nationals Minors since 2009
St. Paul 5 Rochester 1
• Adon (L, 0-1) 2IP, 4H, 3R, 3ER, 3BB, 5K, HR
• Je. Rodriguez 2IP, 0H, 0R, 1BB, 2K
• Fox 2-4
• Gushue 1-3, BB
The Saints completed their six-game sweep of the Red Wings with a 5-1 win in the finale. Rochester starter Joan Adon lost as he coughed up three runs on four hits (one HR) and three walks while fanning five. It was his second career start at AAA. Lucius Fox and Taylor Gushue were the only two Red Wings to reach base twice with the lone run coming on a groundout following a Matt Lipka triple.
Harrisburg 2 Bowie 1 (11 inn.)
• Fuentes 5IP, 3H, 0R, 3BB, 1K,
• B. González (W, 1IP, 0H, 0R, 1BB, 1K
• Dunn 2-4, RBI
• W. Garcia 1-1, 2B, RBI
For the second straight game, Harrisburg got the best of Bowie in extras, taking the finale, 2-1 in 11 innings, and the series, 6-1. Senators starter Steven Fuentes spun five scoreless innings, giving up three hits and three walks and striking out one. Brian Gonzalez picked up the win as he worked around both a walk and the free runner for his first win of ’22. Wilson Garcia’s pinch-hit double tied it in the 10th while Jack Dunn’s second single walked off the BaySox. Harrisburg was held to just five hits and four walks and was 1-for-6 with RISP.
Wilmington 7 Rome 1
• Parker 2⅓ IP, 3H, 1R, 1ER, 5BB, 1K, BK
• M. Peña (W, 2-2) 2IP, 0H, 0R, 0BB, 3K
• Pineda 2-5, 2B, RBI
• Barley 2-4, R, BB, SB(HP)
• Banks 1-3, R, 3B, RBI
The Blue Rocks earned a series split with a 7-1 win over the R-Braves. Mitchell Parker reclaimed the Sally Lg. lead for walks issued with five, which sent him packing after two and a 1/3rds innings. Parker finished with one run allowed on three hits. Malvin Peña picked up the win with two scoreless innings of relief. Wilmington broke out for four runs with two out in the 7th, beginning with a double steal by Jordy Barley (home) and Darren Baker (second). A Drew Mendoza single, steal of second, and back-to-back doubles by Yasel Antuna and Omar Meregildo capped off the rally. Wilmington finished with 12 hits but no beer man as every starter had at least one.
Lynchburg 6 Fredericksburg 4
• Caceres 5IP, 5H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 3K, HR
• Ribalta (L, 0-2) 2IP, 5H, 2R, 2ER, 1BB, 2K
• Young 2-5, 2RBI, OF assist at 3B
• Infante 1-3, 2B, BB, RBI
Fredericksburg made the most of its limited chances, scoring four times on six hits and two walks. But the pitching just wasn’t there as the Hillcats got to all three FredNats pitchers for two runs each to take the series finale, 6-4. Bryan Caceres went the first five frames, allowing two runs on five hits and two walks while striking out three. Todd Peterson and Orlando Ribalta each let in two runs on five hits over two innings, with Ribalta taking his second loss. Jacob Young singled twice and drove in two while Sammy Infante doubled and T.J. White tripled to lead the Fredericksburg offense.
Roster moves: IF J.T. Arruda MiLB rehab at FCL ended, activated from the 7-Day I.L., and reassigned from Wilmington .
FCL Nationals (2-2, T3rd, 1½ GB, FCL East)
The F-Nats split their first four games Four of the five games this week will be in West Palm Beach as they play both Astros teams (Orange and Blue) and host the F-Cards before visiting the F-Cards on Saturday.
DSL Nationals (5-1, 1st, 1½ GA, DSL South)
The D-Nats started 2022 strong with five wins in six games. This week, it’s home games against the D-Cubs Blue on Monday, D-Colorado on Saturday, and road games against D-Colorado (Tuesday) and the D-Mariners (Friday).
This week we’ll spotlight Rodney Theophile and Jake Irvin, one and two in the ERA race while adjusting to their new levels.
Also the four FredNats players who are running OPS’s over 800.
Maybe Tyler Clippard gets another shot in MLB.
OPS (90+ AB)
1. Meneses ROC 919
2. Barrera ROC 896
3. VPena FRE 890
4. Gushue HBG/ROC 879
5. Emiliani FRE 875
6. DeLaRosa FRE 871
7. Meregildo WIL 825
8. Infante FRE 816
9. Palacios ROC 805
10. Stevenson ROC 804
W. Garcia HBG 804
Special Mention: Banks ROC + WIL rehab 952 (81 AB), GDiaz FRE 813 (80 AB). Hubbard HBG 902 (69 AB) last appeared 6/7.
ERA (34+ IP)
1. Theophile FRE/WIL 1.51
2. Irvin WIL/HBG 2.06
3. Parker WIL 2.31
4. Shuman WIL 2.79
5. Troop HBG 3.03
6. Alvarez FRE 3.79
7. Fuentes HBG 3.91
8. Tetreault ROC 4.19
9. Herrera HBG 4.31
10. Cacares FRE 4.65
Special Mention: Saenz FRE 3.45 (IL) (31.1 IP) Cate WIL 3.26 (30.1 IP)
ERA (17-34 IP)
1. Schlabach WIL/HBG 1.02 IL
2. Sinclair FRE 1.40
3. Brzykcy WIL/HBG 1.42
4. Henry HBG/ROC 1.71 (31.2 IP)
5. Yankosky WIL 1.93 (28 IP 0 BB !)
6. Brill HBG/ROC 2.01
7. Cronin HBG/ROC 2.08
8. Knowles WIL 2.45
9. Ferrer FRE/WIL 2.52
10. Clippard ROC 2.88
And another group, our first rounders:
2017 Seth Romero 60-day IL (calf strain)
2018 Mason Denaburg FRE 7.2 IP 8.22 ERA
2019 Jackson Rutledge FRE 19 IP 9.00 ERA
2020 Cade Cavalli ROC 52.1 IP 5.16 ERA
2021 Brady House FRE 176 AB 731 OPS
Hard to believe that St. Paul had a losing record before cleaning Rochester’s clock.
Does adding an infielder to the FredNats mean the f.o. has woken up long enough to move some players up to Wilmington?
Quite weird to add Arruda to Fredericksburg. There’s more IFs there than in Wilmington (6), and quite a few of them in Wilmington are deserving of a stint on the Development Roster…
Jordy Barley (age 22) is hitting .190/.253/.268 at SS
Cole Daily (age 25) is hitting .242/.375/.273 at mostly 2B
Drew Mendoza (age 24) is hitting .240/.311/.354 at 1B/DH
Meanwhile, Arruda (age 24), who can play anywhere at 3B, SS and 2B, is going to take playing time away from:
Brady House (19) hitting .278/.356/.375 at SS
Sammy Infante (20) hitting .237/.307/.509 at 3B
Viandel Pena (21) hitting .296/.410/.480 at 2B
I really hope this move presages Pena’s promotion and Barley or Daily’s timeout.
Agreed Will on the time outs
Barley was the toss in toss away deal
Armando Cruz SAC bunt drives in winning run for the complex .
Cool to see small ball
Barley does have 16 steals, and he is hitting .308 with a .385 OBP in June. Don’t think the Nats are close to giving up on him yet.
His April and May numbers were so bad that his season numbers will likely look awful for the rest of the season.
I’ve said all along that Adon needed to be at AA this year. When you have a 4.97 ERA at A+, there is NOTHING that indicates such a rapid advance. The kid definitely has talent, but I hope they’re not ruining him by the ridiculous advancement.
Did any of you Harrisburg folks see Fuentes yesterday? Just curious if folks who are actually seeing him think he looks like a real prospect, or just a minor-league innings eater.
nothing that I saw with Fuentes looks like prospect material. everything 82-90 with movement in/out/down. plenty of balls with no chance at the plate. maybe some other days he has better command. I’d guess he’s hit his ceiling
That’s too bad, before his injury he was a young and exciting prospect. This is his 10th year with the organization.
The whole Adon misadventure is really puzzling. I really struggle to see 1) what they saw in Adon that convinced them that he could essentially go straight from A+ to the majors, and 2) what they saw that gave him such a long leash in the majors.
He was a legitimate (albeit underwhelming) prospect last season, but he’d never, ever before dominated at any level. He clearly needed another season or two. Why the Nats didn’t just hand over his rotation spot to someone like Ben Braymer, Jefry Rodriguez or Sterling Sharp, I’ll never understand. All three of them could have easily matched Adon’s 6.95 ERA and wouldn’t have potentially irreparably damaged an actual prospect in the process.
hopefully they saw something in makeup that permits him to bounce back. to me he achieved enough periodic success to make him work even harder to get back.
in fairness, the other three pitchers were not going to be better and most likely worse. you have to try to win at the major league level, even when rebuilding.
Mitchell Parker’s control continues to plague him. He’s now walked (33) 50% more batters than he’s given up hits (22)! He’s still managing to keep runs off the board, but it won’t last long. His walk rate keeps increasing, 14 in 17.1 IP in April, 9 in 10.1 IP in May and now 10 in 11.1 IP so far in June.
He’s definitely got some electric stuff, as he’s striking out 11.31 per 9, but without control, it looks like his future lies in the bullpen as yet another tantalizing but flawed arm.
without control his future lies in selling Lady Kenmores. nasty business!
I couldn’t believe his pitching line. He got seven outs, gave up eight baserunners (and a balk!), and only gave up one run. That had to drive the Richmond batters nuts.

His name sounds nasty. His pitches ARE nasty

Highest release point: 6.26 feet
Lowest release point: 4.57 feet
Most over-the-top release point: 0.51 feet from the center of the rubber
Most sidearm release point: 3.20 feet from the center of the rubber

He punched out Nicky Lopez on a sidearm sinker with a horizontal release point 3.16 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
He rang up Adolís García on a true four-seamer with a horizontal release point of 0.65 feet, basically straight above the rubber.
He fanned Corey Seager on a drop-down slider that came from a vertical release point just 4.65 feet off the ground.
He whiffed Robinson Chirinos on an over-the-top cutter with a vertical release point that was 6.02 feet high.

When you picture a prototypical Major League pitcher, someone like Nestor Cortes is the last person you'd think of. But he's become baseball's most unlikely ace.
The Yankees' 5-foot-11 left-hander has gone from a journeyman who the Yankees let go to another team twice to the American League ERA leader. He has a 1.41 ERA and 42 strikeouts in 32 innings entering his start in Sunday's series finale against the White Sox. He almost threw a no-hitter this week. He threw an immaculate inning. And he's earned the nickname Nasty Nestor.
How did he do it? Here are four reasons why Nasty Nestor got so nasty.
Nestor Cortes. Immaculate Inning. 😇 pic.twitter.com/WTJLVwOXv5
Normal pitchers throw the ball from the same arm slot over and over again. Not Nasty Nestor. He throws pitches from every arm angle you can think of.
Here are Cortes' release points for 2022.
Look at how much area that covers. Here's the full range of his release point, both vertical and horizontal.
The difference between Cortes' highest and lowest vertical release points of the season is 1.69 feet. The difference between his most over-the-top and most sidearm horizontal release points is 2.69 feet.
He varies his release points with all of his pitch types, too. His fastball release points have a range of over two feet horizontally, and over a foot vertically. His cutter release points have a range of about a foot both horizontally and vertically. His slider release points have a range of about a foot and a half horizontally and vertically. Nothing comes from the same place every time.
Nestor Cortes release points by pitch type pic.twitter.com/bqZppCHz64
Check out some of the strikeouts Cortes has collected with his different arm angles:
One of the keys to the Yankees' pitching staff this season has been their widespread adoption of the cutter. Gerrit Cole has added a cutter. Luis Severino has added a cutter. And Cortes has added a cutter.
Cortes never threw a cutter before 2021 -- not in his debut season with the Orioles, or his first stint with the Yankees, or his brief time with the Mariners. But when the Yankees got him back, he added a cutter to his repertoire. And now it's his most-used pitch.
Cortes' cutter usage by season 2018-20: 0% 2021: 23.6% 2022: 40.7%
Cortes' cutter comes in at an average velocity of 85.6 mph and gets above-average vertical and horizontal movement, dropping 0.8 inches more than an average cutter and breaking 2.3 inches more than an average cutter.
The results have been great so far. Opponents are batting just .137 (7-for-51) and slugging .294 against Cortes' cutter, and he's gotten more swings-and-misses (34) and strikeouts (20) with it than he has with any other pitch type.
That's already more cutter K's than Cortes had all of last season (16), when the majority of his strikeouts came on his fastball. Hitters also batted .271 and slugged .447 against the cutter last season, and didn't swing and miss as much (22.6% whiff rate last season, 28.6% this season). Cortes' cutter is just a better pitch in 2022.
Nestor Cortes, K'ing the Side with Cutters. ✂️ pic.twitter.com/u5Fbig7bFl
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The "sweeper" style of slider is the trend in baseball in 2022 -- sliders with a more horizontal movement direction -- and the Yankees are using it, too. They call it the "whirly."
New York pitchers like Lucas Luetge -- and Cortes -- have added tons of sweep to their slider.
Look at how the average horizontal break on Cortes' slider has changed over his time in the big leagues.
2019 (first Yankees stint): 5.4 inches 2020 (Mariners): 6.1 inches 2021 (back to Yankees): 14.5 inches 2022: 16.2 inches
Cortes' slider is breaking over 10 inches more than it was the first time he was on the Yankees, and he's even added close to two inches of break from last year to this year.
He's taken some velocity off the pitch (his slider velo has gone from 81.5 mph to 80.9 mph to 77.4 mph to 76.2 mph from 2019-22) and emphasized the movement instead.
Cortes' slider is more of a complementary pitch to his fastball and cutter (he throws it 13.7% of the time), but a pitch with 16-plus inches of movement is a good extra piece to have.
Nestor Cortes, 77mph Slider and 91mph dropdown Fastball, Individual Pitches + Overlay. pic.twitter.com/9It1ezry7I
Cortes makes his living on deception -- the array of arm angles, the altered timing of the delivery and so on. And his fastball fits right in with that theme.
Nestor, Messing with Timing. pic.twitter.com/rKvN6Ol8yH
Cortes doesn't throw hard -- his four-seamer only averages 90.4 mph -- but the way he throws it actually gives it the "rising fastball" effect that makes it sneak up on a hitter.
Hitters are batting .206 (7-for-34) and slugging .239 against Cortes' four-seamer this season, with 13 strikeouts. They're not squaring it up well at all -- based on the quality of contact against Cortes' fastball, those hitters have an expected batting average of just .163 and an expected slugging percentage of just .235.
How? Despite its low velocity, Cortes' fastball gets +2.9 inches of "rise" above average. It's not an explosive rising fastball like his teammate Cole has, but it's a deceptive rising fastball that can carry past a hitter.
Cortes' fastball has dropped less and less season by season. He gets that "rising" effect because he throws a true four-seamer. The spin axis on the pitch is almost straight backspin: 11:30 on a clock face, where 12:00 would be the truest four-seamer. Cortes gets 94% active spin on his four-seamer, which means almost all of its 2,299 rpm spin rate contributes to the movement on the pitch.
That's how a fastball that barely breaks 90 mph can be such an effective pitch. Add that to the cutter, slider and deception, and you get Nasty Nestor.

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Nasty Prospects 9

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