🤝 Movement Patterns are one of the cornerstones of modern digital intelligence. It's not just about "where a person was," but about identifying consistent, predictable models in their movements and behavior.
Step 1: Raw Data Collection
First,a data array is created from multiple sources:
· Cellular Operators: Data about connection to cell towers (LAC/Cell ID) with timestamps.
· Surveillance Cameras with face/license plate recognition.
· Transport Cards (metro, buses).
· Data from Navigation Apps (Yandex.Navigator, Google Maps).
· Recording of Device MAC addresses in different parts of the city.
Step 2: Building a "Digital Footprint"
Based on this data,a timeline of movements in time and space is built for each object (person, vehicle, device).
Example of Raw Data:
Object"X": 08:00 - Cell Tower â„–215 (residential district), 09:15 - Cell Tower â„–118 (city center), 18:30 - Cell Tower â„–215, 20:00 - MAC address detected in "Mega" Shopping Mall.
Step 3: Analysis and Pattern Identification (The Most Important Part)
Here,raw data is transformed into valuable intelligence information.
The following are analyzed:
1. Regularity and Routine ("Daily Schedule")
· Identification of "Anchor Points": Home, work, mistress's apartment, gym, child's school.
· How? If the object is within a 100-meter radius of the "Alpha" office from 9:00 to 18:00, 5 days a week — that's their work. If they spend nights in a specific location — that's home.
· Goal: Understanding the schedule. Knowing when the person is not at home, when they are most vulnerable to recruitment, or conversely, when it's easier to detain them.
2. Deviations from the Norm (Anomalies)
· This is a trigger for increased attention. Any break in routine is a signal!
· Examples:
· The object went to a deserted industrial area in the middle of the workday where they had never been before.
· After work, they didn't go home but drove a "loop" around the city, stopping in a remote alley for 5 minutes (a sign of counter-surveillance or a secret meeting).
· They visited the embassy of a rival country.
· Goal: Identifying suspicious activity, secret meetings, recruitment, preparation for an operation.
3. Analysis of Social Connections
· How? If two devices (phones) are constantly in the same location (work, cafe, private house) at the same time, a connection is established between them. The more frequent and longer these "joint sessions," the stronger the connection.
· Goal: Building the target's social graph. Identifying all group members, accomplices, couriers. It's possible to identify the most important group member (the center of connections) or, conversely, a "peripheral" executor.
4. Predicting Future Behavior
· Based on months of observation, a probabilistic model is built.
· How? On Saturday morning, the object has an 85% probability of going to the dacha. On Tuesday evenings, they have a 90% probability of visiting a specific bar.
· Goal: Operational planning. Knowing where a person will go tomorrow allows for preparing an ambush, installing listening devices, or introducing an agent for a "chance" encounter.
Real Hypothetical Usage Scenario
· Task: Identify all members of a clandestine cell.
· 1. Start: There is one known member of the cell (Object "A").
· 2. Surveillance: Passive monitoring of "A" is conducted for a month. Their movement pattern is built (home, work, several cafes).
· 3. Identifying Connections: The algorithm automatically finds devices (Objects "B", "C", "D") that repeatedly and briefly intersect with "A" in locations atypical for them (parks, different cafes each time).
· 4. Cell Analysis: Now "B", "C", "D" are also placed under surveillance. Their patterns are built, revealing their connections with each other and with new objects ("E", "F").
· 5. Result: A complete map of the network is built, the leader is identified (the one with the most intensive and centralized connections), along with warehouses, meeting places, and the daily schedule of each member.
At the moment, preparations for selecting volunteers to participate in the project are being discussed.
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