Lsu Alabama Spread Betting

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Lsu Alabama Spread Betting
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James Gilbert/Getty Images. Pictured: Trey Sanders.
The announcement that LSU head coach Ed Orgeron would be relieved of his duties after this season came at a point in the season when the Tigers were at a crossroads.
A few more victories, and the Tigers would be bowling. A few more losses, and they’d be at the bottom of the SEC.
Athletic director Scott Woodward might have made up his mind long before the Ole Miss game after a number of events from sexual assault charges against players to a crack with the team over racial justice issues and a few coordinator hires that didn’t pan out.
This didn’t stop LSU players from showing up against Ole Miss in Week 9, though. The Tigers were above the national average in every Success Rate split, along with posting more explosive drives against one of the most high-powered offenses in the Rebels.
Turnovers and vanilla play in scoring opportunities led to the loss, as Max Johnson continued insufficient play at quarterback.
A bye week has left plenty of questions on the table heading into the rivalry game with Alabama. Will LSU be focused, or have the players already started to think about personal plans in the offseason ?
#LSU quarterback Myles Brennan is planning to enter the transfer portal, a source confirms to @TheAthletic .
Brennan waited three years at LSU, got injured three games into his first year starting in 2020, then broke his arm before 2021 camp. @samspiegs had it first.
— Brody Miller (@BrodyAMiller) November 1, 2021
On the other side, Nick Saban might have a few axes of his own to grind when Saturday rolls around. The College Football Playoff ranking didn’t have the Crimson Tide at the top, leaving room for the coach to insist his players have plenty of unfinished business for the committee to grade.
Also, the 2019 loss to an LSU team that featured Joe Burrow is still fresh on the mind of the winningest coach in history. Saban and Orgeron have a professional relationship, but this isn’t one where the respect level equals sitting on the ball in the second half.
Alabama will be going for the jugular early and often against its rival.
Monday press conferences are a chance for the head coach and coordinators to review events of the prior week and provide updates. LSU is coming off a bye week, allowing Orgeron to free flow about what is wrong with the current state of LSU football.
His critical description included everything from predictability on first down to formations and defense.
That leads to one of two conclusions against the Crimson Tide. Either LSU is running plays never executed on first down and running a new defensive scheme, or Alabama will predict the play pre-snap. Neither option is a good outlook for the Tigers.
The numbers speak for themselves as far as disguising plays, as a quarterback has been under center on 88% of plays. A shotgun look or no motion has indicated a pass on at least 65% of snaps. More importantly, LSU ran just four different third-down formations in recent games against Ole Miss and Florida.
The defense has been just as predictable, running a 4-2-5 scheme calling blitz at one of the lowest rates in FBS .
The best part of the defense has been the pass rush, with BJ Ojulari leading in pressures since the season-ending injury to defensive end Ali Gaye.
What a play by BJ Ojulari pic.twitter.com/M3JpqghA6v
— Matthew Brune (@MatthewBrune_) October 16, 2021
While the defense struggles to stop opponents’ rushing attempts, the offense might give a look to a freshman quarterback. Garrett Nussmeier took praise in training camp for having a cannon of an arm, but a tendency to do too much and generate turnovers kept him on the sidelines.
Nussmeier received a chance against Ole Miss and produced three big-time throws and no turnover-worthy plays .
If LSU wants to keep Nussmeier from hitting the transfer portal, the freshman might see even more snaps against the Crimson Tide.
Gary Barta, the chairman of the selection committee, indicated that after Alabama and Georgia, there was heavy debate among the remaining teams. Alabama has no room to leave any doubt in the eyes of the committee after already suffering a loss to Texas A&M.
Will the Crimson Tide be the first-ever two-loss team to make the playoff? Saban would prefer to win the SEC and avoid the question.
The biggest notes from the weekly presser came in comments about quarterback Bryce Young’s lack of deep passing. Saban expressed that deep balls from his freshman quarterback are improving, as drops and overthrows have been mixed in past results.
The head coach is spot-on when citing drops as an issue. On 34 attempts over 20 yards, Young has an on-target pass drop percentage of 28%.
When Young does complete a pass downfield, targets like Jameson Williams have the ability to take it to the house.
Jameson Williams…the speed, & versatile playmaking is such a treat to watch. Not sure if he declares but if so…🔥 pic.twitter.com/rwCy2tf87h
— Damian Parson 🏈 (@DP_NFL) October 28, 2021
The Crimson Tide have a versatile offense, electing to go heavy run against Ole Miss and heavy pass against Florida. If Alabama is going to make an effort at getting vertical with passes more than 20 yards, then the total is certainly worth a watch.
As for the defense, Alabama has had moments of exposure throughout the season.
Texas A&M posted a 58% Success Rate in passing plays and standard downs to beat of the Crimson Tide. The Alabama defense is 70th in Passing Success Rate and 99th in Finishing Drives, leading to a higher score from opponents.
When opponents get into scoring position, defensive coordinator Pete Golding has had issues calling the correct scheme to prevent points. The Crimson Tide are outside the top 100 in red-zone defense , a statistic worth watching against an LSU offense that ranks 14th in the nation in that area .
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how LSU and Alabama match up statistically:
The Action Network projection makes Alabama a 23-point favorite, indicating there’s value on this LSU team. Oddsmakers have adjusted this line, with knowledge investors likely to fade a coach that will be unemployed by the end of the month.
That additional tax in raising the spread to 28.5 has us looking elsewhere. LSU did show up and beat Florida, but that same energy was not present when the team traveled to Ole Miss just before the bye week.
The Tigers might have the longest inactive list in all of FBS, including plenty of recognizable names on the defense. Cornerbacks Eli Ricks and Derek Stingley are out indefinitely, plus Major Burns continues to miss games with an undisclosed injury.
If Alabama wanted to pick a week out to test the deep pass, LSU ranks 106th defensively in passing downs success rate. Saban knows every style point will matter if the Crimson Tide lose the SEC Championship game.
Expect Alabama to run LSU up and down the catwalk in front of the College Football Playoff committee through the first half to secure that second spot for another week.
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** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)
Odds Shark Staff Mon, Nov 1, 5:10pm
LAST 10 LAST 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Louisiana State are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against Alabama. Louisiana State are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games against Alabama. Louisiana State are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games on the road. Louisiana State are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Alabama. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana State's last 8 games against an opponent in the West Division division. Louisiana State are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games played in November. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana State's last 6 games played in week 10.
Alabama are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Alabama are 19-1 SU in their last 20 games. Alabama are 20-0 SU in their last 20 games at home. Alabama are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Louisiana State. Alabama are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference. Alabama are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the West Division division. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Alabama's last 8 games played in November. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama's last 6 games played in week 10.
OddsShark LSU Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide
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The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and country to country. Using this information to contravene any law or statute is prohibited. The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. Odds Shark does not target an audience under the age of 18. Please visit gambleaware.co.uk or gamcare.org.uk for guidelines on responsible gaming.
Is OUT 1st half vs Southern, Suspension
Is OUT Saturday vs Southern, Undisclosed
Is "?" Saturday vs Southern, Undisclosed
Is "?" Saturday vs Texas, Undisclosed
Odds Shark Staff | Tue, Nov 5 2019, 3:42pm
OddsShark LSU vs Alabama Betting Odds and Props
In a marquee matchup not only on the Week 11 college football schedule but for the season as a whole, the No. 1 LSU Tigers are visiting Bryant-Denny Stadium to take on the No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide. Both teams are undefeated and LSU is a 6-point underdog with the total coming in at 65. Online sportsbooks have put up some interesting prop bets for this gigantic game and I’m going to take a look at these odds and give you a couple of picks that I like.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for this contest as well.
The first prop that really caught my eye for LSU vs Alabama is “Will the Loser Still Make the CFP?” This question has been burning in my brain for weeks looking ahead to this game and I can make arguments either way. The odds for this prop are “Yes” at -300 and “No” at +200. What makes this super interesting is that both teams are in the SEC West so the loser of this game will not, in all likelihood, be in the SEC championship game. Let’s say the winner of this game loses in the SEC championship game, then likely the loser of this contest is the odd one out – or at least that’s my thinking.
What helps this cause is the losses of contenders in the other conferences – notably, Oklahoma losing to Kansas State, Oregon losing to Auburn to start the season, and the Big Ten has its critical games on the horizon too that will produce a true standout in the end.
I think the “Yes” is the better play if Alabama wins and the “No” is the better play if LSU wins. The reason I think the “Yes” is better is that LSU has wins at then-No. 9 Texas and at home to then-No. 7 Florida and then-No. 9 Auburn, and a loss to No. 2 Alabama as its lone loss would be enough to get in. Meanwhile, for the “No,” Alabama has only one win over a ranked foe, topping then-No. 24 Texas A&M. If it loses to LSU, then it won’t have a win over a top-10 team and I don’t think that’s worthy of a College Football Playoff appearance. I think Alabama wins this game so I like the “Yes” at -300.
The POTUS has been making a few appearances at sporting events recently, showing up at Game 5 of the World Series between the Houston Astros and the Washington Nationals, as well as at UFC 244 this past weekend at Madison Square Garden. In both instances, Donald Trump was booed. However, the odds for the president to be booed at this game are “Yes” at +155 and “No” at -210.
This seems like an automatic bet on the “Yes,” right? Wrong! Unlike the previous two sporting appearances for Trump, this game is taking place in Alabama, where six of the seven congressional districts voted for Trump and 62.08 percent of the vote went his way. This was not a one-off as Alabama has voted Republican in 12 of the last 15 elections dating back to 1960, and 60 percent or more of the vote has gone Republican over the last four elections. Will there be some boos? I’m sure there will be, but it will likely be predominantly cheering for the president so I like the “No” at -210.
Here’s a look at the full list of props for LSU vs Alabama:
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Odds Shark Staff Wed, Sep 7, 3:26pm
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