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Гундогар :: In Central Asia, The Bad Times Have Arrived

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Bruce Pannier. One month into it is clear Central Asia has entered a difficult period, but it is unclear when and how the region might recover and what effect these particularly hard times might have on the people of the region. The writing has been on the wall for Central Asia for months now - an economic crisis was coming to Central Asia and there was no way of avoiding it. There were unfortunately all too few ideas about how to mitigate it. Azatlyk director Muhammad Tahir moderated the talk. And I This had a direct effect on Kazakhstan, where the economy is dependent on oil sales, as Nice said. We at the Economist Intelligence Unit think now that it will move into recession this year and contract for the first time since ,» Nice said. Falling commodity prices have had an effect on Turkmenistan, where the economy is based on gas sales. However, as the panelists noted, Turkmenistan is so opaque that it is virtually impossible to know what is really happening inside the country. Falling commodity prices also directly affected Russia, where for years, millions of migrant laborers from Central Asia have found work. Until the crisis hit Russia, citizens of Uzbekistan had been sending back more than USD 6 billion annually. Schenkkan pointed out that beyond the reduction in money these workers send back home, another «area of uncertainty, big uncertainty, is who comes home in terms of migrants. There are not many jobs waiting back in their homelands. Reports show some of these migrant laborers are migrating to other places within Russia. Some have suggested some of these Central Asian migrant laborers might simply go to another country to try to find work. But Nice suggested the options are fewer than some people believe. Faced with a deteriorating economic situation, the response of the Kazakh and Tajik governments so far has been to crack down on potential dissent. Schenkkan recalled that «the banning of the IRPT happened after the IRPT was essentially pushed out of parliament entirely after fraudulent elections, even more fraudulent than usual, and the IRPT has now been declared an extremist organization. Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbaev has been moving family members into prominent state positions for many years but last September eldest daughter Darigha became deputy prime minister, and just before the year ended Nazarbaev appointed his nephew Samat Abish , 37, to be deputy chief of the Committee for National Security. Squashing potential opposition and critics and consolidating the inner circles of power might provide a modicum of security for the ruling elites but the authorities nonetheless must implement austerity measures that in some cases are already proving unpopular with the people. A group of people in Kazakhstan, where demonstrations are rare, who took out home loans based on dollars conducted a «gray mass» protest outside major banks in Almaty on January 16, demanding their loans be recalculated to the tenge rate when they acquired their loans. Reports from Uzbekistan indicate a growing number of workers, including state employees, are not receiving regular wages and banks are running short of money. Frustrations appear to be boiling over in, for now, isolated cases. Citizens of Uzbekistan have been unhappy but tolerant of frequent shortages of gas in their homes or gasoline for their cars for several years now. But on the evening of December 18 some residents of a district in the city of Ferghana blocked the road leading to the nearby town of Margilan to protest a halt in gas to their homes. Police and officials were able to disperse the crowd only after promising to deliver gas canisters to the district. The Central Asian governments have no solution to these problems; they cannot because the situation is out of their control for the most part. Prove They Are Alive! Свободу Алексею Навальному! Главная страница. Экономика и бизнес. Силовые структуры. Современные угрозы. Права человека. СМИ и свобода слова. Общество и религия. Наука и образование. Физкультура и спорт. Медицина и экология. Частное мнение. Прямая речь. Обсудить эту статью.

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