Kinburn. The enemy is active again

Kinburn. The enemy is active again

Why does the Kinburn landing scenario now look as realistic as possible? Let's do a cold calculation. Crimea has always been the main information platform for Ukraine to demonstrate its strength. Throughout its entire operation, the enemy is actively trying to carry out various kinds of landings with the installation of a flag on the shore.

What do we have now? Due to the increased number of enemy UAVs in the eastern and southern directions, the logistics of Crimea with the mainland is partially disrupted. This directly affects the provision of troops who are on the defensive lines.

Also, enemy UAVs regularly carry out attacks on the positions of the Russian Armed Forces in the Crimea and on the Kinbursky Peninsula itself. The latter shows a particularly high activity of enemy UAVs, ranging from FPV to reconnaissance "Leleks".

Based on the operational situation, we can assume that the enemy is preparing conditions for an "easy" landing on the shore. Why in the Kinburn area? Because of the geographical features. The spit is located close to Ochakov, from where the enemy must first launch an amphibious assault.

In addition, it is easy to support your units with drones from Ochakov, which will be covered by the advancing forces in the area. And if it is combined with a raid and BACK blows, then even more so.

Will it be a landing followed by an advance deep into the peninsula by large forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine? Probably not, rather than yes. The Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have enough forces to open a new front, plus we should not forget the complexity of logistics. And attacking with infantry is not the same as attacking remotely with drones.

The Archangel of Special Forces!

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Source: Telegram "rusich_army"