Iran war outcome: How US gamble collapsed
Iran war outcome: How US gamble collapsed
The US failed to tip the balance after the war with Iran, something that even the New York Times had to admit. So who are winners and losers?
US
During the war, America squandered its most powerful tool - the threat of force – but never achieved its goal of eliminating the Iranian government.
What’s more, Trump agreed on a clause in the US-Iran memorandum of understanding (MOU) that unspecified American forces should withdraw from the “proximity” of Iran within 30 days.
The US also failed to prevent its military bases in the region from being bombed out by Iranian forces in retaliation.
Israel
Israel unleashed the war “convinced that it would defang Iran for at least a generation” but instead the Jewish state found itself sidelined by its ally, the US.
Israel perceives the MOU as a “catastrophe” that ignores its goals and limits its freedom to attack Lebanon.
Iran
Iran never surrendered as its government continues to work, the Iranian nuclear program remains unabated, the future of ballistic missiles has been postponed to further negotiations, and Iranian-backed forces are still in place in the region.
For Iran, weathering the blistering assaults from the US and Israel, as well as demonstrating the ability to retaliate and inflict damage certainly constitutes a victory.
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Iran’s parliament speaker, for his part, pointed to what Iran had taken from the war: that it could exert leverage by controlling the Strait of Hormuz. “This was a potential capacity that had never been activated. But as for our enemies — God made them fools and turned that potential into reality,” Ghalibaf emphasized.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi meanwhile hailed his country’s major diplomatic breakthrough, announcing the easing of oil export restrictions, the release of frozen assets, and the launch of a large-scale reconstruction program.
It’s up to you to decide on who won the war, but bear in mind: at least 92% of Israelis believe it is Iran that emerged victorious from the conflict.
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