How to use Odds Percentages for the Best Soccer Value
How do you determine value in your betting? This is the big question. Alex Napier, my friend and operator of Best Bet Soccer, asked me to write an article explaining the concept odds percentages. Also, why it is important to identify value. His request to me is to examine soccer betting. I have done this in the past but his approach is different. Instead, we will be looking at statistics that I used for my own soccer betting.
Note: I will discuss the KCOM (ators odds), the odds percentage offered Victor Chandler, and William Hill's odds.
Chances to Win a Home
If you decide to place your bets on a home win you will want a team that has a chance of winning by at least 47%. These statistics are based on matches reported since 2006. The top five league clubs are the favorites to win and the odds of them winning are about 50%.
Differences between Percentages and Odds
Chandler and William Hill offer odds and therefore are likely to have a higher or lower percentage. This does not mean that the bookies will be having to pay more. In fact some of the larger bookmakers are moving against the opposition, so smaller bookmakers might be paying less.
What this means is that the betting public are being asked to pick a favourite more often than not and if they think a team is more likely to win, they will back it. Bookmakers could be less confident in the home win and adjust the odds accordingly. You can then use this 'spread' and the resulting betting profit to decide whether you want to lay the home win or not.
https://matadorbet.org/2022/12/12/how-to-reap-rakeback-and-bonuses/ Draw Odds
The odds of a team winning or drawing are known as draw odds.
The draw probability is the percentage of the cost of winning in a match that ended in a draw. In this example, the odds of winning a match with almost equal teams is 48%. The odds of winning today's Asian Handicap Overround are around 1.75. The odds of winning today's Asian Handicap Overcard are around 1.75 to 1.75. The overround in the Asian Handicap is thus around 1.65 to 1.
Here's how to calculate the Asian Handicap.
Win(a) + Draw(b) - Lose(a) - Lose(b)
Therefore the net winnings are:
Win(a) + Draw(b) - Lose(a) - Lose(b)
The formula will be reduced to:
Win(b) - Lose(a) - Lose(b)
Where b = (b) - (a.
The Asian Handicap reduces as much the overround as it does the draw probability.
https://techpolicybank.org/2022/12/12/learn-to-be-a-top-handicapper/ A punter needs to stage his or her betting activity around the Asian Handicap odds to commit the betting strategy to a profitable bet. The punter lowers the odds to 12.5% or 25% with the Asian Handicap and sets a stake equal for each outcome.
This is best explained using the following example:
Place a PS10 bet on Team Lose - Asian Handicap odds 2.5 (or 25%).
Place the same amount of money on the favorite team Win – Asian Handicap odds at 2.5 (or 25%)
PS5 bets on the underdog win - Asian Handicap odds, 2.5 (or 25%)
If the Asian Handicap were 2.5:1, it would be PS5 on Lose, PS5 On Win, and PS10 on Asian Handicap.
5% profit on your PS10 bet on Lose and PS25 profit on your PS5 bet on Win would represent a total of PS30. If the Asian Handicap had a 2.75:1, it would be PS5 (Lose), PS5 (Win) and PS25 (Asian Handicap).