How To Beat The Spread In Basketball

How To Beat The Spread In Basketball
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WHAT ARE THE BEST NBA BETTING SYSTEMS?
In order for long-term success in your NBA betting pursuits, it's best to have a proven NBA betting...
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A Spread Bet is basically an assumption of how an NBA match-up will pan out, with points handicaps given to each team.
NBA Point spread betting is recognizable by the use of the + or – symbols.
Spread betting is a type of betting in which a bookmaker will handicaps a match-up by setting a margin for each team, which essentially makes the game equal. This estimated margin outcome is referred to as the ‘spread ‘, which is where the term spread betting comes from. A spread bet is only available for events where there are two possible outcomes, such as a game of NBA basketball, where there are no draws.
A typical spread will look something like this: Chicago -8.0 @ Philadelphia +8.0
For example; if the bookmaker believes Chicago is an 8-point better team than Philadelphia, the bookmaker can handicap Chicago 8 points. The spread bet becomes Chicago to win by more than 8 pts or Philadelphia to be within 8 points at the end of the game.
Both outcomes should be of equal odds roughly -105 to -110 or $1.91 .
The above example would be listed by the bookmaker as: Chicago -8.0 @-110 | Philadelphia +8.0 @-110
When you play the point spread, you are not betting whether an NBA team is going to win or lose a game, you are betting how many points they will win or lose by.
If you think Philadelphia are a decent chance to beat Chicago in the above example, taking a spread of +8.0 would be a great bet. Alternatively if you think Chicago will dominate the game, a -8.0 spread is a good bet to take.
With a spread of +8.0, Philadelphia must win the game outright or lose by 8 points or less to cover the spread and be graded as a win. Alternatively, Chicago must win by at least 8 points to cover and be graded as a win.
For picking the Spread in NBA basketball, the main aspects to focus on are –
I guess the best advice here is to WATCH THE NBA NEWS! Get ahead of the bookies and find where the traps are st, and set your own traps.
The bookmaker will list the spread as either a solid number, or to a decimal point.
For example; the bookie may list the spread as -8.0 or -8.5.
The odds for the solid number will usually be less, as there are now 2 outcomes that can favour the bettor, not 1.
If the spread is set as -8.0 and the winning margin is 8, the bettor has “Pushed” the bet, and (depending on bookie) will get their outlay refunded.
If the spread is set as -8.5, the only outcome for the bettor is a Win or Loss.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER

Nick Musial is an editorial intern at The Sporting News

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Not long ago, sports bettors had few options when wagering on NBA games. For the most part, you could evaluate the odds and put down some action before things tipped off or at the start of the second half. In the past few years, sports betting has evolved to a point where live betting at virtually all points during games has increased in popularity and is now commonplace.
Novice bettors aren’t always comfortable live betting, nor do they understand the best tactics to beat the in-game lines. Below, we’ll break down three worthwhile strategies to help bettors understand the live betting process.
In a nutshell, live betting, or in-game betting, allows bettors to make wagers on games after the game has started. Live betting odds will fluctuate throughout the course of a game with changes to the moneyline, point spread, and total occurring after every shot taken. While there aren’t as many options for bettors in live betting markets as there are pre-game, the following bet types exist at most, if not all sportsbooks:
Moneyline: Simply, a wager on which team will win the game. A moneyline bet, in essence, is an implied win probability. For example, a team whose live odds sit at -150 implies it wins said game at a 60-percent clip. If you’re curious about what odds correlate to what implied win probability, check out this moneyline converter from Boyds’ bets .
Point Spread: A wager on the difference in the number of points between the two teams at the end of the game.
For example, a -3.5-point favorite in an NBA game must win the game by four or more points in order to win the bet. Conversely, an underdog can lose the game outright, but if it stays within the point spread, the bet still wins. Betting on an underdog of +3.5 points in an NBA game will win if the team loses by three or fewer points.
Total: Also referred to as the over/under, a total bet is a wager on the number of points scored relative to the over/under line. If a total on a game is set at 215.5 points, a wager on the over means 216 or more points must be scored in order to win the bet. A wager on the under of 215.5 total points means 215 or fewer points must be scored in order to win the bet.
In terms of navigating legal U.S. sportsbooks to make live bets, all sportsbooks have their live betting odds under a tab titled "live" or "in-game." The live odds will refresh on their own, and sometimes it’s a challenge to get your bet in before the live markets alter.
While live betting is not an exact science, understanding these concepts can help bettors gain an advantage in winning their bets.
Utilize the closing line as a marker: The closing line is the last line available before betting markets close prior to tip-off. Historical data has shown that the closing line is the best indicator of the outcome of a game. This makes sense, as more information (injury status, sharp betting money, etc.) becomes known as game time approaches, which causes the moneyline, point spread, and total to sharpen up.
For example, in Game 1 of the 2022 Eastern Conference Finals, the Heat closed as consensus five-point favorites after opening as shorter two-point favorites. The Celtics were without two key starters (Marcus Smart, Al Horford). Smart and Horford have an impact on the implied win probability for the Celtics, and without them on the court, the Heat have a better shot of winning the game outright and by several points.
Given the volatility in NBA games, the Heat found themselves trailing by 13 points with 5:37 remaining in the second quarter. If making a live bet on this game utilizing the closing line as a marker, at that point the Heat were around a +6.5-point underdog. Making a live bet on the Heat +6.5 made sense. The Heat erased the double-digit deficit, winning the game 118-107 and covering the closing line of -5 points.
It’s important to note that sometimes the closing line can be a misleading marker, primarily when injuries occur, which brings us to our next tip.
Monitor in-game injuries: In-game injuries can present opportunities to take advantage of live odds. When a key player goes down mid-game, it takes a bit of time for the live odds to factor in that player’s impact on the money line, point spread, and total.
Back in the first round of the 2022 Western Conference playoffs, Suns guard Devin Booker left Game 2 against the Pelicans with a right hamstring injury. At the time of the injury, the Suns trailed the Pelicans 77-74 with 4:47 remaining in the third quarter. Following the injury, the Suns were unable to come back, losing by a final score of 125-114.
A star like Booker obviously stands out more, but even a key role player could have a big effect on a team's ability to maintain a lead or come back from a deficit. You don't want to jump to conclusions and immediately live bet as soon as you see a player down on the floor for a few seconds, but you also shouldn't completely ignore the telltale signs of a serious injury either.
Sometimes, you'll get burned, like when Marcus Smart and Jayson Tatum both looked seriously injured -- only to return minutes later -- during Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals, but if you’re paying close enough attention, taking advantage of how an in-game injury will impact the final score can be a profitable endeavor.
Understand teams’ rotations: With NBA games being 48 minutes in length, there are times in which teams’ star players and starters are not on the floor. Coinciding with utilizing the closing line as a marker, a double-digit difference, say, early in the second quarter, of an NBA game doesn’t mean the trailing team is in panic mode.
This allows for an opportunity to make a live bet, likely on a pre-game favorite that’s trailing, knowing it will bring back its key players for the more important stretches of the game. This is especially true in the postseason, where starters play extended minutes, particularly in the second half when they’re needed most.
Live betting brings an entirely different way to wager on NBA games. It allows you to adjust to new information that might not have been available (or widely known) before tip-off. Sticking to the basic live-betting strategies above should help you cash some tickets and enjoy a more dynamic betting experience.

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The underdog has a positive value (+) in front of its point spread , and that team can either win outright or lose by less than that spread to win the bet. In this example, the Boston Celtics are...
For the Bulls, they must win OR lose by 9 points or less to get the bet right. If the away team lose by 5 and you bet $110 on Bulls +9.5, congrats, you are $100 richer. Thus the spread is basically picking the margin by which an NBA team will either win or lose.
Oct 6, 2021 How to Bet on Basketball Click the links to jump ahead. 1. Betting Early 2. Study Injury Reports 3. Scheduling Advantages 4. How to Bet Totals 5. Live Betting Tips 6. No Teasers 7. Line Shop 8....
The spread bet becomes Chicago to win by more than 8 pts or Philadelphia to be within 8 points at the end of the game. Both outcomes should be of equal odds roughly -105 to -110 or $1.91. The above example would be listed by the bookmaker as: Chicago -8.0 @-110 | Philadelphia +8.0 @-110
Jun 2, 2022 Point Spread : A wager on the difference in the number of points between the two teams at the end of the game. For example, a -3.5-point favorite in an NBA game must win the game by four or more ...
Holding the ball in this offense completely throws it off. There is no room for hesitation. If 2 is a great shooter, you may get this option more often than not. If the defense over reacts to the elevator screen, 4 simply dives to the rim for a pass from 3.
May 12, 2022 When you bet "Against the Spread " in popular betting markets like football and basketball , you need your team to cover the spread . If you select a favorite, you'll not only need the team to win the game straight up but they will have to cover the point- spread and win by a margin greater than the spread to win that wager.
Teams have a strong tendency to cover the spread when they are big underdogs (10+ points) at home. A lot of this has to do with the emotional desire to impress at home, and a lot of it has to do with the other team usually letting off when they're up quite a few points.
4 days ago Betting against the spread means you are taking the Underdog and the points in a game. To win you want the "underdog" to either win the game outright OR lose by less then the " Point Spread " you are given. A example of this we will use the following. The New England Patriots -7 vs NY Jets +7.
The better an offense fits with your overall philosophy, the better you will teach it and the more you will believe in it. 3. Your Team's Personnel This one is crucial. An offense may look great on paper, or you may love watching your favorite college team run it. But will it work for YOUR team?
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How To Beat The Spread In Basketball

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