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Official websites use. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. Ave Talu: Investigation. Sigrid Vorbjov: Investigation. Liis Lemsalu: Investigation. Don Des Jarlais: Conceptualization. The spread of illicitly manufactured fentanyl has the potential to greatly increase the fatal overdoses in many places in the world. The purpose of this paper is to analyse the evolution of fentanyl use epidemic in Estonia. For an over a decade up to , Estonia has had the highest overdose death mortality in Europe. The use of injected fentanyl is a major contributor to the Estonian overdose death epidemic. Shutting down a major producer and distributor of illicit fentanyl has been extremely effective in curbing the number of overdose deaths. Unfortunately, this supply-side intervention came ten years into the epidemic, and might be difficult to replicate in settings with decentralized production. Further, the means of responding to emerging substances should match the world in which different substances can be rapidly introduced, and where people who use drugs can change preferences based on market availability. Addressing illicitly manufactured fentanyl may serve as a public health learning experience for developing early detection and rapid response programs in rapidly changing drug use environments. Opioid-related deaths are the biggest contributor to drug-related deaths and drive the recent increase in such deaths also elsewhere in Europe National Operations Department National Operations Department, Sweden, ; National Records of Scotland, ; National Crime Agency, UK, In North America, fentanyl derivatives make a major contribution to the current opioid crisis, and over a short period, they have become the substances most associated with overdose mortality Hedegaard et al. While diversion of controlled substances including fentanyl from health care system can occur, there is compelling evidence that recent multinational outbreaks of drug-related deaths are attributable to illicitly manufactured fentanyl Pihl, ; Office of National Drug Control Policy Office of National Drug Control Policy, USA, Further spread of fentanyl has the great potential to increase fatal overdoses in many places in the world. The purpose of this paper is to analyse the evolution of the fentanyl use epidemic in Estonia and implications for countries currently facing fentanyl es epidemics and the usage of other synthetic opioids. Estonia is a small country in the north-eastern part of Europe with a population of about 1,, For an over a decade up to , Estonia has had the highest overdose death mortality rate in Europe European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction, The country has excellent health records Metsallik et al. In terms of the different types of scientific reviews meta-analysis, qualitative, etc. As with scoping reviews, we conducted an extensive search to integrate evidence from research literature, regulatory documents, public health institutions and government administrative data publications, reports , and national surveillance. Also similar to a scoping review, we did not attempt to derive a single summary finding that synthesized all of the information. Thus, we did not utilize information that could not be placed within a historical timeline for the epidemic. Our research question was: What are the drivers, course and consequences of the two-decade illicit fentanyl use epidemic in Estonia? The title and abstract of each citation were screened by the lead author, where any doubt remained in terms of inclusion another author also reviewed the article Levac et al. The initial search identified articles after excluding 2 duplicates , of which 9 that we believed contributed empirical data to our historical reconstruction of the fentanyl use epidemic in Estonia. Three other research publications were identified from the reference lists of included papers. The next stage of the work involved synthesizing and interpreting qualitative data by sifting, charting and sorting material on key items of information obtained from the primary reports being reviewed. Our scoping study also included a consultation element. This involved three groups of stakeholders: system level representatives public health system, criminal justice, drug treatment system , prevention and care service harm reduction service providers and PWID. We present our understanding of selected important features of fentanyl use, and suggest public policy recommendations. Namely: 1 incubation period — use of specific drug among highly limited subpopulation is a specific social context; 2 expansion phase — specific drug use introduced to wider subgroups; 3 plateau phase — everyone most at risk of the new practice has either initiated use or at least had the opportunity to do so; and 4 decline phase during which, an illicit drug tends to go out of favour. In Estonia, fentanyl use emerged in and, within a year, had replaced heroin in the illicit drug market Wilson et al. It has been hypothesized that market change from heroin to fentanyles was in reaction to the drop in poppy production in Afghanistan in the early s Rowlatt, Mars et al. Mars and Rosenblum, have reported that in both North America and parts of Europe illicit fentanyl is often mixed into heroin to be sold as heroin or is made to mimic the appearance of other opioids. This might be a supply side strategy to be responsive and increase profit to the preferences of established heroin users. In Estonia, in early s, after a short period of use, homemade poppy liquid MAK and heroin were rapidly replaced with fentanyl, and it has been marketed as a fentanyl and not as heroin , under the street names such as China White, Afghan or Persian Talu, ; Talu et al. Estonia has a longer history of fentanyl and its analogues 3-methylfentanyl, carfentanyl use than any other country Platt et al. For an over a decade up to , Estonia has had the highest overdose death rate in Europe European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction, Evidence from various resources Estonian Causes of Deaths Registry, ; The Estonian Forensic Science Institute, has documented the use of injected fentanyles as a major contributor to the Estonian overdose death epidemic Figure 1. The fentanyl epidemic in Estonia: the amount of seized illicitly manufactured fentanyles in grams , the number n of overdose deaths and overdose mortality per , the number of naloxone doses distributed to drug users and their family members, and the prevalence of injection drug use among population aged 15—44 years in to data on from the first 8 months also presented. Fentanyl use has been deeply harmful: it is highly addictive, requiring multiple injections per day, leading to considerably increased risks of trauma and injury Talu et al. These are the noises and rumble of the denied mass-grave in our own backyard. The cohort of men in Estonia born — M. Those would have been the men in their teenage years in mid s and early s - the period coincides with the economical and societal unrest in Estonia after regaining independence from Soviet Union in Estonian Human Development Report, Until , only fentanyl and 3-methylfentanyl had been detected by the Estonian Forensic Science Institute, since then a myriad of analogues carfentanyl, acryl fentanyl, cyclopropylfentanyl, furanylfentanyl and U a novel synthetic opioid have been seized The Estonian Forensic Science Institute, and identified at overdose death forensic analysis Tuusov et al. Whether the expanding list of fentanyl analogues is a marker of an increase in the number of individual clandestine producers or distribution networks is, currently, unknown, but is of importance. The origin of fentanyl in Estonia has been a topic of much speculation. Some authors claim that the fentanyl available in Estonia since the early s was smuggled in from Russia Tuusov et al. However, it is intriguing to note that data on fentanyl use in Russia is difficult to pinpoint. The production or trafficking of fentanyl for over a decade for just the Estonian market needs to be validated, but based on the available evidence, this appears unlikely. Anecdotal reports from drug users in Tallinn, the capital of Estonia, have indicated the domestic production of fentanyl in Estonia. These claims, however, were not supported by the Estonian Police until It was in that Estonian law enforcement disabled a domestic fentanyl production site, shut down its laboratory, and seized a record amount of fentanyl Pihl, ; Reiljan, , The Prosecutor Office Yearbook , Estonia, see Figures 2 , 3 photos, from Margo Kivila, Estonian Police and Border Guard Board. The way of packing and transportation of illicitly manufactured fentanyl, Estonia Illicit fentanyl manufacturing laboratory, fentanyl and inactive ingredients mixing instrument, and product, Estonia Since the beginning of , the availability of fentanyl and its analogues has been limited. Fieldwork notes. Sept 14, ; Margo Kivila, Estonian Police and Border Guard Board, personal communication, Dec 13, , and importantly, opioid users are in need of an alternative, that creates a demand for a potent, more concealable alternative. Given that for majority of the PWID fentanyl has been the main drug to inject, it is hard to disentangle fentanyl use and injection drug use epidemics over the period of observation. The PWID population is getting older with the mean age of study respondents being 25 years in Wilson et al. Free, voluntary and confidential HIV testing is available to the population groups who are at the most risk at several AIDS voluntary counselling and testing clinics and via prevention and harm reduction service providers. NSP were initiated in in Estonia. In , there were nine organizations providing syringe exchange and HIV and drug counselling services. PWID may obtain sterile syringes and needles either directly at an exchange site or from syringe exchange community outreach workers and via Syringe Exchange Mobile van. Fentanyl injection may thus require much greater numbers of syringes per PWID. The volume and quality of OST treatment provided in Estonia is suboptimal to achieve a population level effect Raben et al. Medical HIV care and antiretroviral treatment ART is provided by the government healthcare system through infectious disease departments, and is free for all in need. Opioids overdoses deaths prevention - naloxone take-home - programme in Estonia as a community-based programme was launched in September National Institute for Health development, Since , naloxone is also distributed by prison medical departments. Naloxone can only be prescribed by a physician listed in the register of health care professionals, and though, the program is operated at local level in cooperation between health care providers and organizations providing harm reduction services mostly NSP Abel-Ollo, Increased provision of take-home naloxone e. While the interventions listed above are critical to reducing the burden of HIV faced by active injectors, it has been argued that the most effective method of preventing injection-driven harms epidemics to shift resources upstream, towards the prevention of injection drug use Werb. Injecting an illicit drug is a complicated and often dangerous procedure, and almost everyone who begins injecting requires the assistance of an experienced injector for their first injection. This almost universal requirement for beginning to inject drugs led Hunt et al. Hunt et al. Injection drug use is an inherently social and cultural process and almost all individuals who start to inject drugs require the assistance and knowledge of an experienced injector s. Therefore, both — the skills and harms are transferred. The illicit fentanyl used in Estonia originates from clandestine production; it is not a drug diverted from the medical or veterinary systems. There are many implications of clandestine production of synthetic opioids. The quality and — importantly — as the product itself fentanyl or analogues changes, the potency, purity and quantities of the product produced are inconsistent. Oct 14, Given that Estonia has not witnessed a well-established heroin use epidemic other than heroin use around the turn of the Millennium , a direct comparison of heroin and fentanyl harms is not possible. However, it is indisputable that fentanyl use is deadly. Zinberg described how three exhaustive classes of factors influence a drug use experience: drug, set personal disposition as well as genetic factors and setting context and culture Zinberg, We have seen introduction of fentanyles following heroin shortage in Estonia in —, and recent influx of new synthetic drugs in response to the current fentanyl shortage. Set may have to be reconceptualized when the user does not know what the drugs are, as in the case of where fentanyl has been added to other drugs or substituted for other drugs. The introduction of new drugs into market is orchestrated by the supply side. The illicit drug trade is dynamic, and profit oriented. Cheaper synthetic production, innovations simplifications in the production process, access to precursors, and an ability to circumvent legal enforcement have provided incentives for the production of fentanyls Pardo et al. Vigorous surveillance including monitoring for new drugs based on the samples from drugs users Peiper et al. Based on the sequence of events, shutting down a major producer and distributor of fentanyl and the increased distribution of naloxone were followed by dramatic decline in the number of overdose deaths from in to 39 in but it is not possible to determine the relative importance of these as factors in the dramatic decline of overdose deaths. Unfortunately, in Estonia, this supply-side intervention came ten years into the epidemic, and might be difficult to replicate in settings with decentralized production. Based on the long-term Estonian experience, we would recommend large-scale implementation of the following evidence-based programs in areas faced by fentanyl use. These recommendations apply both to non-injecting use of fentanyl but particularly to injecting use, as that is a much more dangerous route of administration:. Fentanyl can quickly replace other opioids, leading to rapid increases in drug overdoses. Naloxone distribution National Institute for Health Development, and education about fentanyl should be in place prior to any fentanyl entering a local drug scene. Figure 1 ;. The high frequencies of fentanyl injection Talu et al. Eliminating a fentanyl supply does not cure opioid use disorder. If fentanyl supply is substantially disrupted, users will change to other drugs which may pose different risks to the lives and health of users. There should be continuous monitoring the different types of drugs used in the local community and contingency plans for implementing new public health measures to reduce harms associated with new patterns of drug use. This includes providing timely warnings and information directly to drug users via appropriate information channels. We would also highlight the importance of opiate substitution treatment Stone et al. Additionally, because the time period after leaving OST is a high risk period for overdose which would be increased if fentanyl is a commonly used drug. Finally, we would recommend developing programs to reduce stigmatization of opioid use, as stigma often prevents drug users from utilizing health services, and compounds the psychological damage caused by drug use. However, we believe it significantly contributes to the generation and synthesis of knowledge on illicit fentanyl use. Illicitly manufactured fentanyls are, however, only one of the many potential novel psychoactive substances that may threaten the health of people who use drugs and the communities where they live. The means of responding to emerging substances should match the world in which different substances can be rapidly introduced, and where people who use drugs change preferences based on market availability Peacock, Addressing fentanyl may serve as a public health learning experience for developing early detection and rapid response programs in rapidly changing drug use environments. We call for continuous monitoring of local drug use situations and to adapt to new developments with rapid implementation of appropriate evidence-based interventions. Petersburg, Russia for sharing the data and information. We also thank also thank persons using drugs who have shared their experiences and life stories with us. As a library, NLM provides access to scientific literature. Int J Drug Policy. Published in final edited form as: Int J Drug Policy. Find articles by Ave Talu. Find articles by Sigrid Vorbjov. Find articles by Liis Lemsalu. Find articles by Don Des Jarlais. Issue date Jul. PMC Copyright notice. The publisher's version of this article is available at Int J Drug Policy. Open in a new tab. Declaration of Competing Interest None. Similar articles. Add to Collections. Create a new collection. Add to an existing collection. Choose a collection Unable to load your collection due to an error Please try again. Add Cancel. Treatment slots for opioid substitution treatment.

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