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Галерея 3493351
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J Trauma .
1987 Feb .
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The Minimal Inhibitory Concentration (MIC) and the Nathan's Agar Well Diffusion (NAWD) tests are bacterial antimicrobial susceptibility predictors. Some suggest that the NAWD is not as reliable as the MIC test. We compared the MIC and NAWD tests as to how well they agree to bacterial sensitivity or resistance and predicted clinical outcome of burn wound infections. Using 65 bacterial isolates from burned patients, the MIC and NAWD tests agreed in 60.0% of the isolates (vs. a perfect agreement of 100%, p less than 0.001), implying that these tests are not interchangeable. From 18 burned patients treated with nitrofurazone or mafenide acetate, 28 infectious isolates were evaluated. The outcome of these infections was correctly predicted by NAWD in 92.8% and the MIC in 72.0% of the cases (p less than 0.05). It seems that for burns treated with topical antimicrobials, the NAWD is a more reliable predictor of bacterial susceptibility.
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I have been writing about fantasy football for nearly 20 years and the experiences in that time frame have made me a major advocate of two strategies: Always draft to the floor and select your starters first.
The idea here is to remove as many roster pitfalls as possible during fantasy drafts by picking high-floor players and getting your starting lineup slots accounted for before the later rounds of a draft. These aren’t hard and fast rules, as every wise fantasy manager will adjust draft strategies according to circumstances but, by and large, following those two tactics will build deep fantasy rosters that can survive the rigors of a 16-game fantasy season and contend for titles.
To assist fantasy managers in building this type of roster, here is a sample team consisting of high-floor players who should be available in each of the first eight rounds. Draft slots go a long way in determining a fantasy manager’s draft needs, so this group consists of players who can provide a quality, highfloor start option in each round regardless of a fantasy manager’s draft slot in that round.
For clarification, these round rankings assume a standard 12-team league setup of one QB, two RBs, three WRs, one TE, and a flex. The metrics below are from a variety of sources, including TruMedia, Pro Football Reference, and Stathead. The ADP rankings are from the Football Pros ADP aggregation charts as of August 7.
Mixon ranked third and fourth, respectively, in non-PPR and PPR points among running backs last year despite playing behind a Bengals blocking wall that posted a mediocre 35.7 mark in my good blocking rate (GBR), which measures how often a club’s blockers give backs quality run blocking (which is roughly defined as not allowing the defense to disrupt a rush attempt). That is a few percentage points behind the 39.3 percent league-wide GBR rate, and Cincinnati’s upgraded offensive line should help get that number to par in 2022.
Combining that upgrade with Mixon’s superb goal-line production — he scored a touchdown on seven of his nine rushes inside the 5-yard line last year — and being in one of the powerhouse offenses in the NFL , it makes Mixon a solid RB1 target.
Elliott’s value has fallen in drafts this year because everyone thinks that Tony Pollard is going to take over a much larger role in this backfield, but isn’t that what everyone said last year as well?
Pollard does have more breakaway speed than Elliott, as his 9.6-yard mark in my good blocking yards per attempt (GBYPA) metric was nearly two yards higher than Elliott’s 7.9 GBYPA, but Dallas also workload manages its backfield in a way that strongly indicates the Cowboys are concerned about Pollard’s production taking a workload-related hit. That’s part of why they limited Pollard to only three carries inside the 10-yard line last year and why his workload only increased by 40 touches in 2021.
Elliott has racked up 268+ scrimmage plays in six straight years and should be near or above that level in 2022, a pace that makes him a quality RB2 candidate, especially later in the second round.
Fantasy managers may do a collective groan at the idea of having a Bears player on a fantasy roster, but before dismissing Montgomery, consider this: He ranks fifth in the NFL in scrimmage plays the past three seasons, and only eight running backs have tallied more receptions in that span. The Bears offensive line landed a solid run blocking grade in my 2022 offensive line rankings and have the most favorable run defense schedule in the league, with eight green-rated matchups and zero red-rated ones. All those factors should add up to Montgomery easily having an RB2 floor and could lead to a return to the RB1 value Montgomery displayed in 2020, when he ranked sixth in non-PPR RB points and fourth in PPR.
It seems odd that Schultz placed third in TE scoring last year in both non-PPR and PPR and yet currently places sixth or seventh at TE in most ADP rankings. Schultz ranked third in PPG on short passes in every scoring format last year and caught five touchdowns inside the 10-yard line. Dallas lost 41 red zone targets due to roster changes, so Schultz should have even more scoring chances in 2022. Combine that with a schedule that has six green-rated matchups and only one red-rated matchup and Schultz could very well be a Top 3 fantasy TE for a second straight year.
It might be tempting to typecast Brown solely as a deep threat, but that truly isn’t the case anymore, or at least it wasn’t in Baltimore last year, as Brown placed 11th in PPR points per game (PPG) on short passes (aerials thrown 10 or fewer yards downfield) and 31st in PPR PPG on vertical throws (passes traveling 11+ yards downfield).
Arizona is going to need someone to take over the workhorse wideout role while DeAndre Hopkins is serving his six-game suspension. Brown showed he is up to that workload level, as he racked up 146 targets last season. That track record could keep Brown in the prime target role beyond Week 7 if Hopkins’ recent durability question marks recur in 2022.
Robinson put up some superb numbers at times in his Chicago tenure, as his 200 receptions combined in the 2019 and 2020 seasons ranked fourth in the league in that span. He also racked up 10 red zone touchdowns in those years and did so in the jalopy that was the Bears offense. Robinson now moves to a sports car offense and gets to take over the Robert Woods role in that platoon. Woods was a borderline WR1/WR2 from 2018-2020, and Robinson should return something close to that production level, which is a tremendous return on investment for a sixth-round selection.
Wilson left Seattle because Pete Carroll wasn’t going to let him cook, yet Wilson still managed to place 11th in passing PPG last year, including a No. 5 ranking in vertical PPG and rating first in stretch vertical PPG. Denver may not give Wilson quite the downfield receiving corps that he had with the Seahawks , but he has lots of room to improve fantasy production on short passes, as Wilson ranked 24th in that category last year. The AFC West is also a high-powered offensive division, which is why Wilson rates well in my fireworks points category that grades how likely it is that a team is going to get into a large volume of high-scoring games.
Put these elements together with the Denver coaching staff showing every indication that they will be allowing Wilson to cook early and often, and Wilson makes for an excellent QB1 option in the middle of fantasy drafts.
Josh McDaniels is likely to use a pass-centric approach in this Las Vegas offense, a mindset that should allow Renfrow to repeat his No. 6 ranking in PPR PPG on short throws. Renfrow finally proved that he can shoulder a large target workload, as he racked up 103 catches on 128 targets, so McDaniels won’t hesitate to make him a high-volume alternate target to Davante Adams .
It will be somewhat hit or miss as to if Renfrow will be available during the eighth round, as his ADP levels range from upper-tier WR3 to high-end WR4, but he should be available here in a majority of leagues.
(Top photo: Kareem Elgazzar-USA TODAY Sports)
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KC Joyner is a contributor to The Athletic covering fantasy football and betting. Before joining The Athletic, KC was a senior writer for ESPN, and he has run TheFootballScientist.com since 2004. He is the author of the "Scientific Football" book series and "Blindsided: Why the Left Tackle Is Overrated and Other Contrarian Football Thoughts." KC is a native Michigander. He attended the University of Michigan but moved to the warmer climate of Florida over 30 years ago. Follow KC on Twitter @ KCJoynerTFS
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