Галерея 2945372

Галерея 2945372
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J Infect Dis. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2011 Aug 15.
Find articles by Rodolfo Acuna-Soto
1 Mathematical, Computational & Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA
2 Division of Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA
3 Department of Global Health, School of Public Health and Health Services, George Washington University, Washington DC, USA
4 Departamento de Microbiología y Parasitología, Facultad de Medicina, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Delegación Coyoacán, México D.F. 04510, México
The publisher's final edited version of this article is available at J Infect Dis
Keywords: 1918 influenza pandemic, Mexico, Toluca, Transmissibility, age-specific mortality rates
* calculated as excess mortality divided baseline mortality during influenza epidemic months
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1. Johnson NP, Mueller J. Updating the accounts: global mortality of the 1918–1920 “Spanish” influenza pandemic. Bull Hist Med. 2002; 76 :105–15. [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
2. Ammon CE. Spanish flu epidemic in 1918 in Geneva, Switzerland. Euro Surveill. 2002; 7 :190–2. [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
11. Eroreka A. The Spanish influenza pandemic in occidental Europe (1918–1920) and victim age. Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses. 2010; 4 :81–89. [ PMC free article ] [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
10. Miller MA, Viboud C, Balinska M, Simonsen L. The signature features of influenza pandemics--implications for policy. N Engl J Med. 2009; 360 :2595–8. [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
5. Murray CJ, Lopez AD, Chin B, Feehan D, Hill KH. Estimation of potential global pandemic influenza mortality on the basis of vital registry data from the 1918–20 pandemic: a quantitative analysis. Lancet. 2006; 368 :2211–8. [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
12. Chowell G, Bettencourt LM, Johnson N, Alonso WJ, Viboud C. The 1918–1919 influenza pandemic in England and Wales: spatial patterns in transmissibility and mortality impact. Proc Biol Sci. 2008; 275 :501–9. [ PMC free article ] [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
8. McSweeny K, Colman A, Fancourt N, et al. Was rurality protective in the 1918 influenza pandemic in New Zealand? N Z Med J. 2007; 120 :U2579. [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
3. Mills CE, Robins JM, Lipsitch M. Transmissibility of 1918 pandemic influenza. Nature. 2004; 432 :904–6. [ PMC free article ] [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
4. Olson DR, Simonsen L, Edelson PJ, Morse SS. Epidemiological evidence of an early wave of the 1918 influenza pandemic in New York City. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2005; 102 :11059–63. [ PMC free article ] [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
13. Chowell G, Brauer F. The basic reproduction number of infectious diseases: Computation and estimation using compartmental epidemic models. In: Chowell G, Hyman JM, Bettencourt LM, Castillo-Chavez C, editors. Mathematical and Statistical Estimation Approaches in Epidemiology. Springer; 2009. [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
14. Palmer C, Sattenspiel L, Cassidy C. The Spread of the Spanish Flu on the Island of Newfoundland. Newfoundland and Labrador Studies. 2007; 22 :1719–1726. [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
15. Massad E, Burattini MN, Coutinho FA, Lopez LF. The 1918 influenza A epidemic in the city of Sao Paulo, Brazil. Med Hypotheses. 2007; 68 :442–5. [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
16. Fraser C, Donnelly CA, Cauchemez S, et al. Pandemic potential of a strain of influenza A (H1N1): early findings. Science. 2009; 324 :1557–61. [ PMC free article ] [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
17. Chowell G, Bertozzi SM, Colchero MA, et al. Severe respiratory disease concurrent with the circulation of H1N1 influenza. N Engl J Med. 2009; 361 :674–9. [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
18. Cuadernos Estatales. Secretaria de Salud. 1996. Mexico City: 1996. [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
19. Monthly Epidemiological Bulletin. Mexico’s Superior Council of Hygiene. 1916–1920. [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
20. Instituto Nacional de Geografia Estadistica e Informatica. Estadisticas Historicas de Mexico. Aguascalientes, Ags; 1999. p. 27. [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
21. Instituto Nacional de Geografia Estadistica e Informatica. Estadisticas Historicas de Mexico. Aguascalientes, Ags; 1999. p. 33. [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
7. Andreasen V, Viboud C, Simonsen L. Epidemiologic characterization of the 1918 influenza pandemic summer wave in Copenhagen: implications for pandemic control strategies. J Infect Dis. 2008; 197 :270–8. [ PMC free article ] [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
22. Serfling RE. Methods for current statistical analysis of excess pneumonia-influenza deaths. Public Health Rep. 1963; 78 :494–506. [ PMC free article ] [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
23. Viboud C, Grais RF, Lafont BA, Miller MA, Simonsen L. Multinational impact of the 1968 Hong Kong influenza pandemic: evidence for a smoldering pandemic. J Infect Dis. 2005; 192 :233–48. [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
24. Anderson RM, May RM. Infectious diseases of humans. Oxford: Oxford University Press; 1991. [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
25. Diekmann O, Heesterbeek J. Mathematical epidemiology of infectious diseases: model building, analysis and interpretation. Wiley; 2000. [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
26. Wallinga J, Lipsitch M. How generation intervals shape the relationship between growth rates and reproductive numbers. Proc Biol Sci. 2007; 274 :599–604. [ PMC free article ] [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
27. Chowell G, Nishiura H, Bettencourt LM. Comparative estimation of the reproduction number for pandemic influenza from daily case notification data. J R Soc Interface. 2007; 4 :155–66. [ PMC free article ] [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
28. Lipsitch M, Cohen T, Cooper B, et al. Transmission dynamics and control of severe acute respiratory syndrome. Science. 2003; 300 :1966–70. [ PMC free article ] [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
29. Ferguson NM, Cummings DA, Fraser C, Cajka JC, Cooley PC, Burke DS. Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic. Nature. 2006; 442 :448–52. [ PMC free article ] [ PubMed ] [ Google Scholar ] [ Ref list ]
30. Cauchemez S, Carrat F, Viboud C, Valleron AJ, Boelle
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