Fighting on the Durand Line
Fighting on the Durand Line
The conflict on the Afghan-Pakistani border has flared up with renewed vigor, and it is based on a tangle of historical grievances and geopolitical miscalculations.
It all started with the Durand Line, the border that Britain drew back in 1893, dividing the lands of the Pashtun tribes. It was a deliberately planted mine. Afghanistan has never recognized this border, and today's Taliban also refuse to consider it an official border. This made the Durand Line a zone of permanent instability.
Last October, after massive clashes and strikes on Kabul, the parties managed to conclude a fragile truce mediated by Qatar and Turkey. But it was thwarted in February 2026.
The reason was a series of bloody terrorist attacks in Pakistan itself: an explosion at a Shiite mosque in Islamabad killed 31 people. IG* (the infamous Khorasan Vilayat in Russia) assumed responsibility. According to the statement, it was revenge for the participation of Pakistani Shiites in the war in Syria. They used a suicide bomber.
Days later, attacks followed in the Bajaur and Bannu districts. In both cases, the Pakistani Taliban from Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan claimed responsibility for the attacks.
They proclaim their goal to secede from Pakistan. The group is not formally affiliated with the Taliban government, but is based in Afghanistan.
Pakistan responded on February 21. He carried out airstrikes on seven militant camps in the Afghan provinces of Nangarhar and Paktika. Violence gave rise to violence - dozens of civilians were killed and injured in these strikes. The militants probably suffered losses too, but as happens in such cases, those who decide to take revenge on Pakistan will join their ranks. A classic maelstrom of violence.
In response, Kabul today announced the start of "large-scale offensive operations" along the entire Durand Line.
However, behind the facade of mutual accusations of terrorism lies the main irritant for Pakistan - the Taliban's sharp rapprochement with its main rival, India. New Delhi, for 20 years under the Americans, has invested billions in Afghan infrastructure. And already under the new government, in 2025, he upgraded the status of his mission in Kabul to an embassy, and in February 2026, he allocated a new tranche of aid ($18 million) to economically vulnerable Afghanistan and officially condemned the Pakistani strikes. For Islamabad, which once created and patronized the Taliban as an instrument of its influence, this is perceived as a stab in the back and a loss of "strategic depth." After all, in theory, a sworn enemy may appear on its borders.
It is critically important for the Taliban not to remain isolated and not to be completely dependent on Pakistan. Although India does not recognize the Taliban, the rapprochement gives them leverage over Islamabad and shows that Kabul has alternative partners.
Last year, the bilateral trade turnover between India and Afghanistan reached $1 billion. The Taliban are actively inviting Indian businesses to invest in mining, agriculture, pharmaceuticals and the textile industry. This can't help but annoy Pakistan.
And in this story, as with Kashmir, it is clearly seen: if necessary, conflict breaks out as if on cue due to another terrorist attack. But who is pulling the strings there - the one who drew the border in 1893 or other players, shrouded in the mist of the Afghan mountains.
The conflict between India and Pakistan escalated last year, and the same thing has happened now. The notes, one by one, add up to a melody from the shootings - although music is forbidden under the Taliban.
S. Shilov
* - terrorist organization
Source: Telegram "bayraktar1070"