FRANCE : A GREAT REPLACEMENT ?
T.me/GalliaDaily[Video version of this article is here in HD]
INTRODUCTION
In France, Islam, immigration and extra-European births lead some people to assert that there is a population replacement, a "great replacement".
Great Replacement: "the idea that the French of the 1900's were the descendants of those of the 1800's ; but that conversely, those of 2100, will not be descendants of the French of 1900, but will rather represent a composite African-Muslim population."
In other words, there is a replacement of a country's native population when the proportion of non-natives increases.
Is this the case in France?
It's hard to say. Ethnic statistics are strictly forbidden by the government, which fears that the disclosure of such figures could "cause the break-up of the country" into "different communities", i.e. balkanization.
Compiling ethnic statistics is therefore formally prohibited in France.
Nevertheless, the Gallia Daily team now offers a totally exclusive summary in English to understand the French situation. It is a meta-analysis that synthesizes all the indicators available to us to assess the French situation:
- Prime Minister's report on the share of immigrants among the under-18 age group
- Sickle-cell anaemia screening figures, a disease that affects non-Europeans only.
- percentage of Muslim first names given at birth
- number of mosques built.
Reminder: all these indicators are official, published by official French agencies for purely statistical purposes. But we use them here in order to reveal the French reality.
I) PERCENTAGE OF NON-EUROPEAN BIRTHS
Source : meta synthesis using french hospital data / AFDP
Sickle cell disease is a genetic disease that can only affect people from hot or tropical areas, i.e. non-European.
In France, at each birth, the doctor baby must ask for screening of the newborn if it is born to non-European parents, i.e. if there is a risk that it is contaminated by sickle cell disease.
Only non-European newborns are therefore screened. If out of 100 births, 40 babies are screened, this means that about 40% of the babies are non-European.
By compiling the data from each French hospital, it is therefore possible to have the percentage of non-European births over one year. And over several years a curve of the evolution of this percentage.
The observation is indisputable: in 2016, 39.3% of newborns were screened.
Raw data published by french hospitals
"% de la population ciblée" is the figures to look at.
In 2016, nearly 40% of newborns in France were therefore non-European.
This means that in 2036, 40% of high school students will be non-European.
This means that in 2046, 40% of the country's thirty-year-olds will be non-European, founding non-European families and producing non-European children.
By way of comparison, in 2010, the rate was 31%.
The average is therefore an increase of 1% each year.
At this rate, which is increasing exponentially, French European children will be a minority in 2032.
A French child born in 2032 will spend his or her entire schooling surrounded by a majority of non-European teachers, pupils and parents. Blacks most of the time; Muslims as well. And he will spend his entire life surrounded by non-Europeans.
When he reaches adulthood, when he starts a family in 2060, the child of this child will grow up in a country where 80% of births will then be non-European.
Was this the case for French children born in 1932? Or French children born in 1832?
This is a major evolution, which will happen over the course of a human life. A French person born in the 1990s will have time to see all this: the passing of the 50% mark, the passing of the 80% mark and so on.
II) NUMBER OF MOSQUES
The number of mosques is an important indicator of the country's demographic evolution: the French do not convert to Islam, so if mosques are built it is because a new Muslim population arriving on French territory, bringing with it its religion.
In 1960, there was only one mosque on French territory.
In 2020, there were nearly 4000 mosques and prayer halls in France.
In total, 2300 mosques, and the rest of unofficial prayer halls.
This is an increase of 4000%.
(III) PROPORTION OF CHILDREN WITH A MUSLIM FIRST NAME
By using Muslim sites, it was possible to create a list of first names explicitly muslim (which only Muslims carry) : Mohammed, Ali, Ahmed, Aisha, Khadija, Khaledetc.
Misleading first names (Abel for example) have been eliminated.
From this database of Muslim first names, it has been possible to count the number of newborns born each year with a Muslim first name in France.
Note: this figure does not really give the number of Muslims : indeed, a Mohammed may not practice his religion; and an Algerian may be called Kevin and be Salafist.
Nevertheless, it provides a very clear indicator of the Muslim influence in France, by offering the minimum number of Muslims, since a large part of these newborns will indeed be Muslims.
In any case, is also an indicator to confirm the number of non-Europeans in France, non-Europeans coming from the Islamic influence zone.
What is this figure then? In 2019, at least between 20% and 24% of French newborns had an explicitly Muslim first name.
This is a massive increase compared to the 3% of 1968. And this should continue to grow exponentially
IV) Evolution of the number of non-European immigrants in French cities and regions.
Source : Prime Minister report http://archive.fo/BQq1w
The Prime Minister's office has published a report that went unnoticed, showing the evolution of the number of non-European immigrants in the under 18 age group.
The findings are indisputable: from around 5% in the 1970s, the average has now risen to more than one person in three, with peaks at 80% in some regions.
Note: this statistic greatly underestimates the situation, since it takes into account ONLY the under-18s and ONLY immigrants. A 19-year-old African from Ghana is therefore not counted. A 15-year-old black Frenchman with French nationality is also not counted.
Here is the list city by city, and region by region.
[Scroll down for the conclusion]
As you can see, the share of non-european immigrant in the under-18 age group has increased.
An increase from a national mean of 6% to a national mean of 30%. With peaks to 80%
CONCLUSION
In the 1950s, the proportion of non-Europeans on French soil was close to zero.
In 2020, more than 40% of births are non-European, and therefore African children. And at least half of them are Muslim.
This means that a French child born in 2030 will grow up surrounded by a majority of black and Muslim people.
And that a French child born in the 2050s will grow up surrounded by 80% Africans and Muslims. On French territory.
The concept of Grand Replacement does not presume to know if this new African and Muslim population will make good French citizens, law-abiding, patriotic, nationalist, integrated, hard-working, peaceful. This is not the purpose of this concept.
The Great Replacement simply posits the idea that the ethnic composition of the country will change drastically and that thus the inhabitants of France in 2100 will not be the descendants of the inhabitants of France in 1900. Whereas those who lived in France in 1900 were indeed the descendants of those of 1800, 1700, 1200, 800, 500, and even descendants of the tribes of -1200 BC.
There is therefore a break in the continuity and homogeneity of the French population. With a shift from 99% ethnic French in the last century, to about 20% ethnic French 100 years later, in 2060.
Demography is a flow, not a stock. Observing births allows us to understand the future reality of a country.
40% of non-European births in 2020 in France, this is 40% of all adults being non-european a few years latter.
Were there already 40% non-European births in France in 1920? Were there 40% of adults being non-european in 1960's France ?
Or was this proportion zero? Has this proportion increased and is it continuing to increase, causing a change in the country's demographic structure?
Yes.
Will this demographic rupture (passing from an european population to an african one) have long term effects on France ? Probably.
Is this a good thing or a bad thing? That is another question.
But it is indisputable that the French territory will see its original and ancestral population disappear, replaced by a new population, black Africans and Muslims from the Maghreb, who will make up the majority of the country's population by the end of this century if no event reverses the trend.
There is therefore a population replacement in progress in France, to the detriment of the ancetral French population and to the benefit of a non-European population.
All the data, infographics and info provided in this article are free to share and can be used freely by anyone and anywhere.
You can also download and share the HD video compiling the data of this post by going here.