Examples Of Spread Betting In Football

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Examples Of Spread Betting In Football
Spread betting in sports: what is spread betting?

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Spread betting is one of the most complex forms of betting. At least it seems that way until you start.
The thing that puts off your average punter is that it is extremely volatile and the potential for loss is greater than normal betting. It is for this reason that you need to understand spread betting and how it works before you get too heavily involved.
We suggest that if you start spread betting, then you are a little more knowledgeable about betting than average.
We’ll touch on financial spread betting in this post as it’s the most popular form, but we’ll focus on how spread betting works in sports.
Spread betting is hugely popular, especially among people who work in or have an interest in finance. This is because it allows easy access to speculate on the movement of financial markets. This simplified form of betting on financial markets has meant an increase in popularity for spread betting.
The variables are quite high when spread betting on financial markets. The volatility of these markets means that, without paying due care, you can lose thousands in the blink of an eye. Your investment capital can go further, but you can also lose more than you initially deposited.
It’s important to understand the risks involved and have suitable strategies in place to manage this.
Whilst financial spread betting is the most popular form of this kind of betting, it can also be done in the sports world.
The way spread betting differs from traditional betting is that you’re betting on the movement of the market rather than an event. With traditional betting, you’re betting a set amount on the market to have a defined result at a set price. For example: you’re betting on a spread for a Premier League team’s total points and the spread is set at 70. You’ll bet a set amount per point that you think their final tally will be above or below the spread.
So, if you stake £5 per point that they will achieve a higher points tally than the spread, you’ll win £5 for every point over. However, should they get a lower points tally than 70, you’ll lose £5 for every point they miss that target by.
This means that there’s the potential for high wins. However, it also means that your potential for loss can be quite high should the team fail to hit this target.
There is a mechanism that you can build into your bet to minimise losses. It’s called a stop loss. This is the point that you define in your bet that you want to cancel and take a loss.
Let’s look at how that works: you buy on a spread but the share price of the company you bought dramatically takes a hit. Your bet will be closed out at your defined price meaning you can’t lose any more than you’ve set.
The best way to answer the question ‘how does spread betting work?’ is to look at football spread betting. It’s a sport that everyone understands, and therefore it makes it easy to compare spread betting to normal betting in football.
Let’s take a more detailed look at the example we touched on earlier.
Points betting over a season is one of the most popular spread bets. The prediction from the spread betting company may look something like this:
Manchester United points: 76 – 77.5
This means they are predicting Manchester United may finish on either 76 or 77 points. The lower one is the selling price. The higher one is the price you buy at.
If you buy the spread at £10 per point, and Manchester United finish on 84 points, you will win £65. That is £10 per point and £5 for the half a point.
However if Manchester United finished on 75 points, then you would have lost a total of £25.
Should you sell Manchester United points, you’re betting that they will finish with lower than 76.
If you bet at £10 per point, and they finish on 70, then you will win £60. However, should they finish on 80 points then you lose £40.
But perhaps the long term markets take a little bit too long for you, and you’d prefer to bet per match. You can do that with spread betting too.
One of the most popular match markets to bet on is player goal minutes. The spread for a star striker will be set at something like 37 – 40.
At the end of the match, the times they scored the goals are added up. If you buy the spread, it means you’re hoping the total points are more than 40. For example, in the following situation:
Harry Kane Player Goal Minutes: Sell 37 – Buy 40
Then he scores a goal on the 15th minute and the 45th minute. These obviously add up to 60 minutes. If you bought for £10 per point at 40, then you would win £200. However, if he only scored in the 5th minute then unfortunately, your luck is out. You would lose £350. Which shows perfectly the amount of risk involved with spread betting.
There aren’t as many spread betting strategies as there are in other types of betting. At least not in the same way. But there are a few handy hints you can follow to make the process a little bit easier for yourself.
Firstly, did you know that you can close out your bets in-play for many spread betting markets?
This is because the spread moves in-play, based on what is happening during the game.
Let’s say you bet on a Total Goal Minutes market and the spread was 167 SELL – 177 BUY . You bought the Total Goal Minutes thinking there would be a lot of goals in the match. But there were a few goals in the 20th minute of the game, to give you 50 points. The line would move to reflect this.
Say it moves to 200. This gives you an opportunity to get out of your bet and make a profit. By selling at this price, you’ll make an automatic profit.
To give you an idea of what types of markets you can bet on when you’re spread betting, here’s a list of the most common football markets, along with a brief explanation of how they work.
A supremacy bet is where the spread betting firm predict how dominant one team will be over another. This is where they set a spread based on how many goals a team will beat another by.
If you feel that Tottenham will win, you can buy them at 0.4 goals for a stake of £10.
When Tottenham win with a 5-1 scoreline, their supremacy is 4 goals. This means the actual result was +3.6 and you won £36.
This is where the spread predicts the time of the first goal in the match. They may set a spread of 19-22, and favour the first goal being scored in the first half.
However, expecting a quiet first half, you buy this for £10 per point. Eventually, during the match, the first goal is scored in the 32nd minute.
Given the 10 minute discrepancy, you win 10x your £10 stake giving you a profit of £100.
Total corners is an interesting spread betting market and gives you another angle to consider. The spread states how many corners they think will be taken by both teams during the match.
If a lot of corners are expected, the line might be set at 14.5 – 15 corners. You may feel that this is too high so decide to sell at 14.5 for a stake of £10.
But bad news: during the game, records were broken and there were 35 corners during the match. This would give you a whopping loss of £205. Ouch!
This is one of the more fun spread betting markets. It takes a lot of research and a big sprinkling of luck to have success with this market.
At the end of the game, the shirt numbers of all the goalscorers in the market are added together.
For argument’s sake, the spread betting firm may set the spread at 52-56.
Noticing the star striker likes to stand out and has the number 88 on his shirt, you buy at £10 per point.
However, disaster strikes, and after many missed chances, the game finishes 0-0. You run up a loss of £560.
Spread betting can be exciting because the ceiling for profit is quite high. However, this is why some people can also get carried away.
So during your spread betting journey, make sure you follow these rules to keep your losses to a minimum.
While spread betting can be fun, unfortunately, it can also be quite costly. It’s hard to get serious with spread betting and follow any real strategy. Unless you’re well into the financial markets and really know your stuff. And that can take A LOT of time and effort…
Something which doesn’t require as much time and effort, though, is matched betting. Now, it’s nowhere near as on-the-edge-of-your-seat as spread betting, but it’s sure as hell a lot more profitable. And the profits you do make from matched betting are completely tax-free.
Bookmakers are in a constant fight to try and win customers due to the never ending growth of the industry. They offer free bets and other promotions to attract sign ups. Matched betting is a process where you can turn these free bet offers into real money. Money that goes from the bookmakers’ pockets, straight into your account.
The great thing is that anyone can do it, from university students to stay at home parents. You don’t have to be a sports fan. Hoards of people are profiting from this and earning anywhere from a few hundred to a few thousand pounds within the first few months.
Why waste money betting when you can win it? To find out more about matched betting, download our free introductory guide.
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Betting on football is the core of the spread companies business, accounting for over half of all spread bets placed. They are reliant on TV coverage to generate interest. With all of the mid-week games and weekend games it is a fairly demanding schedule for the betting enthusiast, and as the spread companies are keen to keep clients betting regularly and on as many markets as possible it can be a real challenge not to fall into the habit of gambling indiscriminantly. With this in mind I am going to run through a couple of markets with you that will give you excess returns if played correctly.
The make-up of a shirt number spread is the combined total of the numbers of all the goal scorers during the game.
So if number 7 scored twice and number 3 scored once the make-up will be 17 (2 x 7 + 3). As we mentioned before spreads are generally based on public opinion, therefore if you research or have first hand experience of likely team sheets you will be able to determine better than the rest of the public what a likely shirt number make-up would be.
For example, say you are an Arsenal fan with your finger on the pulse on the goings on at the club and you hear that Nicklas Bendtner is likely to start. Now Nicklas Bendtner at the time of writing this is number 52 for Arsenal, with this information you can BUY the spread and then SELL once the information is made public via the line-ups being published and therefore the spread being raised.
You can do this because the general spread betting public have a tendancy to over-react to high shirt numbers so therefore once the line-ups are published spread bettors will rush to BUY in the hopes that Bendtner scores a hat-trick.
There is also another way to profit in the Shirt Numbers market, however this circumstance comes around far less often. During a match when you see a large numbered (50+) substitution come on the field you will see that the spread for shirt numbers will rise drastically, even if the sub is only a defender.
When this happens you would be wise to SELL the spread as more often than not he will not score.
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If you are considering a teams supremacy in a game you may be better taking their performance or mini-performance. When the spread is only 0.5 – 0.8 you will be making a profit if they win by 1 or more goals. However if you were to take their performance at a spread of 20 – 24 you will make a profit if they just score 2 goals regardless of whether or not they win.
Basically before you place any wagers right down on a piece of paper the exact result you think the match will finish along with other likely outcomes. Then from this determine whether or not the Supremacy, the Team Performance or in fact another market is better for you.
In football, all individual match markets are settled based on the score at the end of 90 minutes, even if the game goes to extra time or penalties, unless otherwise stated by the spread firm in its quote. The nature of sports spread betting allows a higher range of betting opportunities. The more popular markets are supremacy (this is predicting a team's dominance over their opposition) along with the total number of goals. Other popular markets include number of corners and bookings.
Below are illustrations of how the various markets work, using an actual game by way of example.
The volatility figure is a rough guide to how likely major swings in make-ups are.
The telephone minimum bet figure is also shown, though this will vary from firm to firm, and will probably be less for internet and certain other types of account.
Supremacy (winning margin, quoted in tenths of a goal)
Example : Manchester Utd/Liverpool 0.1-0.4
If you think Manchester Utd will win by more than 0.4 of a goal, then you would BUY Manchester Utd supremacy at 0.4.
If you think Liverpool will win or get a draw, then you would SELL Manchester Utd supremacy at 0.1
Assuming your stake is £100 per goal :
Result : Manchester Utd 2 v 1 Liverpool
If you bought superiority you win .6 x £100 = £60
If you sold Superiority you lose .9 x £100 = £90
Example : Manchester Utd - Liverpool 2.4 - 2.7
If you think it will be an open game with lots of goals, then you would BUY Total Goals at 2.7
If you think it will be a dour defensive struggle then you would SELL Total Goals at 2.4.
Assuming you buy and your stake is £100 per goal :
If you bought Total Goals you win 0.3 (3 goals - 2.7) x £100 = £30
If you sold Total Goals you lose 0.9 (3- 2.4 goal) x £100 = -£90
Example : Manchester Utd - Liverpool 28- 31
If you think there will be plenty of goals, probably scored by players wearing high numbers, then you would BUY Shirt Numbers at 31
If you think there will be few goals and they players wearing high numbers are less likely to score, then you would SELL Shirt Numbers at 28.
Assuming you buy and your stake is £10 per point :
Result : there are 3 goals, scored by numbers 9, 15, and 22 = 46
If you Bought, you win 15 x £10 = £150
If you sold, you lose 18 x £10 = £180
Quote Example Manchester Utd v Liverpool 42 - 46
10 points are awarded for each Yellow Card and 25 Points for each Red card.
If you think it will be a rough match with lots of bookings and possibly sendings off, then you would BUY Bookings at 46.
If you think it will be a clean well-behaved game then you would SELL Bookings at 42.
Assuming you sell and your stake is £10 per point :
4 Yellow Cards and 1 Red Card = 65 You lose 23 (65 - 42) = -£230
2 Yellow Cards and no Red Cards = 20 You win 22 (42 - 20) = £220
If you think there will be more than 12 corners in the match, then you would BUY Total Corners at 12.
If you think there will be less than 11 corners in the match then you would SELL Total Corners at 11.
Assuming you buy and your stake is £100 per corner :
14 corners you win 2 (14 corners - 12) x £100 = £200
9 corners you lose 3 (12 - 9 corners ) x £100 = -£300
Example : Manchester Utd - Liverpool 36 - 39
If you think it will be an open game and there is every likelihood of an early goal, then you would SELL Time of First Goal at 36.
If you think there is little likelihood of an early goal then you would BUY Time Of First Goal at 39.
Assuming you sell and your stake is £10 per minute :
First goal 66th minute you lose 30 (36- 66) x £10 = -£300
First goal 18th minute you win 18 (36- 18) x £10 = £180
This is calculated by adding up the minutes in which all the goals were scored. For settlement purposes, goals scored in injury time count as 45 in the first half and 90 in the second half.
Example : Manchester Utd - Liverpool 125 - 135
If you think there will be plenty of goals, and that it is likely they may be scored late in the game, then you would BUY Total Goal Minutes 135
If you think there will be few goals and it is less likely they will be scored late in the game, then you would SELL Total Goal Minutes at 125.
Assuming you stake is £5 per minute :
Result : there are 3 goals, scored in the 20th, 54th, and 66th minutes = make-up of 140
If you Bought, you win 5 x £10 = £50
If you sold, you lose 15 x £10 = £150
Quote example : Manchester Utd v Liverpool 30 - 33
Multi-corners is a highly volatile market, where the make-up is calculated by multiplying the corners the home team is awarded by those awarded to the away team. Thus, if one team doesn't win any corners, the make-up will be 0, no matter how many the other team win, whereas if both win plenty, it can be a very high figure indeed.
If you think there will be plenty of corners awarded to both sides, then you would BUY Multi-Corners at 33.
If you think there will be few corners for both teams or very few for one team, then you would SELL Multi- Corners at 30.
Result : There were 9 corners in total in the game. Of these, Manchester Utd were awarded 7 corners and Liverpool 2, so the make-up was 7 x 2 = 14
If you bought Multi-corners you lose 19 x £10 = -£190
If you sold Multi-corners you win 16 x £10 = £160
If you think Manchester Utd will win or at the very worst draw, then you would BUY Manchester Utd supremacy at 0.4 (or alternatively SELL Liverpool at 8.5).
If you think Liverpool have a good chance of getting a result, then you would BUY Liverpool on the Performance Index at 10 (or alternatively SELL Manchester Utd at 13.5).
Assuming your stake is £20 per pointl :
Result : Manchester Utd 2 v 1 Liverpool
If you bought Manchester Utd you win 10 x £20 = £200
If you sold Manchester Utd you lose 11.5 x £50 = £230
If you bought Liverpool you lose 10 x £20 = £200
If you sold Liverpool you win 8.5 x £20 = £170
Example : Manchester Utd performance 52 - 56
Care must be taken when it comes to team performance markets because each spread firm calculates the make-up in slightly different ways, so they are not identical.
In this case Cantor Index's scoring system is : 25pts win, 15per goal, 10 draw, 3 per corner, 10 clean sheet, 10 leading at half-time, -5 per yellow card, -15 per red card.
Thus if you think Manchester Utd will generally be on top in the game - winning, maybe keeping a clean sheet, or scoring plenty of goals, not conceding too many cards, then you would BUY Manchester Utd Team Performance at 56.
If you think the opposite you could SELL Manchester Utd Team Performance at 52.
They were also quoting Liverpool Performance at 31 - 35.
Assuming your stake is £10 per point :
Result : 25 (win) + 30 (2 goals) + 21 (7 corners) 0 (no clean sheet) + 10 (leading at half time) - 5 (1 yellow card) = 81
If you bought superiority you win 25 x £10 = £250
If you sold Superiority you lose 29 x £100 = -£290
Example : Manchester Utd v Liverpool 32 - 36
This is another market where each firm calculates its make-up differently, so prices are not directly comparable between the firms, although they can be similar. Usually two players from each team are chosen.
In this case Sporting Index scoring system is : 25pts per goal and 8 pts if the player does not come onto the field at any time. The four players were Scholes, Van Nistelroy, Cisse, and Gerrard.
Thus if you think these players were likely to be amongst the goals, you could BUY Hotshots at 36.
Alternatively, if you thought it unlikely they would muster more than goal between them, you could SELL Hotshots at 32.
Assuming your stake is £10 per point :
Result : none of the players score but all appear at some time, therefore the make-up is 0.
If you bought Hotshots you lose 36 x £10 = -£360
If you sold Hotshots you win 32 x £10 = £320
Please do not copy/paste this content without permission. If you want to use any of it on your website contact us via email at traderATfinancial-spread-betting.com (remove the AT and substitute by @).

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Examples Of Spread Betting In Football

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