Dispatch for August 15
Conflict Intelligence TeamSituation in Crimea near Dzhankoi:
- An ammunition depot detonated. It is confirmed by the local authorities, who began evacuating residents from nearby areas. Videos show dispersion of shells, and secondary detonation can be heard.
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- A transformer substation, located 20 km away from the depot, exploded. It could apparently become a part of the infrastructure, for diverting electricity from the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant.
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- A railway track was blown up. Railway communication in the area is interrupted. It could be sabotage or the impact of a projectile from the detonated depot.
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Also, someone made a video from a train window passing by Dzhankoi. In the video we can see lying ammunition boxes and MLRS launchers near the station. It is unknown if it was this accumulation of ammunition and vehicles that was blown up.
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Plumes of smoke were reportedly seen rising from the direction of the Hvardiyske airbase in Simferopol. There are also reports of explosions in the same area but we have not seen proof of that yet. Reports appeared later which refuted this information.
We note that all of these facilities are located far from the front line (more than 200 km). None of the munitions currently in Ukraine’s arsenal have that kind of range.
An individual who bears a striking resemblance to Russian oligarch and head of the Wagner Private Military Company Yevgeny Prigozhin can be seen again in new photographs from the location of the strike on the Wagner Group headquarters.
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Next to him is Andrei Bogatov who fought in Afghanistan and Yugoslavia. He received the title Hero of Russia, lost an arm in battles with ISIS in Syria, and until recently was the commander of the 4th Reconnaissance and Assault Company of the Wagner Group.
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Judging from all the evidence, this location sustained a minimum of two hits.
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As before, we view these photo-ops as possible attempts to lure a HIMARS or to provoke the Ukrainians to waste GMLRS rockets on this target.
Photos of a (presumably) Ukrainian strike on school no. 18 in the village of Krynychanske in the Luhansk region were published. This is deep inside the territories occupied by the pro-Russian forces. It is said that it was a Russian position and they suffered heavy losses. This sounds plausible, but no evidence has surfaced.
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The Ukrainian military hit a Russian Ka-52 combat helicopter in the Donetsk region. A pro-Russian blogger, Vladlen Tatarsky, reports that the crew is alive.
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The General Staff of Ukraine reports that Russian forces have launched an offensive near Vuhledar, which has been unsuccessful so far.
The Russian army continues shelling Ukrainian cities:
- Nikopol was fired at with MLRS
- In Kharkiv, the territory of one of the enterprises in the Slobidskyi district was hit. There is no information about victims. In Saltivskyi district, the hit came down onto a public transport stop, the roof of a nine-storey building, and in the courtyard of another residential building; five people were injured. Despite the constant shelling since the 24th of February, Kharkivites remain unbroken and arrange wedding photo shoots against the backdrop of a new “attraction” - the tail of a rocket from the BM-30 Smerch, that landed at the central square of the city on March 1st.
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- There was a strike at a clinic in Marinka, where local residents were hiding from shelling in the basement.
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- A “double tap” strike occurred during the extinguishing of a fire in the village of Bilytske in Donetsk Region. Two rescuers were injured.
- An education center and a hotel were hit on the outskirts in Mykolaiv; according to preliminary data, there are no victims or injured.
- There are photos of the impact of a Russian munition near Vuhledar.
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A new S-350 Vityaz air defense system appeared in the rear of the Russian forces.
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Pro-Russian forces show parts from a Bayraktar found somewhere in the direction of Marinka. It is unknown how long ago it was shot down.
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New Zealand will send 120 servicemen to the UK to participate in the training of Ukrainian military personnel.
Telegram channel Grey Zone has published a video of a Wagner group unit in action in Pokrovske. We can see SS lightnings and runes on a helmet, the guy must be an electrician.
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Mayor of Kyiv Vitaliy Klichko warned Kyivans оf poor heating during the coming winter: “I ask everyone to stock up on warm home wear, warm blankets for we do not exclude the temperature at houses to be several degrees below normal. The norm is 21 degrees Celsius, but 19 or 18 will be possible."
Two more vessels entered the seaport of Odesa to be loaded with Ukrainian agricultural products (sunflower oil and corn).
At the Army 2022 expo, currently taking place in Moscow, numerous journalists noticed a robo-dog with an RPG-26, presumably a promising Russian prototype. Eventually, it turned out to be a Chinese robo-dog for home use from AliExpress.
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