Colts Vs Chiefs Spread

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Colts Vs Chiefs Spread
The Chiefs are 2-7 all-time in home playoff games, with two wins coming during the first half of the 1990s. Kansas City failed to cover the spread in either of those two victories.
Author: Scott Gramling Publish date: Jan 7, 2019
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Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs (-5.5)
Three things you need to know before betting on Colts-Chiefs:
1. After beginning the 2018 regular season with seven consecutive against-the-spread victories, Kansas City ended the year by going 2-6-1 against the spread over its final nine games. That nine-game stretch included only four games against teams that ended 2018 with a winning record, and the Chiefs went just 1-3 straight up and 0-3-1 over those four contests with the lone straight-up victory being a 27-24 overtime win as a 6.5-point home favorite against Baltimore. Kansas City’s only ATS victory over its last five home games of 2018 came in the season finale against an Oakland squad that was coming off a short week and ended 2018 with a 4-12 record.
2. While Kansas City played its best football at the beginning of the 2018 season, Indianapolis has steadily improved over the course of year after a 1-5 start. The Colts reached the playoffs with a 33-17 road victory at Tennessee in the season finale, which was the team’s ninth win over its final 10 games. Including last Saturday’s convincing 21-7 win at Houston to kick off Wild Card Weekend, Indianapolis is 5-0 both straight up and against the spread over the past two months against opponents that ended 2018 with a winning record. The average score of the five games has been 27.8 to 11.0, with the Colts winning all but one of the five games by 14 or more points.
3. The Chiefs' primary strength is a passing game that led the NFL with 8.8 yards per attempt during the regular season. Indianapolis is 7-1 against the spread since the start of 2016 when facing an opponent that’s averaging at least 7.0 yards per pass attempt, and the Colts are 8-1 on the road in that same time frame when facing an opponent that’s completing at least 64 percent of its pass attempts. Against AFC South opponents, Kansas City is 5-8 straight up and 3-10 against the spread in home games since the start of the 2007 season, a stretch that included seven consecutive against-the-spread home losses to AFC South teams since the start of 2012 before a win over Jacksonville this past October. All seven of those games went under the total, as the only one of the seven in which the Chiefs have reached 20 points was last January’s 22-21 playoff loss as an 8.5-point favorite against the Titans. Kansas City’s 1-11 record (both straight up and against the spread) over its past 12 playoff games dating back to January 1994 includes an 0-6 mark in home games.
Confidence Level: Very High (on a scale of Low/Moderate/High/Very High/Extremely High)

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It's a matchup of teams trying to end long championship droughts when the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers battle for the title at the 2020 Super Bowl on Sunday in Miami. The Chiefs haven't won a championship since Super Bowl IV after the 1969 season, while the 49ers will be going for their sixth crown, but their first since 1994. Kansas City's only other appearance in the Super Bowl was a 35-10 loss to the Packers in the inaugural edition, while the Niners most recently reached the big game after the 2012 campaign, losing 34-31 to the Ravens .
With so much on the line, kickoff for the Miami Super Bowl is set for 6:30 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest 49ers vs. Chiefs odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 53.5, down a full point after moving as high as 54.5. Before locking in any Chiefs vs. 49ers picks, be sure to see the 2020 Super Bowl predictions from SportsLine's Mike Tierney .
The veteran sportswriter, whose work has appeared in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, has covered football of all levels for decades. And that expertise has been evident since he joined SportsLine in 2016.
He has been SportsLine's top NFL handicapper, went 63-46 against the spread last season, and enters the Super Bowl 2020 on a 63-36 run that's returned $2,341 to $100 players. Tierney also has had a sharp eye for both clubs, posting a stunning record of 13-5 on his last 18 NFL picks against the spread involving the Chiefs or 49ers. Anyone who has followed him is way up.
Now, he has locked in on 49ers vs. Chiefs from every angle and released another confident point-spread selection. You can go to SportsLine to see it . Here are several NFL betting lines and trends for Chiefs vs. 49ers in the Super Bowl 2020:
Tierney is aware that the favorite has won 34 of 53 Super Bowls and Kansas City's offense has been on fire. The Chiefs have scored 86 points in two 2020 NFL Playoff games, and quarterback Patrick Mahomes is averaging 307.5 yards passing with eight touchdowns. Receiver Sammy Watkins is averaging 21.1 yards on nine catches in the postseason, while tight end Travis Kelce has 13 receptions and three TDs.
Mahomes can avoid the rush, which will be handy against San Francisco, which is 1-4 in the last five meetings between the teams. He had a 27-yard touchdown run when the pocket broke down in a win against Green Bay and has been sacked just twice in the postseason. The Chiefs' secondary led a pass defense that was eighth in the league, allowing an average of 221.4 yards.
Tierney knows Kittle can break out at any time for San Francisco, which has covered five straight games as an underdog. The 6-foot-4 third-year pro was named to the All-Pro team this season, and he has topped 80 catches the past two years. He has just four catches in the 2020 NFL Playoffs with the 49ers sitting on leads, but he had at least five receptions in seven of the final eight regular-season games. He is one of the best in the league at running after the catch.
The 49ers are 9-3 against the spread in non-conference games this season and the defense is loaded on the line, while backers Fred Warner , Dre Greenlaw and Kwon Alexander also swarm opposing offenses. Warner makes plays all over the field, leading the team with 118 tackles during the regular season and putting up three sacks, forcing three fumbles and defending nine passes. Richard Sherman led the team with three interceptions.
Tierney is leaning under on the total, but he also says a critical x-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back. He's eyeing a team that has "achieved the impossible" so far during the 2020 NFL Playoffs and knows they can do it again in the Super Bowl. He's sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine.
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