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Recep Tayyip Erdogan can thank the Turkish lira for his rise to power. A financial crisis that delegitimized mainstream politicians propelled his campaign. Erdogan is a populist. In , he struck six zeroes off the Turkish currency. Instead of one U. Coca Colas no longer cost one million lira; they cost less than one. Whatever the psychological boost, it did little to tackle underlying problems. Initially, Erdogan could pretend otherwise. After all, what is the difference between a Coke costing 0. Nearly two decades later, however, the new Turkish lira approaches 33 to the dollar. Because he has maintained an iron grip over economic policy for two decades, he cannot blame opposition. Dictators often embrace irredentism to distract from poor economic stewardship. Cost-of-living in the country was second only to Japan. It was against this backdrop that, in , Argentine military dictator Leopoldo Galtieri revived a dormant claim to the Falkland Islands, ruled by the British for almost years, to justify their invasion. He calculated—wrongly—that the United Kingdom, riven with union unrest and domestic discord, had no political will to defend a few thousand sheep farmers on fringe of empire. He was wrong. Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher was not one to go wobbly. He envisioned a blitzkrieg ; he got World War I. Two years after armistice, Saddam presided over an economy in ruins. It was a get-quick-rich scheme that failed miserably. The resulting war and sanctions plunged Iraq into poverty from which Iraqis have yet to recover fully. Iraq should be Dubai; today it is barely Kosovo. Russian President Vladimir Putin, too, falls into the same category. The Russian ruble has lost nearly two-thirds of its value versus the US dollar over the past ten years. Without the Russian dole, for example, neither nominally independent Luhansk nor Donetsk could survive. Back to Turkey: The window-dressing of central bank personnel changes and reform has failed, and the Turkish currency continues its slow, steady slide to nothingness. With time, Turkey might become Zimbabwe on the Med. It is against this backdrop that he embraces irredentism not as a rhetorical tool, but as a military one. Simply put, Erdogan needs war. Erdogan has also augmented his occupation of northern Cyprus and he continues to challenge Greek sovereignty over Aegean islands. For anyone to validate such reasoning is to greenlight war, not only in Iraqi Kurdistan but also in Armenia where Turks make similar demands for a corridor. The PKK has nowhere else to go. Much like Galtieri, Saddam, and Putin, Erdogan now directs his country into the abyss rather than admit his own financial incompetence. Observer Home. Search Query Submit Search. Middle East Forum Observer. March 15, Michael Rubin. Turkey and Turks Syria Kurds. Rubin has also contributed to military education, teaching U. Navy and Marine units about regional conflicts and terrorism. See more from this Author. Middle East Forum Online. Somaliland Deserves Independence Before Palestinians. Foreign Aid Is Ruining Lebanon. With a New Promised Bailout, U. Load More. Persia or Iran? Why It Matters. Loqman Radpey. Gregg Roman.
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