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The Maghreb presents itself in dispersed order in the face of the coronavirus, without any cohesion or solidarity, each country facing its own concerns. The coronavirus epidemic is globally contained in the Maghreb. While the official figures may have been subject to downward corrections, a tragedy cannot be hidden; social networks are watching. Apart from the uncertainty of the Libyan case, the balance sheet of Covid remains less tragic than in the West. By an effect of opportunity, the containment measures recommended by the WHO are the only ones that the countries of the zone were able to really apply. Their security forces have been called upon, as well as the network of moqadems Moqadems represent the authority of the State in the daily life of the population. This is a difficult political choice, but the only one available. Health infrastructures in the Maghreb are insufficient lack of recovery beds, nursing staff and discontinuous medical coverage in the provinces. In the hypothesis of a general spread, the inequality of citizens in terms of care would be in terms of survival, with priority going to the wealthiest and most influential. The risk of disturbing public order would increase tenfold. The stupor has given way to a mainstream denigration of the European Union, compared to a body without muscle, without authority French incivility , without coordination Spanish regionalism , without health efficiency the Italian case , without geopolitical solidarity the British exception , with no other solution than to inject billions of cash to prevent the collapse of the eurozone. This analysis in vogue from Rabat to Tunis does not, however, reflect the reality of the struggle against Covid, a reality in the image of the Maghreb: disparate. When the virus appeared, the country was already at a standstill. Falling oil prices, erosion of the foreign exchange reserve and Hirak demonstrations over the last twelve months: Algiers has been experiencing a recurring crisis. The announcement of the pandemic has awakened the specter of food shortages — unfounded since the State made arrangements before Ramadan The Ramadan festivities are scheduled, according to the lunations of the Arab countries, from April 23rd, Basic commodities flour, milk are the target of price speculation. The cost of protective masks fluctuates according to stocks This phenomenon is observed in all Maghreb countries. President Tebboune understands what is at stake and is trying to restore the credibility of his regime by increasing the number of health and social measures Extension of containment hours 5 April , distribution of market opening hours 2 April , launch of a solidarity caravan 1 April , disinfestation of freight vessels 31 March The court of Sidi M'hamed Algiers sentenced the activist Brahim Daouadji to six months' imprisonment and a fine of fifty thousand dinars 9 April The opponent Abdelouhab Fersaoui is sentenced to one year in prison 6 April Journalist Sofiane Merakchi was sentenced to eight years in prison on 5 April Opposition politician Karim Tabbou was sentenced to one year in prison on appeal 20 March Sources within the movement questioned the resumption of protests as soon as the confinement was lifted, fearing that the epidemiological episode had broken the momentum. A few dozen health workers recently took to the streets of Tlemcen to demand more significant state involvement in the upgrading of the health system « Coronavirus in Algeria: caregivers demonstrate in Tlemcen », dzid. Algiers did not respond. Mistreated during the Arab revolts of , challenged by the Al-Hoceima demonstrations in , the Moroccan monarchy had to take up the challenge of the coronavirus. Rabat is leading a diplomacy based on the notion of exemplarity; towards the North, by trying to impose itself as a credible regional interlocutor, and towards the South, by consolidating its strategic depth on the African continent. A failed management of the epidemic would generate discredit. His strategy was twofold: authority to enforce the rules of containment, and solidarity through the adoption of a series of social measures that were unprecedented in the Kingdom and some of which had been politically incorrect at other times, such as massive support for the informal sector, which was clearly the most vulnerable to the epidemic « Urgent measures to support informal workers and households », medias The sovereign was able to transform the health threat into a national cause. Donation campaigns are carried out at full speed companies, employees. Civil society is mobilized in favor of the homeless, street children and other neglected people. Nevertheless, two signs of fragility remain perceptible. The weight of the informal economy: it is certainly a precious factor of resistance in these turbulent times; without it, the little people would not survive; but it is also a societal reality that indicates the long road still to be travelled before reaching the standards of the world economy. Finally, the Islamists are still in ambush. The investigation was entrusted to the National Brigade of the Judicial Police for violation of State security. The episode recalls the prevalence of political Islamism in Morocco, which seizes every opportunity to brave power. Three men form the keystone of the struggle against Covid Prime Minister Elyes Fakhfakh reorganizes the state apparatus. The mistakes of the first few weeks have been acknowledged, such as forgetting to include small pensioners in the category of vulnerable Tunisians. What was a simple ministerial chair obtained through political transactions has become a resolutely strategic position In April, the President of the Republic promulgated a law authorizing the Head of Government to sign legislative decrees as part of the fight against Covid, which was supposed to speed up the legislative process. The Parliament will be sidelined and the Executive - embodied by Elyes Fakhfakh and Abdellatif Mekki - strengthened, it is currently around 30 dollars for the desert Brenturd'nse which is advising it. On the ground, the containment measures are greeted by nights of protests in the working-class districts Ettadhamen-Mnihla. It would be an exaggeration to speak of a riot, as the protest has never stopped since the revolution Ettadhamen-Mnihla has already experienced incidents in « La garde nationale disperse des manifestants », Agence TAP, January 21, The epidemic is reawakening the social divide in Tunisia and shows the weakness of a state that is struggling to organize the distribution of emergency aid, some EUR 50 million. The endless queues to receive subsidies are sometimes used by citizens carrying the virus, who, for lack of means of subsistence, join the crowd to live or survive from day to day With regard to security, it should be noted that in the Mount Chaambi region, where an Islamist maquis is rampant, the confinement facilitates the monitoring of supply lines for combatants. The humanitarian truce called for by the United Nations has never been respected, as evidenced by the counter-offensive of the GNA, which has just loosened the noose around Tripoli by liberating the coastal cities of Sorman and Sabratha As an indication of the violence of the fighting, 20 Turkish soldiers have been killed in recent weeks. The circling of drones continues tirelessly in the Libyan sky. As for water and electricity cuts, they continue to worsen the living conditions of the population, especially the elderly. Not adapted to the epidemiological risk, as it is not adapted to the war trauma. The few distributions of masks in Tripoli and disinfection operations in the Misrata parks are the result of an el-Sarraj government that is nevertheless trying to react. Many Libyan sources fear that the population will pay dearly for the fratricidal struggle between East and West, two-headed authorities whose low reactivity to the virus is explained by the idea that containment was useless because Libya is already confined. Airports are closed. Mobility is reduced. Economis flows are sluggish. In the Maghreb, the Libyan case remains the most worrying. Opaque and inaccessible to health care teams, if an infectious powder keg were to appear, the worst would be feared. Unaccustomed to health crises, the Mauritanian government made a few communication errors at the beginning of the crisis before recovering « Mauritania: the Minister of Health's blunders », kassataya. A program of support for pastoral activities is launched This program consists of partially covering the cost of feed and veterinary products for livestock. In Mauritania, the epidemic is not very virulent. The first death occurred on 30 March , whereas in France, at this date, more than 3, victims had already died. Nouakchott is taking simple and pragmatic measures to anticipate the global crisis. Mauritania and Senegal have closed their borders. The Mauritanian army has positioned elements along the river of the same name to prevent smugglers from transporting illegal migrants, sometimes ordinary Mauritanian citizens desperately trying to reach their homes Via Dakar airport until Senegal closes its air borders on March 16, In cities, the implementation of containment measures is causing impatience among economic actors, including informal ones, who aspire to resume their activities. Some are desperate, believing that the state is overplaying the health rules in view of the number of cases observed. Mauritanians confined to a hotel in Nouakchott go on temporary hunger strike to protest against their quarantine Three weeks of quarantine when the initial period was fourteen days « People confined 'too long' go on hunger strike », AFP, April Mauritania appears lucid and is aware that it is experiencing an epidemiological episode of lesser virulence, being as little affected as it is supported by the international community. Indeed, when the G20 decided to commit 5 trillion dollars to resolve the coronavirus crisis, the Mauritanian issue was far from being one of its priorities. Although it is premature to take stock of the epidemic, let us note these few facts. The Maghreb is resisting. The epidemic is generally contained. The containment measures are accepted by the populations and the States which, however contradictory they may be, share the concern to establish, or even restore, a bond of trust with their citizens. One of the first lessons of the crisis, unexpected in many respects, is the importance of the informal sector, the de facto real economy, without which containment measures would be unbearable for the middle classes and the underprivileged. Although unorthodox and calamitous from an empirical point of view, the informal sector has the merit of constituting a basis for subsistence which, coupled with state aid, makes it a co-actor of political stability. The question now is how to reboot the region. Libya will be exempted from it, due to the civil war, and Mauritania, which is generally little affected. On the other hand, the economies connected to the world chessboard will be subject to turbulence. Algeria - the State needs a barrel of dollars to balance its budget. The trade deficit stood at USD 6. Morocco — with its attractive FDI bubble foreign direct investment According to the Moroccan Foreign Exchange Office, foreign direct investments were already declining before the crisis - Finally, there is Tunisia. In an open letter to the Prime Minister, the conciliatory tone of which should be stressed, some sixty civil society actors expressed their alarm. It is a fact: the coffers of the Tunisian state are empty. Once again, the mission seems impossible. Let's make two predictive assumptions :. Clearly, the A-2 scenario is highly unlikely. If a second epidemiological wave were to strike the Maghreb, all the indications are that states would be able to resist — in pain, poverty and social tensions, but resist. The question is not an absurd one in the light of this unprecedented health crisis: what has become of the French Doctors of the s? What remains of the duty to interfere, when humanitarian ships crossed the oceans and planes unloaded on tarmacs of misfortune the medical aid coming from a West then at the height of its power? Since March , the North African sky has been silent. While the West is retreating behind its borders, Beijing is projecting its relays of influence in the area. Apart from a discourse of little substance on the solidarity of peoples, the partnership with China is based on the organic solidarity of nations Emile Durkheim , with no other implication than diplomacy by mutual agreement, with the best saying tariff, the best price, the slightest political pressure. Weary of the passionate relations with the former colonial powers, the Maghreb states appreciate China's political stability, its accounting metrics, and the fact that it is a country with a strong and stable economy Nevertheless, the question of the sustainability of the Sino-African relationship arises. Beijing is struggling to maintain its reputation as a neutral partner. Hirak demonstrators do not appreciate its unconditional support for the Tebboune regime; Beijing has ambitions for Algerian fossil resources. The Sino-African idyll also knows its limits in China. In the city of Guangzhou, the African diaspora, suspected of being carriers of the coronavirus, complains of discrimination - eviction from housing and bans on entering restaurants. Making the health sector a vector of power in Africa is an attractive idea. Still imprecise in content, the posture consists in developing a health diplomacy, without a Western presence of course, by strengthening multisector collaborations Abdelali Belghiti Alaoui, « Investing in health security, now more than ever before », Policy Center for the New South, April 13, In short, it is a question of not leaving the field open to the Chinese and of pre-positioning ourselves for the decades to come. Nothing lasts? While Africa welcomes Beijing's action, some people are already thinking about its departure. Download PDF. Home Notes de la FRS. Algeria When the virus appeared, the country was already at a standstill. Morocco Mistreated during the Arab revolts of , challenged by the Al-Hoceima demonstrations in , the Moroccan monarchy had to take up the challenge of the coronavirus. Libya The humanitarian truce called for by the United Nations has never been respected, as evidenced by the counter-offensive of the GNA, which has just loosened the noose around Tripoli by liberating the coastal cities of Sorman and Sabratha As an indication of the violence of the fighting, 20 Turkish soldiers have been killed in recent weeks. Public Health. The port of Alexandroupolis: a strategic and geopolitical assessment. The Middle East caught in an impossible equation. Buzzword or real threat? How concerns over nuclear capabilities in outer space can trigger the extension of space security discussions. Back to the list of 'Notes de la FRS'.

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