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While the only two main elements differentiating the October 1 st events from the unprecedented direct Iranian attack against Israel on April 14 th were the lack of prior notification to Washington and the amount and type of missiles launched, the context in which the attack took place raises a series of questions about what is to come. The relation between these two core concepts of Iranian foreign policy can be defined by the notion that through reliance on third parties, militias and surrogate forces, such as Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas and the Islamic Jihad in Gaza, the Houthis in Yemen and a plethora of Shiite militias in Iraq, Iran carves out the possibility to conduct military activities in the region through proxy warfare, while allowing itself to maintain a degree of deniability in its attempt to confront potential threats before they reach Iranian territory. In light of this notion, this past year can be divided into two periods. During this stretch of time, Israel responded to Iran and its proxies by engaging in a tit-for-tat with Hezbollah in Lebanon and striking Iranian positions in Syria. Since that attack, Iranian leaders and officials repeatedly vowed to retaliate, ultimately doing so on April 14 th , when Iran launched over projectiles, including drones, cruise and ballistic missiles, toward Israel in a massive direct aerial assault on the country. The main turning points of this second phase of Israeli-Iranian confrontation are the killing of Hamas Political Chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran days after the assassination of Hezbollah commander Fuad Shukr in Beirut, and the recent killing of Hezbollah historical leader Hassan Nasrallah in an intense Israeli bombing campaign on Beirut. Only days later Israel eliminated Hezbollah leader Nasrallah and launched a series of ground raids into southern Lebanon. Since October 7 th , Iran has also sought to strengthen ties with its Arab neighbors, taking advantage of the stalled normalization process between Israel and the Gulf States. In contrast, Tehran, with the aid of Beijing, has worked to mend relations with these same nations. It brokered a diplomatic rapprochement with Saudi Arabia earlier in the year, facilitated by China, and has since engaged in dialogue with other Gulf States. With Israel facing the ongoing threat of Iranian missile strikes and the weakened state of the Axis of Resistance, Netanyahu is under pressure to act decisively. The possibility of an Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear facilities looms large, as tensions between the two nations escalate. The potential scenarios for the development of Israeli-Iranian tensions are multiple and bleak, with the two most discussed being protracted albeit limited high-intensity war, or, in case of an Israeli attack on nuclear facilities, a potential total war. In any case, as events over the past few months have made clear, it will very hard for the US, and possibly for the EU, to avoid various forms of direct involvement in the crisis. Laura Buoninconti is a journalist on the field in the Middle East and is currently covering topics relating to international security. Come cambia il Medio Oriente dopo un anno di guerra. Why a lithium mine project in Serbia worries the European Union. La guerra di Israele su un Libano a rischio implosione. Is a coherent trade policy likely to emerge after the Presidential election? La guerra sul corpo del Medio Oriente. Likes Subscribers Followers. By Laura Buoninconti On Oct 4, Read also: Israel and Iran, like Athens and Sparta? Laura Buoninconti. Previous Articles Come cambia il Medio Oriente dopo un anno di guerra. You might also like More from author. Prev Next. Cookies To make this site work properly, we sometimes place small data files called cookies on your device. Most big websites do this too. 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Iran: Block on Telegram is a blow to freedom of expression

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TEHRAN - Hezbollah has announced that its air defense unit has shot down an Israeli Hermes drone, which is believed to cost between 10 to 20 million dollars. The US-Israel axis, with its unwavering support from Western and Eastern allies, is fanning the flames of this escalation, pushing the region closer to a full-blown war. TEHRAN — An osteoporosis screening program has started in the country and is being implemented by four universities in the first phase. TEHRAN —Approximately, 7, physicians are participating in the implementation of the Family Physician Program in rural areas, an official with the health insurance organization has said. TEHRAN - The traditional art of Ghalamzani, the intricate craft of engraving beautiful designs on metals such as copper, brass, silver, and gold, has been recognized with an international Geographical Indication GI. This prestigious recognition highlights Isfahan as the primary hub for this ancient craft. Osteoporosis screening program underway TEHRAN — An osteoporosis screening program has started in the country and is being implemented by four universities in the first phase. Decoding a leak.

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