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Since the outbreak of the Libyan revolution, the desert road between Al-Jaghbub, in southeastern Libya and the Egyptian Siwa oasis has witnessed a persistent increase in the smuggling of not only goods, but also weapons, wine, drugs, and illegal migrants. This process of exchange, say locals, increased after the regimes in both countries were toppled, leading to chaos and the inability of authorities to control border crossings in the eastern Sahara. Jaghbub is a border area with a population of no more than 3, according to pre-revolutionary statistics. Its people are renowned for their piety and religious commitment and for many decades it was a major Senussi center and the destination for scientists and Koran scholars. These weapons enters Egypt through Siwa across the desert, said Al-Zawi. As for the heavy weapons, they are likely to reach farther places. He believes that there are middlemen rather than real weapon traders in Jaghbub and weapons are often not directly moved into the region; rather, the exchange activities are carried out behind its mountains many kilometers away. Zawi, as well as other SSC members, complains about weak capacities since there are only 52 untrained soldiers, less than 10 weapons, and three cars. Zawi narrated the events of previous confrontations between SSC members and smugglers when the latter achieved victory due to an imbalance of power, and acknowledged that he stopped giving orders to pursue them since he was unwilling to bear the responsibility of the risk. Zawi suggests that Musaid border crossing is differently dealt with not only by the government but also by media, even though the goods smuggled through Jaghbub crossing significantly exceed in terms of both quantity and quality those smuggled through Musaid; which, is secured by two of the strongest brigades in Eastern Libya Tobruk Armor and Ali Hassan al-Jaber and by the Egyptian border guards in Sallum in Egypt. He refuses to name it, but locals say it is Shehibi, which resides in the region and has its own extension into Egypt, in Siwa Oasis in particular. It started its activity under Gaddafi, by smuggling cigarettes. We had previously clashed with gunmen while we were pursuing a car carrying immigrants to Watar area. He defends himself as well as his friends, saying the weapons they use to resist those organized gangs are personal and that they buy their loads at their own expense since there are no sufficient allocations by the government or the Local Council in Tobruk. Since establishment, according to Swedek, these committees have been able to arrest more than 15, illegal immigrants, mostly Egyptians, in addition to Sudanese and Palestinians and people of other African nationalities. Illegal immigrants are smuggled not only by Libyan smugglers but also by Egyptian smugglers driving Egyptian cars, where they have been repeatedly caught by the committees, according to the lieutenant. The Ministry of Interior has previously declared the SSC dissolving and affiliating all its members with its police service, a procedure Swedek says will take at least six months. Observers underline that contraband has witnessed a persistent decrease since last December when Ali Zeidan Government green lighted Libyan Air Force to make air raids against cars smuggling heavy weapons and drugs when they enter the Libyan territories. Pending the restoration of security and re-controlling the borders through the current government decisions, the SSC members in tension and confrontation areas are exposed to all risks implied by defending the country boundaries and sovereignty against smuggler gangs, traders and those aiding them from within the government bodies themselves. Abdulaziz Al-Wasly. Imbalance of power Zawi, as well as other SSC members, complains about weak capacities since there are only 52 untrained soldiers, less than 10 weapons, and three cars. Society: Khatt Images of a Historic School. Society: A Historic Islamic School.

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British Broadcasting Corporation Home. Intense scenario planning is going on inside the Ministry of Defence to prepare every possible answer to that question. Water from the Ajdabiya reservoir may prove to be decisive. One - and let me stress just one - scenario being planned for is a battle for control of the Libyan city of Ajdabiya, which is about miles km south of Benghazi. A withdrawal from Ajdabiya was one of the demands set out by President Obama. With control of that city, a Libyan free state could be created alongside a state controlled by Gaddafi. Without it, he would retain a stranglehold on the key rebel city. The reason, I'm told, is water and power. The city of Benghazi relies on Ajdabiya for both. There is a fear that Benghazi may have as little as a week's supply of water. Water is supplied by what Colonel Gaddafi hailed as the 'Eighth Wonder of the World' - what is known as the ' Great Man-Made River ' - which claims to be the world's largest irrigation project. How possible it would be for him to block the flow I do not know but others are looking into just that. The Prime Minister has just spelt out that one condition of a ceasefire is to establish water, electricity and gas supplies in the cities of Benghazi, Ajdabiya and Misrata. The military problem is that Gaddafi's forces are already inside the city of Ajdabiya. The only way to get them out without massive civilian casualties would be to bomb and destroy their supply lines. In other words - more bombing raids and not just the creation of a no-fly zone once Libyan air defences are destroyed. Sign in or register to comment. Nobody will know how it will end and expecting a formula for completion is futile. As I have said before there is justification in supplying military facilities to the rebels on the understanding that they are for defensive purposes including ejecting Gaddafi's crew from city centres where they are attacking civilians. The allies should continue bombing his army into the sand until there is an effective cease fire and withdrawal of his forces from the remaining towns and cities that were in rebel hands. It will be a mess but hey what's new! Complain about this comment Comment number 1. How can such a state live alongside a neighbour such as Gaddafi? He will gain a false sense of strength if this occurs and there will never be a moment's peace. All of the expense and risk of the current operation will have been for nothing. Complain about this comment Comment number 2. If the wright brothers had worried about how it was all going to end, you would still be riding a bike round the world Mr Robinson. If the useless organisation that is the EU can't take care of a stone age warlord playing god in a country 8 times the size of Britain with a population less than Scotland's, then we are indeed in trouble. Complain about this comment Comment number 3. Hopefully even if this insight is correct it has no implications with regard for timescales - water would be required even for a city to survive for a few weeks. On the other hand it does also sound like an acknowledgement of one of the likely outcomes of this dodgy scheme - a partitioned Libya with Gadaffi still in power long term. Complain about this comment Comment number 4. I recall working with a Korean contracting company in the 80's. Complain about this comment Comment number 5. Lots of Libyan tweeps are saying that Ajdabiya has been retaken by rebel forces today although I've yet to see this confirmed by a news agency. Meanwhile Misrata and Zintan are being pummelled by pro-Gaddafi tanks, artillery and snipers. Complain about this comment Comment number 6. The delay in implementing a no-fly zone has clearly caused long term damage to the future of the Rebel cause. That said, the inclusion of arab nations in the coalition is essential to it's success. It would be all too easy for Gaddafi to become the latest martyr to American imperialism - despite his despicable, and very public, actions. Complain about this comment Comment number 7. Can't imagine Colonel Gaddafi, even if it's possible, will cut off the water supply to Benghazi. If he does that, it gives a slam dunk green light for a UN-approved indeed everyone-approved invasion to prevent a humanitarian catastrophe; since the dying by thirst or, if the shortage is less extreme, the inability to wash properly of a million or so people certainly qualifies as such. Hard to see any other outcome, in those circumstances, but regime change. And he's meant to be a wily operator, isn't he? Complain about this comment Comment number 8. Its going to end in stalemate, unless we go in, with troops. Cameron is walking a tight rope on this and he is going to fall off I thought we were broke??? Complain about this comment Comment number 9. Swiftly and without warning. Complain about this comment Comment number Of course we do not know how much damage to these supplies have been caused by the Coalitions bombing activities. Not very clever if these people are without supplies due to our making and not Gaddafi's. If this gets really out of hand and seriously expensive, Gaddafi's nemesis could coincide with of the UK. Economic reality may seem unpalatable when the lives of all involved are at risk, but it is part ofthe reality of the modern world. That is why we are already in the kacky with the deficit. Mr N 'Of course we do not know how much damage to these supplies have been caused by the Coalitions bombing activities. How will Libya end? The end will come when we have softened up the Gaddafi military and are then forcibly invited to stop the attacks by the 'revolutionaries'. Furthermore, our latest escapade into the Middle East will end with the people of this country shouldering an even greater deficit than that caused by the bankers. It might provide politically exciting stuff with plenty to report, but it's also a big strain on our resources. Isn't the deficit important anymore? Why do we get so excited about it? Remember the same excitement when we went into the Falklands, Iraq, Afghanistan, Kosovo etc.? We seem to be a nation obsessed with interfering in other peoples affairs. Don't we worry about suicide bombers taking revenge on our citizens in reprisal? I know it's not PC to say so, but, countries like Germany, Switzerland and Sweden seem to have more sense, and a better grasp of national economics. Clearly if the people of Benghazi are denied water, gas and electricity that is a threat to their livelihood in which case the UN has authorised that all necessary measures should be taken to protect them. Resolution was not just about the establishment of a no-fly zone. It would help if all and sundry stopped referring to Gaddafi's private security machine as the 'Libyan army'. The terminology matters. The war will end when the sanctions bite deeper Libya is not Iraq The intervention is going very well The blockade of Tripoli must hold and Gaddafi will need to negotiate his end at some stage. One week ago Only the weirdo doom-mongers think that leaving Gaddafi a free hand in killing people is a better option. The Coalition need to hold its nerve Gaddafi is finished if the sanctions and blockade holds as the people in Tripoli will riot at some stage It appears that the no fly zone is of limited value. It's interesting that no Arab countries have offer the use of an airbase to make this operation more practical. After the opening one hundred plus barrage of Tomahawk cruise missiles, that possibility have evaporated. Unless the coalition is going do a regime change. The Libyan rebellion's remaining days is numbered. Colonel Qaddifi have twice the inventory of the equipment he is fielding right now in storage, The rebels don't seem to be able form coherent military units to repel Qaddifi's loyalist units let alone attacking Western Libya. I see the Green flag will be raised in Ajdabiya and Benghazi once the Western media lose interest and gone to the next hot News incident. This entry is now closed for comments. For the latest updates across BBC blogs, visit the Blogs homepage. Series exploring the occupants of No Nick Robinson: 'Britain is standing by to give more money to the IMF so that it can, in turn, lend more money Douglas Fraser: 'With a mighty thud, the Ledger has been slammed shut. Thanks for reading it. But it's not finished - far Brian Taylor: 'Thank you for reading my blog. It has now moved to a new home, with a fresh format. Visit my Betsan Powys: 'It was an inspired conversation. What shall we call a blog written by someone called Betsan? How about Richard Black: 'Thanks for having read my blog over the last few years. As of today, it is moving to a new Jonathan Amos: 'Things are changing. The BBC's Spaceman has been assigned a new ship for his thoughts. So, as of today, this Search term:. Read more. This page is best viewed in an up-to-date web browser with style sheets CSS enabled. While you will be able to view the content of this page in your current browser, you will not be able to get the full visual experience. Please consider upgrading your browser software or enabling style sheets CSS if you are able to do so. This page has been archived and is no longer updated. Find out more about page archiving. Comments Post your comment Sign in or register to comment. Comment number 1. At 21st Mar , watriler wrote: Nobody will know how it will end and expecting a formula for completion is futile. Nick Robinson. Jump to more content from this blog About this blog. I'm Nick Robinson. Welcome to Newslog , my blog about what's going on in and around politics. Series and specials. Series exploring the occupants of No 10 Documentary on MPs' expenses. Latest from BBC News blogs. Subscribe to Nick Robinson's Newslog. You can stay up to date with Nick Robinson's Newslog via these feeds. More from this blog Topical posts on this blog. These are some of the popular topics this blog covers. Settings Sign out.

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