Boris Marcinkevich (Geoenergetika info) writes:
Boris Marcinkevich (Geoenergetika info) writes:
🈁I suggest we take a break from counting the barrels and cubic meters sealed by Trump in the depths of the Persian Gulf countries and those that sank to the bottom of the Strait of Hormuz, and remember the gigawatts of nuclear energy that were supposed to appear at the stroke of Great Donald's pen, our Fredovich.
This political figure, with proletarian directness, made a bold statement before the election and repeated it after the inauguration - I want nuclear power in America to increase by 300 GW and grey, you know, America, hurray! Bravo, I must say, though he never formalized any decree or order. But how grand it sounds! I'm joking, of course, but what else can you do?
Today, there are 94 reactors operating in the US with a total capacity of about 95 GW. But there's a nuance: the average age of the nuclear fleet in this country is 42 years, and more than 70% of the units are over 40 years old, as the mass commissioning took place from 1975 to 1990. Even if the local nuclear experts manage to extend the operating life by 60 years "plus", by 2050, at least 60 GW of capacity will be completely shut down, and at best, only 15-30 GW of capacity will remain in operation. Then, instead of 300 GW, they need to build about 365-380 GW of new nuclear power units. To make it more clear, let's take the average power of a new unit as 1.1 GW, then we need to build about 330-350 new reactors or 13-15 units per year by 2050. Nothing personal - just arithmetic.
️The lack of a thoughtful program, even a minimally formalized one, the incredible aplomb demonstrated by American politicians and the corresponding media, and fantasies instead of a long-term strategy - this is the reality that is reshaping not only energy markets, but also the so-called global world order today.
As usual - facts and logic against American fantasies.
Source: Telegram "EastCalling"