Bet Spread Calculator Blackjack

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Trusted since 2007
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Card counters operate under the (correct) assumption that even perfect blackjack strategy is a losing proposition. That’s because basic strategy gives no indication of the likelihood of a dealer or player bust. Basic strategy requires you to hedge your bets in certain playing situations, meaning you are just as likely to win as to lose.
Keeping a running count improves on basic blackjack strategy by indicating when you can deviate from that strategy and still have a decent chance of winning. If you know there are more small cards than large ones, you can safely take hits on those pesky 15 and 16 point hands and improve your chances of beating the dealer. You can use a running count to know when to increase your bet size to maximize your profits, and when to decrease your bets to protect yourself from potential losses.
These changes in the bet size are known as a “ betting spread ,” a tool used by counters to increase profits and decrease losses without drawing the attention of the casino. Ideally, you can make small changes to your bets without the casino figuring out that you’re a card counter and (politely) asking you to leave.
The name of the game in card counting is turning blackjack into a positive expectation game. Peter Griffin’s book “ The Theory of Blackjack ” worked out some numbers pertinent to card counters. Using standard Las Vegas rules and a basic High-Low card counting system, a player’s advantage with perfect strategy when the count is zero is -0.56%. According to Griffin, each increase by 1 of the running count improves the player’s advantage by +0.5%. Naturally, every decrease by 1 of the count reduces the player’s advantage by 0.5%.
We know that, statistically, a standard Vegas game of blackjack will only offer certain counts some of the time. Positive expectation only happens with a +2 count, which will only happen about 8% of the time. Truth be told, a positive count can only be expected about 18% of the time you’re playing–that’s why it is important to spread your bets, even if you’re keeping a running count and playing according to basic strategy.
People much smarter than you and me have determined that a bet spread between 1 and 5 units is the best way to avoid undue attention from the casino. By this reckoning, you should bet 1 unit for a +1 count, all neutral counts, and all negative counts. A +2 count means 2 units, a +3 count means 3 units, a +4 count means 4 units, and anything over +4 means you bet 5 units. Going over 5 units is likely to attract unwanted casino heat.
Using this system and perfect blackjack strategy, you can expect a positive return of about 0.14%. You’re not going to get rich with small wins under this system, but it will turn a negative expectation game into a positive one.
The only way to increase your expectation is to use a 1-10 unit bet spread, which is sure to get you kicked out of any casino eventually. Still, as long as you can get away with a 1-10 unit spread, you can play with an edge of about 0.57%, or about three and a half times greater than with a 1-5 unit spread.
Since casinos have implemented rules and strategies to counteract card counting, the easy to beat blackjack tables have disappeared. Casinos are now instituting a 6:5 blackjack payout rule, for instance, that automatically makes the game not worth the time it takes to count cards and develop a bet spread. Perfect blackjack strategy is often as good as you can get at today’s blackjack tables, since even the most aggressive counting and bet spreading gives you only about a .5% edge.

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/ Blackjack Betting Spread Explained

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A betting spread strategy is a necessary component of card counting at blackjack. You can think of a betting spread and card counting like peanut butter and jelly. You can try them separately, but they’re a lot better when combined.
In truth, counting cards without using a betting spread is defeating the purpose of counting. Without a betting spread you will never be able to take advantage of a positive count and therefore leave a lot of profit on the blackjack table. Betting Spread is part of card counting just as the following: Edge Sorting , Hole Carding , Shuffle Tracking , Wonging in Blackjack , Camouflage Betting , Team Play , & Risk Of Ruin .
The key to making money as a card counter is raising your bets when the deck is hot and lowering them when the deck is cold. This variation in bet size is known as the betting spread. The range of an individual’s blackjack betting spread depends on a lot of personal factors such as comfort level and proficiency in card counting.
BETTING SPREAD
POSSIBLE RANGE
$5 (Table Minimum) – $200 (Table Maximum)
The example above illustrates the possible range at a $5 minimum table. The possible range is simply the minimum and maximum table bets. You can place a bet of any size that falls within the range on any given hand.
To successfully use a betting spread, however, you need to determine your effective range. In short, this is the least and most you are personally willing to bet. Some players are unwilling to go beyond a certain comfort level when sizing their bets. These players might have an effective range which looks like the following:
BETTING SPREAD
EFFECTIVE RANGE
$10 (Minimum) – $100 (Maximum)
Players with an effective range like this one are comfortable betting between $10 and $100 per hand.
Once you have determined your own effective betting spread the next task is to apply that spread effectively while counting cards. To determine the appropriate bet size we need to start at the minimum and scale upwards in proportion to the count.
We know that most card counting methods begin the count at 0. Using the effective range example above a player will be betting the minimum– $10 – at that level. Using this starting point a player can determine an effective range for the betting spread.
The player must estimate the top end of the count. In other words, how high does he expect the count to get in a session? A simple rule of thumb, which also simplifies the betting spread, is to estimate a count of 10. In this example calculating the betting spread is very easy. The top end of the player’s effective range is $100, a multiple of 10. When we divide 100 by 10 we get 10. The betting spread in this example will consist of 10 bets which increase proportionally with the running count.
…and so on until at a count of 10 the player is making the maximum $100 bet.
What makes a betting spread work is that it allows the player to bet the most money when the odds in their favor are increased. When the count is high the player needs to get the most money into play because their odds of winning are better. When the count is low the player needs to be betting the least amount of money because their odds of winning are worse. Simple, right?
Not so fast. For one thing, a player cannot sit at the blackjack table and mechanically apply a betting spread. For one thing, this will create suspicion on the part of the casino (see our article on camouflage betting). Secondly, the betting range also needs to encompass a few other factors which must be taken into consideration.
The key to winning at blackjack is to increase your positive expectation. Each time the count goes higher the house edge is reduced. Therefore, it makes sense to continue betting the minimum until the count becomes high enough to justify a significant return. In our example this would occur when the count hits 7 or 8.
The problem with this is that jumping your bet from 1 unit to 7 units suddenly will draw the casino’s scrutiny. You must gradually increase the amount of your bet, but at no time should you increase your bet out of proportion with the count. That is the key. In other words, betting less than units when the count is at 4 is okay. Betting more is not.
When it comes to betting spreads the real skill is not knowing how to use them but knowing when to use them in a way that is undetected by the casino. Using them robotically will get you banned from the blackjack table . You can read the Casino Max review , Miami Club review , High Country casino review , Cherry Jackpot casino review , or Roaring 21 review to name a few
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Why risk to ruin your bankroll with the wrong move or try to count cards when you play blackjack online if you can use the online blackjack strategy calculator to know exactly when you are supposed to Hit, Stand, Surrender, Double, or Split?
The PokerNews blackjack hand calculator is your best ally to increase your chances of winning at blackjack. Using mathematical probabilities and the blackjack basic strategy charts, we developed an algorithm that shows you what is the optimal play every time you play a blackjack hand.
The calculation is based on all the informations available in a game of blackjack: the dealer upcard and your two private cards.
Input these info in the tool, and the blackjack calculator will show you what is the best possible play of your blackjack hand based on mathematical probabilities.
While this is not a strategy that will lead to winning at blackjack every time you play, it is the only way for you to have the best blackjack odds when you begin your solitary battle against the dealer.
Card counting is a casino strategy some player use to reduce the house edge when they play blackjack. Made famous by the ' MIT Blackjack Team ' in the 80s, this casino strategy is highly ineffective when you play online.
Besides being quite difficult, card counting is effective only under very specific circumstances that connect with the number of decks in play and how often they are shuffled by the dealer.
Although some online sites offer single-deck blackjack games - the best-suited variant for card counting - the majority of online games are built to make card counting nearly impossible.
That's where a blackjack tool like the probability calculator comes into play.
As pointed out on this blackjack strategy guide , the game's basic strategy gives you the guidance you need to reach optimal play and know exactly what is the best best way to play each individual hand of blackjack.
There is no better way to improve your winning odds, so make sure you keep it open on the screen every time you play a game of blackjack online if you want to get your top chances to win.
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The PokerNews blackjack calculator combines the information about your blackjack hand with the game's basic strategy to show you what is the best way to play your cards.
To start a new hand of blackjack, click on the ' Reset ' button and repeat the process.
No. The blackjack calculator is a free tool that shows you what is the best play of each hand based on mathematical calculation.
While this helps you get the best winning odds possible in a game of blackjack, it does not give you the mathematical certainty to win every game you play.
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